Lettucing Gutted
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April 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Lettucing Gutted replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
14C Last sub 5C April in 1837. Last sub 6C April in 1986. Last sub 7C April in 1989. Last sub 7.5C April in 2012. 200mm of Atlantic garbage! -
March 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Lettucing Gutted replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
12C Last sub 2C March in 1883. Last sub 3C and last sub 4C March in 2013. Last sub 5C and last sub 5.5C March in 2018. 200mm of Atlantic garbage. -
February 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Lettucing Gutted replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Rest in pieces 'winter' 2020/2021! 10C Last sub -1C, last sub 0C and last sub 1C February in 1986. Last sub 2C February in 1991. Last sub 3C and last sub 3.5C February in 2018. Out with a mild whimper... Also very wet with 500mm of Atlantic garbage -
Predictions for 2021?
Lettucing Gutted replied to Weather-history's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
2021 will be a very horrible year and the hottest on record at 15.5C CET and both COVID-19 and COVID-20 will be there as well and all the attendant lockdown misery through it all. The Globe will average 16C making it the hottest year on record Globally. This summer the polar jet reaches the Artic, dies and leaves a "polar weakstream" swirling around a dying Greenland PV. The subtropical jet also reaches the Artic and replaces the dead polar jet. A main "subtropical weakstream" swirls around the North Pole whilst an even weaker "subtropical weakstream" merges with the last "polar weakstream" swirling around the dying Greenland PV. The African Monsoon Trough finally jumps the Sahara and Mediterranean into Europe and affects Britain and Europe from the 1000mb to the 500mb level with an outflow ridge on top to form the British Monsoon system. The British Monsoon forms a monster Mid-Atlantic Ridge and a monster Bartlett Ridge sending heatwaves to obliterate the last of the Artic Ice. Britain always remains mild if not very mild in winter and always remains hot if not very hot in the other seasons but swings from flood to drought so many times you just can't keep up! Britain gets monster floods from the interaction of the British Monsoon with Spanish Plumes which also create Supercell Thunderstorms and F5 Twisters. However Britain also gets monster droughts when ex-hurricanes and/or rare "weakstream" troughs send the monster Mid-Atlantic Ridges toppling over Britain and merging into the monster Bartlett Ridges. I am also expecting an explosive "Methane Burp" to occur in 2021 as the warming oceans destabilise Methane Hydrates. Combined with yet more water vapour from the warming oceans, this Methane Burp will worsen global warming more than ever this year. January the warmest on record 9.5C February the warmest on record 10C March the warmest on record 12C April the warmest on record 14C May the warmest on record 17.5C June the warmest on record 20.5C July the warmest on record 22C August the warmest on record 21.5C September the warmest on record 19C October the warmest on record 15.5C November the warmest on record 13C December the warmest on record 12C 2021 will be the Bob Beamon Year of CET Warming. -
January 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Lettucing Gutted replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
9.5C Last sub -3.0C January in 1795. Last sub -2.0C and sub -1.0C January in 1963. Last sub 0C January in 1979. Last sub 1C January in 1987. Last sub 2C, last sub 3C and last sub 3.5C January in 2010. -
Plumes... why are they so warm?
Lettucing Gutted replied to mushymanrob's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I think one of the things if not the main thing that stops intense surface heat rising is a strong temperature inversion, effectively laying extremely hot air over very hot air and stabilizing the very hot Continental Tropical airmass, at least until the next deep active cold front arrives. This temperature inversion is created by a mass of very hot and dry upper level Tropical Superior air subsiding through a very deep layer of the troposphere and warming at the dry air adiabatic lapse rate. This subsidence is strongest went its forced by both upper level convergence under the upper level ridge and upper level convergence under a right exit region of a jet streak. -
October 2020 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Lettucing Gutted replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
15.5C. Last sub 6C October in 1740. Last sub 7C October in 1896. Last sub 8C October in 1992. Last sub 9C October in 1993. 200mm from monsoons and Atlantic garbage -
August 2020 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Lettucing Gutted replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Rest in pieces summer 2020! 21.5C Last sub 13C August in 1912. Last sub 14C August in 1986. Last sub 15C and last sub 15.5C August in 2014. 200mm from monsoons and Atlantic garbage! -
All the bad news updates about the Artic Ice are literarily pouring down in here now thick and fast. July alone this year is going through pages of bad news. At this rate a BOE is going to happen this year. The fact that the above mentioned Low over the North Pole has 10C+ 850hpa temperatures shows its a not a good old Polar Low but a mid latitude or even subtropical storm forming out-of-bounds. A good old Polar Low would have 850hpa temperatures at least 15C colder than that. The tropics are literally invading the Artic.
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Polar ice loss is the most depressing thing I've ever seen.
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July 2020 CET & EWP forecast contests
Lettucing Gutted replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The misery of the 3rd millennium continues... 22C Last sub 14C July in 1922. Last sub 15C July in 1988. Last sub 15.5C July in 2011. 200mm from monsoons and Atlantic garbage! -
I believe its time for the June 2020 forecasts thread but I can't see it about so I'll start it again. 20.5C Last sub 12C June in 1972. Last sub 13C and last sub 13.5C June in 1991. 200 mm from Atlantic garbage and monsoons.
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I wouldn't rule out 2014 being beaten as that year had a pretty cold august and a near average December.
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May 2020 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Lettucing Gutted replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Rest in pieces 'spring' 2020! 17.5C Last sub 9C May in 1902. Last sub 10C May in 1996. Last sub 11C May in 2015. 200mm from monsoons and Atlantic garbage! -
April 2020 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Lettucing Gutted replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
14C Last sub 5C April in 1837. Last sub 6C April in 1986. Last sub 7C April in 1989. Last sub 7.5C April in 2012. 200mm of Atlantic garbage! -
March 2020 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Lettucing Gutted replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
12C Last sub 2C March in 1883. Last sub 3C and last sub 4C March in 2013. Last sub 5C and last sub 5.5C March in 2018. 200mm of Atlantic garbage. -
Predictions for 2020?
Lettucing Gutted replied to Weather-history's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
By the same token, we are now overdue any sort of dry month and season. Our last dry month was back in July 2019 and our last dry season was back in summer 2018. -
February 2020 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Lettucing Gutted replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Rest in pieces 'winter' 2019/2020! 10C Last sub -1C, last sub 0C and last sub 1C February in 1986. Last sub 2C February in 1991. Last sub 3C and last sub 3.5C February in 2018. Out with a mild whimper... Also very wet with 500mm of Atlantic garbage -
January 2020 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Lettucing Gutted replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
9.5C Last sub -3.0C January in 1795. Last sub -2.0C and sub -1.0C January in 1963. Last sub 0C January in 1979. Last sub 1C January in 1987. Last sub 2C, last sub 3C and last sub 3.5C January in 2010. 200mm of Atlantic garbage