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Gavin P

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Posts posted by Gavin P

  1.  

    Ah right. Well, if anyone wants to use the one I made, go ahead.

     

    Year: OPI

    1976:  -1.75
    1977:  -0.95
    1978:  -1.8
    1979:  -0.5
    1980:  -0.05
    1981:  -0.4
    1982:  -1.1
    1983:  -0.3
    1984:  -1.8
    1985:  -1.9
    1986:  -1.3
    1987:  -0.45
    1988:  1.45
    1989:  0.25
    1990:  0.55
    1991:  1.1
    1992:  1.75
    1993:  -0.15
    1994:  0.7
    1995:  -0.65
    1996:  -0.75
    1997:  -0.75
    1998:  0.1
    1999:  -0.2
    2000:  -0.75
    2001:  0.45
    2002:  -0.9
    2003:  -0.7
    2004:  0.3
    2005:  -0.7
    2006:  0.85
    2007:  0.75
    2008:  0.25
    2009:  -3.15
    2010:  -0.85
    2011:  0.65
    2012:  -1.65
    2013:  1.6

     

     

    Lovely list, many thanks. :)  I might use this as the basis for a post on my blog tonight or tomorrow, if that's OK?

     

    Don't suppose theres any way of finding out what the OPI was in 46 and 62 is there? :wink:

  2. Morning all,

    Heres the sixth winter 2012/2013 round-up video;

    http://gavsweathervids.com/

    Again exploring things like SST's, snow cover extent, solar, etc...

    Hopefully next week I'll have the final seasonal model round-up, then the week after that I'll put the round-ups and seasonal models together with the NAO forecast from June and try to make a forecast for the winter of 2012/2013.

    As ever thanks for your support. :)

  3. Hello folks,

    http://www.gavsweathervids.com/terryscholey.html

    Here's Terry Scholey's month ahead forecast:

    November 2012 final update.

    General Comments:

    A changeable, rather cold and at times wet November is envisaged, with rainfall totals probably above normal. It could also occasionally be quite blustery, but there will be dry, finer, colder spells when overnight frosts could locally be quite sharp.

    The origin of air masses this coming month will often be from the Iceland or Scandinavia areas making it feel rather cold, even when winds are blowing from the west. Frost and snow mostly on hills should be more frequent than usual, with the mean average temperature over most of the country likely to be below average. Confidence is medium to high for the first half and medium for the second.

    Summary:

    November 1st to 4th: Unsettled and rather cold. There will be showers and some longer spells of rain with snow at times on northern hills. The east and south will have the best of the sunny intervals. Top temperatures will be 6 to 9C, with minimum values say -1 to +3C giving slight frost in places.

    November 5th to 8th: Still rather cold with showers particularly in the east at first, but becoming finer and drier for a time. There will be sunny spells, but mostly slight frost could be more widespread. Maximum temperatures should be 5 to 9C, with minimum values mainly in the range -2 to +2C.

    November 9th to 12th: Becoming unsettled again and probably quite windy for a time with variable temperatures, although it could briefly become milder particularly in the north and west. Occasional rain or showers seem likely with snow possible on northern hills particularly later. Top temperatures should be 7 to 11C, with probably somewhat milder nights say between 2 and 6C....

    To read the rest please click here:

    http://www.gavsweathervids.com/terryscholey.html

  4. strongest storm for this location...should be added.

    Latest visual shows the very good centre that kold mentioned. It's losing 1c of sst now for roughly each hr and is probably on ssts of 23c so baroclonic forces will be at play in the next 2-4 hrs imho.

    Storm surge has been officially increased to 12-15ft for parts of NYC and surrounds now..

    cdo is about the size of new jersey now.

    Lovely sat picture.

  5. Hi all,

    Here's my fourth winter 2012/2013 round-up video;

    http://www.gavsweathervids.com/

    Looks at things like SST's anomalies, ice and snow cover, solar activity, etc... To see how things are developing as we move towards winter.

    I should just say that these videos are building up a picture and at the end of November I'll combine the "round-up" videos with the seasonal model videos to produce an "official" forcast for winter 2012/2013.

    So all of these videos are eventually leading to a final conclussion.

    As ever, thanks for your support and if you've got any questions about the video please ask. :)

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