-
Posts
2,527 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by sundog
-
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
sundog replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No point taking what the models are showing too seriously regarding Xmas until next weekend imo . Atm there at least seems to be some scope for improvement to what they are showing currently. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
sundog replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think it maybe a good thing if/when it turns milder the second week of Dec. Gives us more time for things to turn back in our favour for Christmas. Better that that turning milder in the 3rd week etc. Of course I would like it to be cold all the way through but that would be unrealistic. Hopefully the cold pattern can return in time for Christmas........ -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
sundog replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
100% . I just want it the hell out of the way to our south. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
sundog replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed, don't know why some are getting caught up on the exact position of the low yet when it's still a number of days away. Plenty more runs to come before then..... -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
sundog replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think the Yr an easterly got down to T72 and then was gone was Feb 2007. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
sundog replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like a Murr sausage attempt lol. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
sundog replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Would ground temperatures not need to fall alot for no snow melt? ( if there was snow about ). All the wettness in the ground would produce some latent heat also I presume. Need the ground to dry up somewhat over the next while. -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
sundog replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
If not Jan then maybe Feb lol. The carrot dangling on a stick all winter. Before we know it, it will be March . -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
sundog replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Looking at these charts from early jan 77. Can't imagine the same type of turnaround happening nowadays. Pv over Greenland, Hp to the south on Jan 4th. Only a few days later Jan 9th Arctic air moving south as the Hp moved towards greenland. If that was nowadays we'd be stuck on the Jan 4th 1977 type charts for weeks. Really saddening how much our winters have generally changed ...... -
November 88 is one of my favourites. Some nice dry crisp frosty weather about that month. Think it was easily the month with the most amount of cold weather that particular autumn/winter season which otherwise was very poor. It was one of the last times I remember smog being an issue in Dublin.
-
Indeed and surely the first half of this autumn must have been one of the warmest if not the warmest on record . Then some complaining about the cold already ,when temperatures have been fairly average the last week or 2. Can't get my head around that.
-
Of course it always has to be something milder appearing these days doesn't it? Yawn
-
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
sundog replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Surely a fired up jet stream is bad for the chance of cold spells and a sluggish one is better. For example when the eastern states get a cold spell that can fire up the jet across the Atlantic bringing us plenty of rain and little cold. -
Still not had the heating on yet. Will probably have to put it on though before the end of the month. From 9th Nov my energy provider are reducing costs by 15.5% so that's better then nothing.
-
No had it on yet, was thinking about it last night though but held off. Since the end of march have only had it on for 2 hrs that was in April. Last autumn/winter I kept a little diary of when the heating was on, how many hrs a day. To get an idea of the cost.
-
-
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
sundog replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Last week there were a couple of posters that were contradicting about the current warm spell. Now we have others that are contradicting the coming cold spell -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
sundog replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Can't remember early March 2015. The first few days of Feb were the coldest of the winter. Cold snap with frost. -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
sundog replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Was winter 14/15 the sunniest on record for parts of the UK and Ireland? It was a winter that for all the pm air I was always waiting for something more substantial to happen which never did. Frustrating. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
sundog replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Agreed I'd take anything thats going at this stage. Beggers can't be choosers for coldies these days. Cold weather adds a lovely ambience to late October/ early Nov imo. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
sundog replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
sundog replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I often think the switch over times of the year are around mid April and mid October. -
Was in Rome for a few days. Flying home yesterday evening crossing the Alps. Probably the only snow I will see over the next few months. Considering how warm Europe has been recently I was surprised to see any at all.
-
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
sundog replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Unfortunately it looks like that. I really think this winter will be utter dog s##t. Thankfully I have other hobbies other then weather that will help take my mind off it, to an extent anyway. -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
sundog replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The warm September curse ...ready to strike again........