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Dorsetbred

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Posts posted by Dorsetbred

  1. I'm still perplexed as to why naming as storm makes it any worse than not naming a storm. Of course the MetO are covering their @@rse against any possible claims of not being informed, but really apart from folks in tents AND some folks in Cornwall did this REALLY warrant naming? Seems to me every little hiccup these days means the MetO cover their butt and name some a storm, considering neither Ireland or France got their first I bet their happen with their coverage. We had 4mm of rain and 24mph winds, a storm really..I've seen a lot worse in Autumn than that.. 

  2. Hmm, (so far) a bit of a storm in a teacup, norra lot of rainfall, and the wind more blustery than damaging (unless you are in a tent, granted).

    Current maximum gusts over the last 24 hours

    image.thumb.png.76893688b19115dd1eb7bd89d55b9402.png

    A fair bit of white horses to be seen down on the beach

    image.thumb.png.59c75419d4f82bf85a35b597f6fc6298.png

    Meanwhile, the overnight low of 12.3°C at: 03:51 has crept slowly up to 13.8°C, with RH89% and peak gust here 23.0 mph at: 08:19 with the rain amounting to 4.2mm.

    As pressure continues to fall as the low moves east expecting a possible increase in wind strength and a change of direction, current atmospheric info shows 

    image.thumb.png.df1959dd00278445091320f68a292f49.png

    Spin that puppy

    image.thumb.png.11b31c0a4bf186fd69005ce99025a7a7.png

  3. 1 hour ago, knocker said:

    Patchy cloud, mainly Ci/Cu, and a slight breeze

    Turning cloudy with rain in Cornwall this afternoon with strengthening winds. And this wet and windy weather will spread east overnight as as this tight knit low tracks east. The wind could reach gale force in the SW/S and perhaps severe in rxposed coastal areas.

    ppve.thumb.gif.384b673103d0407a6eb6fa4932c2fdbb.gifppvg.thumb.gif.7e964c107577fdb05d38c31509963fb8.gif

    That's winding itself up tight, could be an "interesting" weather night as it crosses the SofE

    The low last night the coolest for a while with 11.9°C at: 06:10, currently 13.9°C  with RH84%

    Sea conditions have calmed from yesterday, in readiness for some action tonight, could be an interesting view first thing in the morning..

    image.thumb.png.491e190a140764ccec83b2ddb65e1a39.png

    • Like 2
  4. Monday 2 Aug - Wednesday 11 Aug
    Changeable conditions continuing to dominate for the start of August, with a mixture of sunny and dry periods, showery periods and the chance of longer spells of rain. At first the south is likely to see the most showers, with the north remaining the driest, but by the end of the period the south and southeast will possibly be the driest and the west and northwest the wettest. There remains a chance for any showers or rain to produce thunderstorms. Temperatures are most likely cooler than average for this time of year, trending to slightly cooler than average or average through the period, with the south and southwest having the best chance of seeing average temperatures.

    Thursday 12 Aug - Thursday 26 Aug
    As is typical for this time of year, confidence is low for this period. However, there is a tentative sign of more settled conditions developing with higher pressure becoming slightly more likely. This means drier conditions may become more prevalent, although there is still the risk of showers or thunderstorms at times. Temperatures likely to trend to above average, with an increasing chance of hotter spells developing as the month progresses.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

    • Like 1
  5. Sunday 1 Aug - Tuesday 10 Aug
    Changeable conditions continuing to dominate for the start of August, with a mixture of sunny and dry periods, showery periods and the chance of longer spells of rain. At first the south is likely to see the most showers, with the north remaining the driest, but by the end of the period the south and southeast will possibly be the driest and the west and northwest the wettest. There remains a chance for any showers or rain to produce thunderstorms. Temperatures are most likely cooler than average for this time of year, trending to slightly cooler than average or average through the period, with the south and southwest having the best chance of seeing average temperatures.

    Wednesday 11 Aug - Wednesday 25 Aug
    As is typical for this time of year, confidence is low for this period. However, there is a tentative sign of more settled conditions developing with higher pressure becoming slightly more likely. This means drier conditions may become more prevalent, although there is still the risk of showers or thunderstorms at times. Temperatures likely to trend to above average, with an increasing chance of hotter spells developing as the month progresses.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 1
  6. 1 hour ago, jtay said:

    Paul S just pinged this through from Torro...

    2021/024

    Convective Discussion–

    15:36 BST Sat 24 Jul 2021 – 22:00 BST Sat 24 Jul 2021

    Areas affected

    Parts of southern England

    Parts of SW England

    Parts of S Wales

    Hazards

    Isolated brief tornadoes

    Heavy rain

    CG lightning

    Gusty winds

    Discussion

    Cloud is breaking to allow spells of sunshine to develop across southern Britain. This should allow several hundred J/Kg of CAPE to develop, perhaps 700-800 J/Kg in a few places. One or more low-level convergence zones should develop, mainly due to sea breeze boundaries. With low cloud bases and decent low-level convergence, any showers or thunderstorms which develop along or close to these boundaries will have a chance of producing a few funnel clouds, and perhaps one or two brief/weak tornadoes.

    Gusty winds and locally heavy rain will be possible, with a few thunderstorms possible too bringing CG lightning.

    Activity should wane through the evening.

    TORROsocialmedia.png
    WWW.TORRO.ORG.UK

    TORRO is a privately-supported research body specialising in severe convective weather in Britain and Ireland

     

     

    All inland I suspect...and to a lesser degree than suggested as the heat disappates rapidly from the day..

  7. Very different view to last weekend, after early morning mist has risen, and light patchy rain seems the order, but little like has been forecast with suggestions of up to a 100mm in places, not yet... and I suspect storms this afternoon will be land based rather than feeding in off the channel.

    image.thumb.png.8971be74d9055647cb8815dc45e65a18.png

    Rainfall over 24hours pans out like this

    Stations:Precipitation

    MoD Boscombe Down 25.0 mm

    Middle Wallop 25.0 mm

    Isle of Portland 19.0 mm

    Larkhill 18.0 mm

    Bournemouth 12.0 mm

    • Like 1
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