[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

Evening all, what a beautiful day it's been, positively spring like. The garden is coming to life, usually these snowdrops reach this stage of flowering on Valentines day so they're a couple of weeks early. The Aconites however are late by about the same time, confused garden.... 

Wonderful sunset here too, can't take credit for the pic (came from a local FB page), thousands of starlings coming into roost on the reedbeds at Shapwick Heath down on the Somerset levels.

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

1 hour ago, Weather-history said:

That cold spell was a short easterly blast followed by a kind of cold zonality with low pressure interacting withe the cold air.  No streamers coming off the Irish sea during that spell.

Feb 2009 dumped about a foot of snow here. For me personally, it was far better than the beast in 2010, then we were blinking cold but barely any snow at all.

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

It's snowing! Proof positive it's not impossible to get snow living barely above sea level, in the Cheddar Valley 

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

Drizzling here, very lightly. Stepped out for a fag,  out there for 5 mins and I did see 3 snowflakes but the rest is plain old rain. No doubt it's snow on top of the Mendips.

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

Just checked Met Office forecast, it has this area down as 60% chance of heavy snow this evening. Can't say I'm convinced but happy to be proved wrong.

[Indoor Temperature Thread]

This thread was at the top of my feed and it piqued my curiosity.... Checked the temp in my house and it's currently 12c, thought it was feeling a tad nippy. Time to light the fires. 

You lot live in a different world, 24c in a bedroom???? I'd never sleep. I guess I'm just used to living in my barny old 15thc farmhouse, we've got central heating, loft stuffed with insulation and new windows with higher efficiency than current regs but the inglenooks let it down. Fantastic when they're lit, hopeless when not, they suck every ounce of heat out and up the chimney, currently waiting on register plates to solve the problem.

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

Morning, I can't take credit for this pic, it was taken by a lady called Jilly Jay and posted on a local page. 

This taken yesterday down on the levels on the closed A361 between Burrowbridge and East Lyng, it looks stunning.

 

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

Evening all, it seems it's going to get rather chilly. Personally, I'm expecting nothing more than frost down here but on the off chance it does actually get properly cold, may I recommend a visit to Somerset. I doubt they'll be any snow on offer but what we will have is perfect conditions for skating. Any point in Somerset, from the eastern side of the Mendips to the Severn will do, the levels are mostly under water, none of it deep enough to cause a tragedy should the ice crack. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

What a bloody awful day it's been. Floods everywhere, the village just outside Bristol where I work is literally a river, the farm bunds have over flowed with the land absolutely saturated . I've been out in it all day, soaked to the skin by the end of day, waterproofs couldn't cope with the biblical downpour. The journey home was erm, interesting, twice I got halfway through deep flooding and thought 'oooo, shouldn't have done that', so close to getting wet feet. Really must remember I'm driving a car now, not my old Landy.

Hope all this water has drained away before the expected frost tomorrow night, it'll be a nightmare if it freezes.

 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

3 minutes ago, offerman said:

I was the post that I’ve just woken up, open the curtains and not sure if there’s been a very fine covering of snow. But after reading your post and seeing that it is foggy, it is just most likely frozen fog particles

. grass does not seem to be so white, but the cars and the roads and plants are most definitely covered in the frozen fog. Absolutely beautiful to see though.

It looks lovely here down in the valley, up on the hills will be stunning. The Mendips often suffer from very low cloud which can be grim, dank murk when it's mild but it's a real bonus when there's frost about, thick, thick rime on everything.

-4c here 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

Thick, freezing fog here, everything's very white.

 

[Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion]

It's a winter wonderland around here even without a flake of snow. Top of the Mendips are white, have been all day, stunning sunset too tonight. -2c at 4pm, it's going to be a cold one tonight.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

Who needs snow when you've got frost like this. Drive to and from work today was a winter wonderland on top of the Mendips, stunning sunset too. Couldn't help but stop and capture it but got bleeding frozen in the process, -2c and breezy up there, going to be a cold one tonight.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

12 hours ago, Nights King said:

Good evening Jethro,

I've moved back to shepton mallet around 140m so slightly more hope but I can walk up long hill myself too. 

Local weather shows showers widely but hit and miss.  

It's Shepton, doesn't matter how high it is it always gets snow when there's any around. Also gets absolutely grid locked, lorries getting stuck on the hills bring everything to a halt. One night it took hubby over two hours to do the short journey to Holcombe, nightmare. He soon learnt all those little lanes to get round instead.

 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

2 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

Hiya, @jethro good to see you back for the season, trust you are keeping well.

Fair to middling my dear, how's you? Life all good I hope.

I'm still bogged down in major house renovations but at least the downstairs is now down, made it as far as the landing so only bedrooms &  bathrooms to go. Then the outside fun starts....I did make a start on turning the old farmyard into a garden but got side tracked down an archaeology road. Long story short, the small part I've dug has turned up part of a roman brooch and over 1000 pieces of pottery dated 9th-14th century, plus Iron Age bits. Current archaeological theory is the house has Saxon foundations, thoughts are the current house dates early 15thc. Got to do a proper time team dig before the garden makeover can go ahead. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

Afternoon all, as it's now officially blinking cold out thought it was about time to check in for the season. Apologies to all you regulars for trespassing in your space, can't help myself, merest whiff of a snowflake, I'm instantly 7 again and this is the best place ever for mutual excitement/wishful thinking/commiserating. 

Locals round here are reporting the goats have come down off the top of the hills and are wandering around Cheddar Gorge, apparently a guaranteed sign of cold weather setting in. Can't personally verify this as in the two years we've lived here, I've only seen 29 snowflakes. Coming home today about 4pm it was 2c on top of the Mendips, 4c down here in the Cheddar Valley. Not holding my breath for the 30th snowflake to appear but the hills are literally at the end of my street, a short walk to snowy hilltops.

 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

Now at Shepton Mallet hosp for hubby's physio, everything very white here and snowing heavily. Journey from home through the Cheddar valley, looking down to the levels and home, it's al green. Looking to the hills, it's all white, snow line appears to be 100mtrs asl or so. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

Surprised by how windy it is, if the snow's not too wet on the hills it'll be drifting well.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

Snowing heavily now.

 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

Morning, it's snowing here and looking at the cars it probably was white at some point but there's nothing on the ground now. Can see the Mendips are white, looks like a good covering up on the hills.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

Morning all, expectations for here tomorrow is rain, rain, maybe a bit of sleet, then more rain. Going against the grain, I hope my expectations are right, don't want snow, got to get hubby to hospital in Shepton Mallet which always cops a load of snow if there's any around. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

Stunning night sky here tonight.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

Today Facebook decided to remind me that on this day in 2018, 2019 and 2021, we had snow. 2019 being the deepest, can't remember how much but the post I made in the evening said 10cm, it continued all night too so I'm guessing quite a bit more in the morning.

[Model Output Discussion - Into February]

3 minutes ago, Gowon said:

It's useful weather for people that have to work outside though.

And down in the soggy south west, we're still drying out with lots of water logged fields around. I welcome anything that isn't wet, warm or cold matters not, merely hoping for dry.

[Model discussion highlights]

15 minutes ago, billy said:

Yes -7 hear again last night. Although we've had no snow this winter, I can't remember the last time we had a winter with so many hard air frosts with temps below -3 ....Yet strangely enough I saw some daffs in flower in the village yesterday

 

I wouldn't pay any attention to the daffs, so many varieties have been bred, it's now possible to have them flowering from December all the way through to April. Nothing to do with weather, depends upon the variety.

Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/98196-model-output-discussion-new-year-and-beyond/?do=findComment&comment=4796265