Uncle_Barty

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About Uncle_Barty

  • Birthday 01/07/64

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    Male
  • Location
    sunny sunny Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences
    Winter: Bartlett style mild and benign

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  1. Does this imply an increasing likelihood of unsettled weather /troughing/mobile w'ly as the main summer pattern is set, meaning a decent August is once again less likely?
  2. What???! Next week's weather hasn't happened yet....... How anyone could claim that one model has trumped another wrt the weather that isnt even going to happen for 7 days yet is beyond me, sorry.
  3. I suspect not. think it will all form north and west of here. The somewhat disturbed looking mid-level cloud formations seem to have gone and clouds melting away here. Not going to rule it out altogether, of course, but unless something blows up very quickly to the south, we're in for a quiet and probably dry night here.
  4. There is still plenty of time for this to be all shunted East. I'm not buying it until it's at t+48. Seen it happen so often before, even with good inter-model agreement. As soon at the DE runs the heatwave headline, the models will back down!
  5. Tamara, Is it too simplistic to say low AAM = static global patterns? Can you suggest any further reading where I can improve my knowledge of the various teleconnections (you speak about in your post), how they knit together etc?
  6. Not so much "Summer is over", daft statement to make on May 29th, but certainly "on hold indefinitely" from the current output. The sheer amount of northern blocking being modelled has all the hallmarks of a washout summer from recent times about it. BUT I seem to recall that we were having a similar discussion this time last year, and for a time the model output looked pretty pessimistic, with plenty of northern blocking/NW Euro trough. but as we all remember, it did turn around fairly swiftly with an OK June in the end. Let's hope we are looking at rather different output a week from now.......
  7. Barometer dipped to 975.9mb here today - the lowest reading in the summer half of the year I have recorded in my records going back to 1996

    1. Polar Maritime
    2. DiagonalRedLine
    3. Aaron

      Aaron

      936mb looks a bit off.. the centre of the low is near London

  8. ok, thanks. Thought it might be but wasn't sure as it appeared to be in the list of radar-only subscribers' links.
  9. Hi all, In the Radar Links (I have a radar subscription) I am clicking the link below but unable to access that page as my sub apparently doesnt cover it. Is this an error, or does access require a full Extra sub? http://www.netweather.tv/secure/cgi-bin/premium.pl?action=rainfall;sess=1d357d4e6f34f7fc70eb0c4d490e3216
  10. Good grief the Model Output thread is hard work these days! Reduced to skimming through it looking for posts from the select few that keep it objective and dont dissect almost every chart out to 384. Grief!!

  11. In the garden, mowing the lawn in t-shirt and feeling rather warm. Rather enjoying this winter so far!

    1. Summer Sun

      Summer Sun

      yes its been a good one for mild weather

  12. Looking for a large pin so I can pop the Greenie high that threatens to spoil summer for an extended period...