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Lettucing Gutted

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Posts posted by Lettucing Gutted


  1. Gray-Wolf, I think we will be very lucky if Antarctic Ice Loss and Arctic Ice "only" cause a Super-Interglacial.  I fear more likely we are gonna end up in a full blown greenhouse era.  We are already on track to be warmer than at least 4C above the global 1750 average.  Even the Super-Interglacials of the Quaternary were only 1.5C-2C above the global 1750 average.

    I also think there could be more than sea level rise involved in the pole to pole melt connection.  Loss of most if not all of Antarctic Ice would reduce or even eliminate Antarctic Bottom Water production in the Southern Ocean.  With less AABW or no even no AABW in the North Atlantic Ocean, North Atlantic Deep Water production would increase bigtime which in turn would beef up the warm Gulf Stream current.  This would cause rapid warming and deglaciation of both Greenland and the Arctic Sea Ice.


  2. 2019 will be a very horrible year and the hottest on record at 15.5C CET.  The Globe will average 16C making it the hottest year on record Globally.  This summer the polar jet reaches the Artic, dies and leaves a "polar weakstream" swirling around a dying Greenland PV.  The subtropical jet also reaches the Artic and replaces the dead polar jet.  A main "subtropical weakstream" swirls around the North Pole whilst an even weaker "subtropical weakstream" merges with the last "polar weakstream" swirling around the dying Greenland PV.  The African Monsoon Trough finally jumps the Sahara and Mediterranean into Europe and affects Britain and Europe from the 1000mb to the 500mb level with an outflow ridge on top to form the British Monsoon system.  The British Monsoon forms a monster Mid-Atlantic Ridge and a monster Bartlett Ridge sending heatwaves to obliterate the last of the Artic Ice.  Britain always remains mild if not very mild in winter and always remains hot if not very hot in the other seasons but swings from flood to drought so many times you just can't keep up!  Britain gets monster floods from the interaction of the British Monsoon with Spanish Plumes which also create Supercell Thunderstorms and F5 Twisters.  However Britain also gets monster droughts when ex-hurricanes and/or rare "weakstream" troughs send the monster Mid-Atlantic Ridges toppling over Britain and merging into the monster Bartlett Ridges.  I am also expecting an explosive "Methane Burp" to occur in 2019 as the warming oceans destabilise Methane Hydrates.  Combined with yet more water vapour from the warming oceans, this Methane Burp will worsen global warming more than ever this year.

    January the warmest on record 9.5C

    February the warmest on record 10C

    March the warmest on record 12C

    April the warmest on record 14C

    May the warmest on record 17.5C

    June the warmest on record 20.5C

    July the warmest on record 22C

    August the warmest on record 21.5C

    September the warmest on record 19C

    October the warmest on record 15.5C

    November the warmest on record 13C

    December the warmest on record 12C

    2019 will be the Bob Beamon Year of CET Warming.

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  3. With a blocking Scandi High of 588 DAM there must some exceptionally warm air tied in with that one!  Even my wildest blowtorch predictions have never foreseen a 588 DAM Scandi High in the middle of November.  That must be unprecedented for late autumn and winter.  Even in summer heatwave patterns, 588 DAM Highs in High and Mid-High Latitudes are exceptional and noteworthy.  You'd think though, that such a 500 HPA High would be impossible without low level maximum temperatures in the 30C+ range?

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  4. Winters 2013/2014, 2014/2015, 2015/2016, 2016/2017 and 2017/2018 were all too mild and wet and stormy for my liking.  Summers 2013, 2014, 2016, 2017 and 2018 have also been too hot and muggy.  Autumns 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016 and 2017 and 2018 have all been too warm and often wet.  Springs 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018 have also been too mild and often wet for me.

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  5. 6 hours ago, jvenge said:

    I guess the issue with the arctic is there is no doomsday scenario as with Greenland or Antarctica. Nobody can really say why an ice free arctic would be bad in summer. Some might try and handwave some tenuous link to coastal erosion, but thats about it.

    As well as the "positive" feedback involving reduced albedo, the biggest doomsday scenario resulting from Arctic Sea ice loss is the massive release of methane from the Arctic seabed.


  6. @CheeseAndOnionCrisps  Not all summer and autumn Atlantic months are cold.  In fact some have been warm or very warm.  Examples are September 2002, September 2004, September 2006 and September 2011, August 2000, August 2002 and August 2004, July 2010 and July 2017.  All of these months were dominated by unsettled warm and humid Maritime Tropical Atlantic Systems due to a Warm Zonality jet or the UK being in the eastern side of the Mid-Atlantic Trough.  Even in months were most of the UK is stuck under hot and dry Continental Tropical air, at least northwestern Scotland is often stuck under Maritime Tropical West/Southwesterlies.

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  7. The lovely cold winter weather of Febreer and March feels a million lifetimes away for me.  I fear we will have to suffer another 5 years without a winter before we see its likes again, at least.  Needless to say I have hated the hellish heatwaves that have been with us (with only brief interruptions of Atlantic garbage) since April!  In contrast I loved the "classic" cold weather in February and March though I wish March wasn't as wet as it was. 

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