Dangerous55019

Morning @CreweCold As a reverse SAD sufferer I totally understand where you’re coming from. Although having said that, I’m generally ok with the increasing daylight until about mid April… That’s when it grabs me that it’s getting too much. By the time my neck of the woods enters the world of the lingering twilight, it just becomes a painful long slog up to the summer solstice. I totally agree with what you say about last summer being a complete slog. Keep strong my friend… Only 23 weeks and three days till the nights start getting longer again.

AAAARRRRGGGGHHHH NOOOOOOO!! Don’t say that @lassie23, as I’m still having nightmares and cold sweats about the heat from last summer with its total lack of thunderstorms! Lol … But a happy new year to you as well. But swerving swiftly back on topic… This morning is the first time that I’ve noticed it getting lighter earlier in a morning… The evenings have been doing so for some time now. Also, tomorrow is the point at which we start gaining two minutes of daylight per day, as it’s now full steam ahead to the vernal/spring equinox on the 20th March, and the summer solstice in June.

Good morning and a happy new year to everyone here on Netweather. Not being a fan of New Year, I went to bed early, which meant I got up early, and was treated to the sound of yet more very distant thunder! Lets hope that 2023 produces many and juicy thunderstorms for us all.

Hello everyone. Well it’s been over a week since the winter solstice, and almost two weeks since the evenings started to get lighter… It’s now 16:22 here in North East Wales, and I have to say that the evenings are noticeably lighter than they were only a couple of weeks ago! The mornings don’t start getting lighter for me until the 1st January… So until Sunday my sunrise time is 08:26.

Morning everyone and a merry Christmas to you all. I was not expecting to hear the sound of distant thunder this morning! But because there is no traffic, I can just about hear some very faint rumbles in the distance. A nice unexpected, and most welcome Christmas present from the weather gods.

Hello everyone. I'm seeing lots of unsettled folk this morning due to the end being insight for this current cold spell, so to try and help people out, here's a look at the four weekly CFS v2 anomaly charts. Week 1 - 14th to the 20th December: Low pressure appears to centered somewhere between north eastern Scotland and Scandinavia. This should effectively leave us here in the UK win a north, north westerly airflow. Certainly not the warmest of directions! Also, I'm still seeing a large blocking area of high pressure over towards Greenland and north eastern Canada and stretching out over the pole towards Alaska and north Eastern Russia. Not quite a perfect position for us but hey! Week 2 - 21st to the 27th December: The blocking over the pole appears to be shifting away from us here in the UK. Low pressure appears to be centered just off the tip of Scotland. The angle of this low pressure would leave us in a south westerly airflow... So in other words, a return to normal... Wind and rain! Week 3 - 28th January to the 3rd January: High pressure signaling a return? High pressure is now over North eastern Canada, Greenland and stretching out towards Scandinavia and north western Russia. Whilst nothing is showing over the UK, I'm guessing that a 'lower trough of pressure' is over us. Could that high pressure start feeding cold into that trough? Only time will tell. Week 4 - 4th January to the 10th January: High pressure fest!! High pressure stretching out from north western Canada right the way over Greenland, Iceland, the British Isles, Scandinavia and into Russia!! This would leave us in a very light airflow, (plus looking at this chart, an easterly airflow!) so I'm kinda guessing the return of frost and fog? Ahh well... Time will tell on that one. Plus its four weeks away, so all could easily change between now and then! So there you go folks... Hopefully these charts can help out some of the more experienced members on here.

Hello everyone. Time for a cold and frosty Monday morning look at the CFS v2 four weekly anomaly charts, in the hope that it can help shed some light on what is going to happen in the future. Week 1 - 11th to the 17th of December: We have a large trough of low pressure centered over the Midlands and stretching out over north eastern Europe, and towards Scandinavia. We also have what looks to be a large blocking area of high pressure over Greenland and north eastern Canada. To my eyes that is a cold easterly, to north easterly airflow, with snow showers at times. Week 2 - 18th to the 24th December: We have a large blocking area of high pressure over Greenland, stretching down through Scandinavia, and into mainland Europe. I'm also seeing a trough of low pressure out in the Atlantic. Now the questions are; is this going to put us in a mild south westerly airflow? Or is this going to feed cold air into that trough of low pressure? Or... Is that low pressure going to get stuck over us here in the UK, as it comes up against that high pressure? I shall leave it to the more experienced members on here to decipher that! Week 3 - 25th December to the 31st December (Christmas day to New years Eve!): ALL CHANGE! We look to have a large Scandinavia high sat right over us here in the UK and Ireland! This would leave us in a chilly/cold east or north easterly airflow... I'm guessing the return of the frost and fog... Possibly freezing fog! It also worth noting that this high pressure stretches up over the north pole and towards North eastern Russia! I'm seeing a lot of cold air available with the high! Will we tap into it though? Week 4 - 1st to the 7th January 2023 (the first week of the new year): All change again? The Scandinavian high has retreated back north east, but there does appear to be a trough of low pressure starting to form over north eastern Canada, and starting to stretch down over Greenland. Will this reach us and put us in a cold north westerly airflow? Only time will tell. So there you go folks! Please make of that what you will! But hopefully this post will help some of the members of this good forum get a handle on what's going to happen next.

Hello everyone. being as its been a week (or there abouts) since I last posted in here, I thought I'd take a look at the CFS v2 four weekly anomalies, to either help clear the waters for other members or help muddy them? Lol Week 1 - 8th to the 14th December: We have a large trough of low pressure centered right over the Midlands and southern UK and stretching out over north eastern Europe, and towards Scandinavia. We also have what looks to be a large blocking area of high pressure over Greenland and north eastern Canada. To my eyes that is going to leave us in an easterly airflow! Cold? Yes! Snow? I'll leave that to our more experienced members! Lol Week 2 - 15th December to the 21st December (The Winter Solstice): Pretty much a very similar setup to week 1! But with the trough of low pressure over us here in the UK weakening. Week 3 - 22nd of December to the 28th December (So covering Christmas): The large area of high pressure over Greenland and north eastern Canada is now starting to extend outwards towards Scandinavia! The trough of low pressure over us here in the UK appears to have vanished... But has it? There's definitely something over us here in the UK, and the rest of main land Europe. But what it will do (as this is three weeks out) I have no idea. Week 4 - 29th December to the 4th January (Into the New Year): The large blocking area of high pressure that has been sat over Greenland, appears to be weakening. But there is a trough of low pressure now showing to the north west of Scotland... To my eyes this would leave us in a cold(ish) and unsettled northwesterly airflow. First winter storms? Time will tell. So there you have it folks! Hopefully this will help some of our more experienced members of this forum. Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/98087-model-output-discussion-the-cold-has-arrived/?do=findComment&comment=4757169

Hello everyone. being as its been a week (or there abouts) since I last posted in here, I thought I'd take a look at the CFS v2 four weekly anomalies, to either help clear the waters for other members or help muddy them? Lol Week 1 - 8th to the 14th December: We have a large trough of low pressure centered right over the Midlands and southern UK and stretching out over north eastern Europe, and towards Scandinavia. We also have what looks to be a large blocking area of high pressure over Greenland and north eastern Canada. To my eyes that is going to leave us in an easterly airflow! Cold? Yes! Snow? I'll leave that to our more experienced members! Lol Week 2 - 15th December to the 21st December (The Winter Solstice): Pretty much a very similar setup to week 1! But with the trough of low pressure over us here in the UK weakening. Week 3 - 22nd of December to the 28th December (So covering Christmas): The large area of high pressure over Greenland and north eastern Canada is now starting to extend outwards towards Scandinavia! The trough of low pressure over us here in the UK appears to have vanished... But has it? There's definitely something over us here in the UK, and the rest of main land Europe. But what it will do (as this is three weeks out) I have no idea. Week 4 - 29th December to the 4th January (Into the New Year): The large blocking area of high pressure that has been sat over Greenland, appears to be weakening. But there is a trough of low pressure now showing to the north west of Scotland... To my eyes this would leave us in a cold(ish) and unsettled northwesterly airflow. First winter storms? Time will tell. So there you have it folks! Hopefully this will help some of our more experienced members of this forum.

Well the pendulum is slowly reaching the end of its stroke… I’m just on my break in work, so popped out to watch the sunset. Due to the topography of the land, the sun has set at 15:18!! It also happens to be our second frost and ice day of not only this current winter season, but of 2022!

Hello everyone. Its been a week or so since I last had a look at the CFS V2 four weekly anomaly charts... So here we go... Week 1 - 2nd to the 8th December: Looks like a rather large area of high pressure is dominating the weather on our side of the globe! Stretching from northern Russia/Scandinavia, to encompass Greenland, the northeastern tip of Canada and the eastern seaboard of the US of A! This would leave us here in the UK in a rather chilly east to northeasterly airflow. Probably continuing the frost and fog theme that we've had going for pretty much all of this week. Week 2 - 9th to the 15th of December: ALL CHANGE!! That large area of high pressure has now moved and set up over Greenland and the North Pole! Meanwhile for us here in the UK appear to be under the influence of a trough of low pressure from off the Atlantic. Could this be the start of a wet and stormy phase, or will that big blocking high to the north feed in cold air to that trough of low pressure? I honestly don't know is the honest answer, and this is a low res model anyway. Week 3 - 16th to the 22nd of December: That big area of high pressure appears to be slipping away to the Alaska, and northeastern Russia. Meanwhile for us here in the UK we look to be under the influence of an Atlantic onslaught and a south westerly airflow. Probably not cold... Just wet and windy. Week 4 - 23rd to the 29th of December: That blocking high to our north is back again! Spreading down towards Scandinavia! But also into mainland Europe and North Africa. There is also a trough of low pressure out in the Atlantic. Now that high pressure could give us some easterly winds or north easterly winds... Likewise its a similar set up what I would normally look for if wanting a Spanish Plume scenario in the summer! So I honestly don't know. So there you go folks... Hopefully this will help some of the far more experienced member on this good forum.

So here we are at the final day of my favourite season. So before autumn drifts off for another year, I thought I’d share some of the images I’ve taken throughout autumn 2022. So from me, farewell autumn, see you again next year.

Hello everyone. Well, it's been a while since I've done one of these; so here's a look at the CFS V2 four weekly anomalies... Hopefully they'll help out some of our more knowledgeable members... Week 1: 23rd to the 29th November - The Azores high appears to be centered over southern Spain/north Africa, with a very large trough of low pressure sat out in the Atlantic. This would leave us in a mild(ish) south westerly airflow, with more bands of wind and rain coming at us from off the Atlantic. All in all... Typical November fayre. Week 2: 30th November to the 6th December - All Change! A giant area of high pressure (Scandinavian High) stretching out over us here in the UK and also Iceland, and Greenland as well. This would leave us in a chilly/quite possibly cold north easterly airflow! I'm guessing that most nights would be frosty and I dare say foggy in the usual places as well! Plus with the sun being weak at this time of year, the fog could well linger all day! Could this give us our first frost days of 2022. Week 3: 7th to the 13th of December - The high pressure is now stretching out over the north Atlantic, and covering Iceland, Greenland, Canada and the eastern seaboard of north America. Low pressure over mainland Europe would again leave us in a potentially cold north easterly airflow! Week 4: 14th to the 20th December - High pressure over the North Pole, and stretching down over Greenland, Iceland and us here in the UK!! Again, I'm going to say that it'll give us more cold, frosty and foggy weather. So there you go! The current spell of unsettled weather looks like it's going to be taking a break for a while. Will it verify? Only time will tell, so lets see what happens.

The winter solstice is on the 22nd of December this year, and (according to timeanddate.com ) it'll occur at 21:48! I find it really hard to understand where the times goes? It only seems like a few weeks ago I was commenting on the summer solstice, and now here we are in the world of pre - 16:00 sunsets, and only a month to go until the winter solstice! Come on, own up... Who's messing about with time? Lol

Make that three of us who enjoy the darker evenings!

Morning everyone. Sorry I’ve been quiet… Real life and all that… But I have to say, what an absolutely beautiful grey, misty, murky October’s day it is today! To me there’s something perfect about a grey, misty, foggy autumn day in October.

It’s cool grey and rainy here in north east Wales, with the mist and hill fog rolling in, and after the horror’s that this summer has forced upon me, this current weather feels more wonderful than ever! 🌫🌧🌫️🌫 More please!!

Update… I’ve now got another storm rumbling towards me from the south!! 🌩⛈

I’m currently watching a cracking little thunderstorm over towards Chester way. 🌩⛈

Currently enjoying my first proper thunderstorm of the year! 🌩⛈

Just seen a most beautiful flash of lightning over to my west! 🌩

Morning everyone. A day late in posting this, but yesterday we had a lovely misty morning to start autumn off for another year.

Morning everyone. I have to say that it certainly feels 'backendish' outside this morning. Plus I've also seen my first daddy Longlegs of the season! ... Autumn is most definitely starting to pop its head up over the top of the metaphorical parapet!

Signs of this hellish heatwave is starting to come to an end! 🌩⛈ Towers now starting to go up all the way around me now. 🌩 Plus the sky is no longer blue!

We have ignition over south western Snowdonia!! 🌩⛈ Too far west for me today… But it’s an encouraging sign! 🌩⛈