NorthYorksWeather

Yes thats always the issue. The Moors often gobbles the showers and the likes of Malton, Stamford Bridge/ Pock are left with scraps. We may be slightly too far inland but i wont throw in towel until tomorrow morning. Il be on Moors by late morning so hopefully see some snow if we miss it here.

Quick look at tonights snow shower forecast from the WRF NMM. Several inches likely for the parts of the North York Moors and Yorkshire Wolds. I feel I might be a bit too far west to catch any showers as the winds are slightly west of north but happy to be proven wrong. Few members on here possibly seeing some snow @Jeremy Shockey @Wold Topper @Aiden2012 @reef Fylingdales will be fun tonight!

Bit of snow over top of Moors this afternoon whilst at work. Snow showers now making a b-line for the Yorkshire Coast, quite a bit of snow likely overnight for the same folk in December who saw a lot of snow around the Whitby/Scarborough area. Really has been a great winter for those on the coast with a few inches that lasted a week in December, a covering in January and some more tonight.

Slightly disappointed to see the trend moving away from a North Easterly aspect to the flow that was modelled quite widely over the last few days, especially for Mon night into Tuesday. Those juicy convective showers and any possible disturbances moving across eastern areas into central regions have now disappeared with the models just showing showers grazing eastern coasts as what happened back in December. ECM does still keep some hope but the 6z UKMO shows the flow due north to slightly west of north.

NMM Hi res model just coming into range for the low pressure off the east coast of Scotland on Monday evening. An organised band of heavy snow moving into NE Scotland.

18z GFS has a deeper low running down eastern areas on Tuesday morning giving an more organised band of snow sweeping southwards across the country. Likely blizzard conditions over the North York Moors and exposed coastal areas. ICON however has no low whatsoever with just a clean convective cold flow off the North Sea. Both UKMO and EC have this low so ICON on its own there.

Me either Aidan here near Malton not far from you, narrowly missed out back in December whereas only a few miles east saw a good dumping. GFS is dream event for us that are snow starved. Unfortunately its a long way off so probably likely to chop and change a lot between now and then. Looks like round 2 incoming at 216hrs but this one likely to be a snow to rain event. Certainly feel a bit more positive after the 12z EC and 18Z GFS after a poor 12z ICON/UKMO/GFS. Hopefully the 00z's prolong the cold spell.

I appreciate you will be looking for official data but amateur wise Lee from Highland Weather recorded a low of -20.0C in December last year in Schillochan, near Carrbridge in the Highlands.

Surprised at such negative comments regarding the ECM this morning. It’s a huge improvement to last nights run, especially in the short term and if you look at the 216-240 timeframe it’s likely the colder air to the NE will filter our way as the low to the west spawns a shortwave across towards Scandi which would acts as our “trigger low” to advect the coldest air over Norway towards us. GFS has shown the scenario a handful of times over the last couple of days so perhaps we are seeing some agreement on how we MIGHT manage to advect some decent cold air our way. UKMO is similar to the EC this morning which is good news, fingers crossed for some further upgrades as the day progresses.

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Thanks. Is it strictly winter Dec-Feb or is it Autumn to Spring? I imagine it will be quite low this winter as we have had no snow falling nor settling, quite a few days below 0 though.

Hi Kev is there somewhere where I can see how your index’s are calculated as id like to start doing something like this in the future. Thanks

My coldest stations are just nudging -8°C now, with lots at -6/7°C. Most of which have some snow cover but not all of them. Wonder if we can make it to -10°C?

Yeah I'm heading to work 5.30am just outside Malton. Plenty of showers forecast for our area later Weds/Thurs but milder 850s are dragged in off North Sea so looks like rain.

Well only a few hours out and all the models still can't agree on the track of any precipitation tonight. The warning from the Met Office is quite a large area which suggests to me they have no clue either, looks like a good old fashioned radar watch overnight and keep everything crossed.

Latest forecast for tonight from the NMM. The track has remained the same but looks like there is less intensity which isn't good news for those lower down.

I suppose we have the time of day on our side. Very early morning, just need to hope precipitation is quite heavy to bring the snowline down. The Met Office do mention they are not expecting snow to low levels but could turn to snow in heavier or prolonged showers.

Worth noting there is still model disagreement regarding the track of this feature tonight even less that 24 hours away. The UKMET model for example doesn't even get it north of Sheffield.

58mph recorded in the village here on a weather station and only 65m asl. as Wold Topper said Hasty Bank at 80mph and Loftus near Whitby has hit 74mph. Wildest night for some time.

-7.1°C overnight here, the lowest since Feb 2021. Most of the snow showers east of here but managed to clip one earlier giving the slightest of sugar dustings. Inland elevated areas near the coast are getting some good snow totals by sound of it.

NMM showing wintry showers moving down across eastern areas tomorrow morning, probably a mix of rain sleet at low levels/coast but inland with a bit of elevation might see some surprises.

Bit of sleet on North York Moors today above 400m. These showers should be turning to snow up there as the night progresses, back home near Malton its rain showers at 3.5c.

Think I saw a chart posted area showing late Nov 2010 has north sea temps of around 8-9c so marginally colder than now. An interesting week coming up, not looking like much snow depth wise but a few places could see a covering plus some low overnight minimas, especially where we have snowcover. All my weather stations are poised and ready to record some low temps, hopefully this thread is nice and busy come end of the week.

The main difference with the ICON this afternoon is more noticeable on the NH view. Big changes the other side of the Arctic with the PV. 0z 12z