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Mark Bayley

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Everything posted by Mark Bayley

  1. My hopes for a drier February never materialised. Just shy of 85mm currently. GFS suggests I might hit 90mm by months end, so at least not another 100mm plus month, but still above average. Lets hope for something drier in March..
  2. Reminents of snow on the grass and cars this morning. No doubt gone by lunchtime. Rather miserable with light drizzle
  3. Definitely for high ground - I'd think 250m to 300m plus (somewhere like Queensbury!). Temp over 1c now and drizzle.
  4. Thawing now with temperature rising to 0.8c. With the rain it should have at least melted from pavements by the morning...
  5. Turned to snizzle now. Temp still at 0.2c. Ended up with about 4.5cm, which is 4.5cm more than I expected yesterday evening! Shame it will be gone by tomorrow. Not the best snow event but given the crap winter better than nothing!
  6. Now up to 4cm of snow and still coming down nicely. Temperature has remained at 0.2c for the last few hours. Looks to turn heavier again around 4 before turning lighter and no doubt drizzle as temperatures begin to climb. Should just about make 5cm by early evening..
  7. A good 3cm now where snow originally stuck with roads and pavements white over. Will head out around 4pm given it will be gone by morning! Should remain as snow into the early evening. Will be interesting to see whether the precipitation moving WNW out of Liverpool maintains intensity, reaches north Bradford / Leeds and falls as snow.. High res suggests marginal from 18:00, but given it is already slightly overestimating dewpoints and temperature we might get an extra few hours..
  8. Sunny_AS I think the heaviest precipitation has now passed - probably Harrogate to Rippon faring best. Still, should be heavier pulses on and off as we head into the evening for Leeds south, before a turning to rain as we move through the late evening
  9. Coming down nicely now and settling everywhere. 2cm of snow on the bins and shed. Temp at 0.2c. 3 to 5cm on the cars and bins seems likely now, a little less elsewhere. Good call @Scott Ingham. As you noted, models slightly overestimated dewpoints, which made the world of difference.
  10. Snow intensity finally starting to increase - and good to see the heavier precipitation has reached Sheffield and progressing north. Fingers crossed for the afternoon. Settling on the Yorkshire Stone paving now - just tarmac to go!
  11. ChezWeather Looks like the heaviest precipitation is about to hit - should get CM or two if it maintains intensity / snow..
  12. Temperature now down to 0.3c and a dew point of -1c, slightly lower than the high res suggested for this time (around 2pm to 6pm). Snowing light to moderately though still struggling on pavements. Radar and models suggest an increase in intensity around mid afternoon which should help snow stick everywhere, especially if the temperature can drop a little more. All being well, it might remain as snow into the evening before turning back to rain again around late evening.
  13. Temperature has now dropped to 0.7c and a dew point of -1c. Sticking everywhere bar pavements. Though no real intensity- hopefully that comes by lunchtime. On your wager yesterday, dare I tempt fate @Scott Ingham
  14. DevinW Can confirm its turning more to snow in Roundhay which is a similar elevation - and starting to stick on grass, bins and cars. Temperature 1.4c and dew point of 0c. If the temperature can drop a little more, and we maintain some intensity (which is what the models suggest for the afternoon) then I may have a slushy covering my the end of the afternoon (yay..!).
  15. Sleet here too. Temp of 1.3c and dew point 1c. Hopefully temperatures drop and intensity increases, but not looking promising for any settling snow
  16. Scott Ingham it is a fair point, and 1c will make all the difference. To illustrate your point, the current temperature is about 0.7c colder thanthe high res suggests (dew point the same though). I'll reserve judgment until the early afternoon! In regards spring, we all know blocking in the right place will appear on March the 1st, with the azores heights nowhere to be seen Though I'm sure few us will turn down a repeat of last March's snow event (for those that got snow..)
  17. Scott Ingham let's see. Dew points dont look great, 1c plus away from the pennine areas. Intensity might help, but that is more of an advantage those to the south of Leeds have. A now cast situation, I'll update tomorrow afternoon!
  18. Agree with everyone above. I'm now not confident of any settling snow (other than temporary slushy deposits) outside of the orange warning area. I think for many of us a day of heavy sleet with rain from late evening. A shame, and I agree with the sentiment of roll on spring!
  19. High res models seem to suggest dewpoints on the wrong side of marginal here, with a day of wet snow / sleet before turning to rain. Similar to what happened in December, though snow did eventually stick towards the end of the day (though that won't happen this time). I'm less confident than yesterday that myself and others below 150m will see much in the way if settling snow - much will depend on intensity. Orange warning area looks to be the place to be.
  20. Yep, most still have the band reaching Leeds / southern parts of North Yorkshire, but lighter. Helps that it arrives later in the afternoon.
  21. Yes, lets see what the 12zs say. Sweet spot looks to be the western side of Sheffield. I know we should ignore Meto automated forecasts, though its interesting they had sleet from 9pm on Thursday for NE Leeds (Roundhay) yesterday evening, that's now pushed to 6am Friday.
  22. Shame given what looked like quite a promising winter has delivered so little. Though watch the blocking appear in abundance as we head towards March! I'll plump for 3cm by Thursday evening for my part of Leeds - lets see how that turns out
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