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Richie V

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Everything posted by Richie V

  1. After 27 years experience of watching north atlantic low pressure, I tell you now, i'm not encouraged there will even be a sniff of anything remotely easterly after thursday. Forget all that model shannon entrophy c..p. Seen it year upon year upon year. While ever the ne u.s , ne canada is as cold as it is, forget it. This is not hopecasting or just a hunch, nor am I saying winters over. Just expect more waiting, a bus will arrive eventually! Don't be a meanie lol,
  2. Nick f is on the money folks, that ridge dissapeares, cold will be incredibly hard to find. Sorry but true. I fear the traditional calming of the NA over feb may be hard to find also.
  3. Hi steve, I have every reason to believe we are on the cusp of raging atlantic behaviour again. However, dependant on this artic high could have spectacular conciquences. Would'nt it be cool to have an 920 hpa low undercut into southern biscay then on into euro land!!!! Excuse my spelling... Damn smart phone.
  4. I've been meaning to ask for a while... What in the name of Greek touchery is Shannon Entrophy?
  5. Hi nick,Maybe you should become a mildie, zonality will save your hair and your sanity.I appreciate your work on here btw. Keep it up fella.
  6. This is the same for most models. Gfs seems to model our patch of the nortj atlantic pretty well within 96 hrs, especially in zonal conditions. Forget trying to model accurately beyond 140 hrs, upstream amplification springs to mind here.
  7. Am I the only one here that does'nt want cold...? I'm having an epic winter for growing my spruce, firs and pines, they love this weather. Record high sales thus far for the winter (3500 trees sold since oct 25.) Compared with 300 or so in the last four cold winters. I for one wish to keep a south of west zonal flow and pray the PV dont slip round to siberia.
  8. Hopefully, the april update to the model will vastly improve It's later output score.
  9. Ahh, so suddenly the GFS seems to be everyones best mate this evening... I wonder why lol. What a difference a day makes!
  10. Hello? No one commenting on 12z? Over an hour of silence. I know I'm good at clearing a room but this is rediculus Lol
  11. Although not really model related, paul hudson was saying earlier... Harry said, so paul when do we get snow like north america? Paul said, none as far as we can see. He then went on to say... In fact, in the coming days the record cold in the states will intensify further. So here will be calmer than of late at weeks end but theres every sign that powerful atlantic weather will resume sometime next week.
  12. I had an outlandish thaught... You know those huge covers you can get to put over a swimming pools to keep the water warm, we should sew thousands and thousands of them together and lay them out over the entire north atlantic from newfoundland to northern france to create a super land mass. Surely that would cool things down... And..... Back to reality, nice thaught though.
  13. I hear the gfs is having a serious referb in April, mabe it will gain some more respect in here if they trim the output range to 180+ max
  14. Hi Nick, do you think we would see awful flip flopping in later timeframes as per gfs if the ecm ran 4 times per day?
  15. Thank you kind sir, you saved me the effort of posting. Brain scrambled, long week. Plus one for you. Sorry off topic mods, delete if this rubbishes the thread... Night all.
  16. My typing sucks on android phone, my bad. As for the goggles I suggest you google auntie mable come outside lolol
  17. Guys n gals, can I just say.... I have just seen the ecm op ensemble. This is the biggest joke in all my years in meteorolgy I have ever seen (and people moan about the gfs!) Read NOTHING into the ecm 12z. NECP must be sick with laughter.
  18. I find it remarkable the ecm trowing that ridge artic bound with such a massive area of off the bottom of the scale low z500's over canada / US. DON'T be dissapointed if that vast area phases eastward in future runs. Looking through tonights ecm i'd give this happening as leading favourite. Those widespread ultra low 500's need to ease substantially for a better chance of a strong ridge to take hold Ric
  19. My previous views remain unchanged this morning, see the images in I'm dreaming of post below.
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