Azores Hi

I mentioned it not because the symptoms could be confused, rather that those symptoms, itchy eyes, runny nose and sneezing will likely increase the risk of the virus spreading.

I visited my mum and my grandmother in law yesterday. My mum mentioned her hay fever has kicked in and I have woken up this morning with itchy eyes and caught myself rubbing them. it occurred to me then that hay fever symptoms will probably increase the spread of Covid-19 simply because of all those itchy eyes, runny noses and sneezing. That’s not helpful!

Coronavirus is responsible for around 15% of colds.

Sun coming out in Ashford. Angry looking towers to my east. Let’s see...

Not sure we have the topography for that to happen here in the UK. It's not just about difference in air mass temperature. It's about having a very warm and moist air mass that is capped by dryer air aloft, building masses amount of CAPE which is unleashed when the cap is eroded by the strong upper winds. Like a shaken fizzy bottle and the lid comes off! We just don't get that special mix of conditions and nor are we likely to as it has more to do with geography than climate change. However the mechanism you describe could result in more flooding events. Anyway I'm eroding the thread! I'm not convinced on any electrics today however large rainfall amounts over a local area are a real risk. On top of the deluge this morning is why we have an Amber alert.

Christ. Watching that radar is like pulling teeth! Just melts away mid channel, reminds me of watching imported storms in the summer!

Yep, gonna be a lot more judging by the radar!

If anyone wants sobering up here is a day 7 forecast chart from January 2017 and what actually occurred!

Nah, it couldn’t. Could it? Getting closer...

More easterly shift on showers evident now? edit,- mean tracking more West!

It’s nuts in Ashford right now. Imagine a burst of heavy rain, now turn it into snow, impressive! More to come yet!

Get in!

Lol, I’ll never get bored, had a blast today but when you run your own business it all becomes a bit more serious.

Well, looks like another pasting for us in Ashford again! Hoping for another inch or so but to be honest, bunked off today I’ve got to get s..t done tomorrow!

Looks like all the gravy for the far SE for the next few hours. Long night ahead yet and we await the exact placement of the CV zone yet.

To be honest I wasn’t expecting much from this set up in Ashford, right on the SE side of the higher risk area and winds looked too Easterly for us out here further east. However, wind direction is a bit more NE and showers seem to be lining up and I’m a bit more hopeful. Limited time offer though as winds are expected to veer more east then SE. Need to pile in those showers while we can, 0.5 Kentimeters in the last shower!

Evening all I’m booked on a fishing trip launching from Dungeness on Sunday. Really hope the wind gets up and it’s cancelled because the thought of standing on a rocking boat in freezing temps is not my idea of fun! Come on easterly wind, blow and bring snow, I don’t wanna go (fishing)!

Speaking as a resident Ashfordian we do best in a NE wind. Current outlook is good but maybe not as good as it could be. The extreme nature of this event though would suggest that the diffence between Lyminge and Ashford will be negligible the key diffence being altitude, not a big factor in this situation. That would give you the advantage in more marginal outlooks though.

Hmm

Hello all! Thought I'd pop in, don't post much these days but I'm always watching! Here in the far SE it looks great for flurries (love that word) of snow streaming in off the North Sea, models are consistently showing a feed of showers clipping the region and as these are shown on the precip charts that gives me great encouragement as I've often seen these set ups produce without much precipitation being modelled. If I'm being fussy I'd like a bit more strength in the wind to decrease modification time over the sea and get those showers packing inland and queuing up offshore. As it stands though I think Sunday morning through to Monday evening should see a period of intermittent shower activity for Kent, SE Essex and East Sussex (depending on strength of wind) which could lead to some significant local accumulations if they prove persistent and frequent enough, that detail is still a little way off, would be nice to see a trough in the flow, these sometimes only appear first on the radar and it will soon be time to watch that! For those further N and W, fingers crossed the front has enough oomph to get to you, but if not, try not to loose heart, it just means the cold has penetrated further west, which is a good thing!

Ridiculous! My wife is a gardener and the knife edge slider scenario is proving to be a nightmare! 180 plants arriving Monday at a key customer, 12z says heavy, cold rain=no go. 18z says lighter, more wintry precipitation=go! people will be called in to do the work and need to be notified on if it’s a go or not. Tomorrow. This is the real impact. I’ve been model watching for more than a decade but s*** just got real!

That's it. I'm done. Can't be bothered now to chase winter. We've had nearly two weeks of bone chilling weather here in Kent and I'm fed up with it. Can we have spring now?

Nice bit of updraft action in Ashford today!

Snow!!! In Ashford. See you all next year!

Cold and dry, good, maybe I can get into the paddock and finally finish building my polytunnel which I started back in Dec. It's been wetter than an otter's pocket out there and I'm fed up with wading through slop!