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Lettucing Gutted

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
  • Interests
    I love cool/cold winters, cool/cold springs, cool/cold summers and cool/cold autumns. I love cool/cold Atlantic weather types. I love "cool/cold sunshine and cool/cold gentle showers" weather types. I love cool/cold/frosty sunny weather types. I love snowy/sleety/blizzards weather types. I love cool/cold and stormy/thundery weather types. I love cool/cold and cloudy and cool/cold foggy weather types. I love cool/cold and light rain/drizzle weather types. I love Maritime Polar and Continental Polar and Arctic airmasses.

    I hate mild/warm winters, mild/hot springs, mild/hot summers and mild/hot autumns. I hate mild/warm and humid Atlantic weather types. I hate mild/hot and sunny weather types. I hate mild/hot and stormy/thundery weather types. I hate mild/hot and humid continental weather types. I hate mild/warm and cloudy and mild/warm and foggy weather types. I hate moderate and torrential intensity rain weather types regardless of temperature. I hate gale force and worse force winds without snow. I hate mild/warm and light rain/drizzle weather types. I hate Maritime Tropical and Continental Tropical airmasses.
  • Weather Preferences
    cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns

Recent Profile Visitors

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  1. Rest in pieces 'winter' 2017/2018! 10C Last sub -1C, last sub 0C and last sub 1C February in 1986. Last sub 2C February in 1991. Last sub 3C February in 2010. Last sub 3.5C February in 2013. Out with a mild whimper... Also very wet with 500mm
  2. Predictions for 2017?

    I'm surprised that no one has mentioned anything about the complete lack of cold months in 2017. Even the coolest months anomaly wise (August, September, November and December) were all very close to average and at least compared to all 3 modern 30 year averages, they were below average by the smallest amount on record. This even beats hte very feeble cool anomalies from 1999, 2002, 2004 and 2005.
  3. Yet another year has gone by and the world is still nowhere closer to slowing down global warming let alone stop or reverse it.

  4. I forgot my precipitation forecast. 200mm
  5. 2018 Hopes & Predictions

    2018 will be a very horrible year and the hottest on record at 15.5C CET. The Globe will average 16C making it the hottest year on record Globally. This summer the polar jet reaches the Artic, dies and leaves a "polar weakstream" swirling around a dying Greenland PV. The subtropical jet also reaches the Artic and replaces the dead polar jet. A main "subtropical weakstream" swirls around the North Pole whilst an even weaker "subtropical weakstream" merges with the last "polar weakstream" swirling around the dying Greenland PV. The African Monsoon Trough finally jumps the Sahara and Mediterranean into Europe and affects Britain and Europe from the 1000mb to the 500mb level with an outflow ridge on top to form the British Monsoon system. The British Monsoon forms a monster Mid-Atlantic Ridge and a monster Bartlett Ridge sending heatwaves to obliterate the last of the Artic Ice. Britain always remains mild if not very mild in winter and always remains hot if not very hot in the other seasons but swings from flood to drought so many times you just can't keep up! Britain gets monster floods from the interaction of the British Monsoon with Spanish Plumes which also create Supercell Thunderstorms and F5 Twisters. However Britain also gets monster droughts when ex-hurricanes and/or rare "weakstream" troughs send the monster Mid-Atlantic Ridges toppling over Britain and merging into the monster Bartlett Ridges. I am also expecting an explosive "Methane Burp" to occur in 2018 as the warming oceans destabilise Methane Hydrates. Combined with yet more water vapour from the warming oceans, this Methane Burp will worsen global warming more than ever this year. January the warmest on record 9.5C February the warmest on record 10C March the warmest on record 12C April the warmest on record 14C May the warmest on record 17.5C June the warmest on record 20.5C July the warmest on record 22C August the warmest on record 21.5C September the warmest on record 19C October the warmest on record 15.5C November the warmest on record 13C December the warmest on record 12C 2018 will be the Bob Beamon Year of CET Warming.
  6. 9.5C Last sub -3.0C January in 1795. Last sub -2.0C and sub -1.0C January in 1963. Last sub 0C January in 1979. Last sub 1C January in 1987. Last sub 2C, last sub 3C and last sub 3.5C January in 2010.
  7. That's very interesting Grey Wolf. The sight of beached ice combined with the extreme temperature contrasts must have been very surreal, at least for Germany! Would such ice beachings combined with the temperature extremes, at least in Germany, be exclusively winter and spring phenomena or can they occur in other seasons as well?
  8. Another mild washout whimper to end another naff year. Rest in pieces 2017! 12C Last sub 0C, last sub 1C, last sub 2C, last sub 3C and last sub 4C December all in 2010. 200mm
  9. November 2017 C.E.T. forecasts

    Thanks Summer Blizzard. Interestingly, at least in the recorded part of the Little Ice Age, Octobers with CETs of at least 12C were almost unheard of. The first on record was 1811. However that autumns September and November were both slightly mild (13.7C and 7.7C respectively) so they don't the criterion of at least 1C below average. Autumn 1831 had an October that was 12.7C. The prior September was slightly mild at 13.7C whilst the following November was cold at 5.6C. October 1831 remains the warmest on record to be followed by a sub 6C November. Autumn 1921 had an October that was almost the first 13C at 12.8C. The prior September was slightly mild at 14.1C whilst the following November was very cold at 4.6C. October 1921 remains the warmest on record to be followed by a sub 5C November. Autumn 1969 had an October that was the first 13C at 13C. The prior September was slightly mild at 13.9C whilst the following November was cold at 5.4C. October 1969 remains the warmest on record to be followed by a sub 6C November.
  10. November 2017 C.E.T. forecasts

    Summer Blizzard, If you mean consecutively from year to year then here is a list for all months of the year that were at least 1C consecutively below average:- January 1979 and 1980 (we had a close but no cigar in 2009 and 2010) February 1985 and 1986 (this potentially could have been a 10 year run from 1978 to 1987 but this was broken up by milder Februarys) March 1984 and 1985 (this was almost a 4 year run from 1984 to 1987) April 1917 and 1918 (1919 just missed out on making this a 3 year run. There have been some close but no cigars since in 1969 and 1970, and 1977 and 1978. Even in the cooler 20th century consecutive near average or mild or even very mild Aprils were favoured over well below average Aprils) May 1897 to 1899 (this 3 year run from 1897 to 1899 almost included 1900. There was also close but no cigars since in 1906 and 1907, 1962 and 1963, 1967 and 1968, and 1983 and 1984. As with April, consecutive well below average, at least 1C below the 1961-1990 average Mays have been very rare since 1900) June 1971 and 1972 (there have been some close but no cigars since in 1977 and 1978, 1990 and 1991, and 2012 and 2013) July 1965 and 1966 (there have been some close but no cigars since in 1980 and 1981, and 2011 and 2012) August 1985 and 1986 (this was almost a 4 year run from 1985 to 1988. 1992 and 1993 was a close but no cigar) September 1922 and 1923 (there were close but no cigars since in 1927 and 1928, 1931 and 1932, 1962 and 1963, and 1993 and 1994) October 1992 and 1993 (there was a close but no cigar in 2002 and 2003) November 1936 and 1937 (there was a close but no cigar since in 1961 and 1962 and a 5 year close but no cigar from 1965 to 1969) December 2008 to 2010 (even this feels a lifetime away now!)
  11. Myself and Northeasterly Blast believe that the UK climate has warmed in stages. Stage 1 began with the very stormy October 1987 which cumulated with the "Hurricane" and this whole initial period ended with the cold January 1997. During this initial period there was a sudden uptick in extremes such as storms, floods, droughts and heatwaves and other exceptional mild spells. Already in tis period mild years and mild or even very mild seasons began to dominate, however occasional cold or even very cold seasons still occurred whilst the occasional cold year still occurred. Sub 10C still rivalled double figure years for their occurrence. Stage 2 began with the very mild February 1997 and ended with the unexceptionally cold March 2006. During this period any remotely cold seasons or years were non-existent whilst even slightly below average months became ever rarer. Pitiful cold spells via short-lived topplers, easterlies or inversion cold were still common though. Very mild or mild seasons were already becoming the new norm with years almost always in double figures apart from 2001. Stage 3 began with April 2006 and ended with June 2007. During this period even pitiful cold spells were very rare, whilst even remotely cold months were non-existent. Every season and nearly every month was near-record breaking or even record breaking. The 12 months from May 2006 to April 2007 inclusive averaged way above 11C. The cold July 2007 to cool June 2013 period saw something of a return to at least Stafe 1 conditions were very mild months, easons and even years were still comoon. Howwver these were offset by much more potent cold spells in all seasons. Cold months, seasons and years made an unexpected return with DECember 2010 and March 2013 near record breakingly cold. Alas, starting with the very hot July 2013, I believe we have entered Stage 4 Uk warming. This period has seen even pitiful cold spells via topplers, shortlived easeerlies become aamost non-existant. Cold seaons and years are once again noon-existant. Even remotely cool months are very hard to ahive in any year with the coold anaomlies of August 2017 and Septembe 2017 being very feeble. This period has seen very mild seaons bemore the norm with a record breaking mild Demcber 2015 and the warmest year on record, 2014, occurring only 3 years after 2011 which occurred only 5 years aftee 2006. Monster stroms have become the norm whislst even sub-10C years aree non-existent.
  12. November 2017 C.E.T. forecasts

    Rest in pieces 'autumn' 2017! 13C Last sub 3C November in 1915. Last sub 4C November in 1925. Last sub 5C November in 1993. Last sub 6C November in 2016.
  13. As terrible as the 1703 storm disaster was, it was an isolated event. Atlantic Storms of all degrees of severity were otherwise very rare in The Little Ice Age. Other monster storms in the LIA such as the Spanish Armada Of 1588 disaster, seemed to do their worst at sea rather then affect most of the UK as often happens now. In contrast, the Storm Of '87 was soon followed by more monster storms. Just to name a few of the most infamous, the Burns Day Storm in 1990, the Christmas storms in 1997, 1998 and 1999, the storm of January 1993, the storm of January 2007 and all the named storms in autumn 2013 and 2015 and 2017 and winters 2013/2014, 2014/2015, and 2015/2016 and spring 2016. Our climate has indeed become more stormy as well as very mild after the summer of '87.
  14. Shocking that temperature table. The Arctic hasn't had a really cold summer since at least 1996... Their last really cold winter was at least back in 1996/1997.
  15. I miss long fetch and potent northerlies a million times more than my imaginary girlfriend. I believe the rapid loss of Arctic Ice and snow over the last 30 years has played a part with the cold air being increasingly moderated at source. The loss of ice and snow has caused the strongest thermal gradient and with it the Jetstream to shift north which makes it ever harder for northerlies to establish and/or last long. Mind you, I think Phil nw has explained it better than me.
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