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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
6z GEFS Short ensembles for my location in North Yorkshire. Worth noting at day 7 both the OP and control are both quite slow at bringing on the cold air compared to many other members. Perhaps could see a quicker evolution to cold on this afternoons runs. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Good evening folks. On the 14th of January I will be heading to Dalwhinnie for a week with my wife and daughter for our annual winter getaway in the Cairngorms. We have been rather unlucky in recent years with snow having recently melted or arriving after we’ve headed back to North Yorkshire. Keeping a close eye on the models at the moment as perhaps this year we have hit the jackpot. Hoping to take a weather station with me this year to keep an eye on the temperatures and contribute to this group if I see any exciting weather. Here’s a picture of the house we are staying at in Dalwhinnie from the day we arrived last year with the previous guests snowman to greet us from the big dump they’d had the week before.
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Quick look at yesterdays ECM 0z mean at day 10. Clear sign of the UK based high heading for Greenland. Now a look at this mornings 0z mean for the same date but now day 9. Looks like higher heights lingering around the UK for longer which just delays the retrogression towards Greenland a tad. Skip to this mornings day 10 mean and we have lift off with the high heading NW. The retrogression signal is clear across all suites but let’s hope we can count this down into the reliable without any hiccups. Buckle up! -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Me viewing the afternoon runs -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Not bad early morning or afternoon but by eck it came wi heavy rain at around 10.30ish. Working out Scarborough way again which looked to of copped the heaviest rain as wettest place was Hackness only a few mile inland from coast. Looking at adding another 5-10 weather stations to my network before winter which will take me close to 50 stations on my network. Here's a link if anyone can help a mad mans cause, thanks Expanding North Yorkshire Weather Station Network - a Personal Causes crowdfunding project in Malton by NorthYorksWeather WWW.CROWDFUNDER.CO.UK To raise funds to expand my weather station network enabling me to continue to collect and share weather data from across North Yorkshire.
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Ey up I was in Dalby this morning. Wife was doing the 10k Forest run first thing so dropped her off and drove right through the Forest up to top bit and there was still a fair amount of snow left as you say. Forest was 3.5°C yet Pickering was already up at 9°C. Heading Hartoft and Rosedale tomorrow but I think it will be more wet than white unfortunately. You should see a covering on Moors first thing Tuesday morning I reckon from that back edge snow event, not sure about HLH but you won’t have to drive far up Blakey to find some hopefully.