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Jack Wales

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Jack Wales last won the day on May 10 2012

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    Male
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    Tonyrefail (175m asl)
  • Interests
    Weather<br />Particle Physics<br />Astronomy<br />Ten Pin Bowling<br />Football - Swansea City
  1. I don't know what his qualifications are but in fairness Brian Gaze is very knowledgeable. He's also a bit of a cold ramper so I think it's a testament to his professionalism that he's gone with a milder forecast. I agree with a lot of it except that Feb could turn out to be colder as the qbo should be switching more negative by then which should allow some of the colder background signals to prevail.
  2. Hi. Apologies if this is the wrong thread but just wondering if the winter forecast has been issued yet? I can't see anything in the forecasts page.
  3. Chelston bermuda now reporting 98mph wind and 963mb pressure.
  4. Eyewall now over Bermuda, it appears the eye will track just to the east...
  5. Not sure if there is a seperate thread for Nicole, if so please feel free to merge this in. Nicole currently looking fantastic on satellite imagery and will undoubtedly soon be upgraded to cat 3. Just hope for Bermuda that she does not make direct landfall....
  6. Yes, It looks ominous now and central pressures have dropped to 935mb. Given the current satellite presentation there's scope for some slight strengthening before landfall.
  7. Miami should escape the worst of it but will still experience trop storm conditions with hurricane force gusts. Imo the biggest danger area is from West Palm Beach northwards.
  8. Not sure if an ewrc has taken place, I think the eye was just disrupted following some interaction with the Bahamas. It seems to have cleared out now with the colder cloud tops wrapping back around the eye... as we can see from this stunning image of Matthew...
  9. Recon just recorded 936mb and 137mph flight and 123mph sfmr winds.
  10. I thought hurricane Andrew made landfall as a cat 5 in the late 80"s
  11. Nassau live weather data feed has now crashed - which is ominous for that region. Nicolls town on Andros up to 100mph at the surface.
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