Southern Storm

So. I've decided to stay on my home patch, I can see the cells near Cherbourg flashing away every 5 seconds or so I've been up since 4am, going for a long drive is probably not the best thing to do, especially at night and on roads I don't know. So I'm keeping everything crossed for something local, Eastern areas should do well though, so good luck to everyone

Thanks everyone with your recommendations, Portadown hill looks like a good shout, I'm gonna give it 10 minutes before deciding It's looking Very dark to my west, the light levels are dropping so fast it feels ominous

I'm really struggling on whether to stay local, or head towards Portsmouth way, I'm feeling it go either way Any recommendations for locations north of Portsmouth?

Looking primed PXL_20230917_174956256.dng

While to some extent you are correct, the models have been all over this convective spell for around 5 days, could you enlighten us all on how you can forecast by reading the clouds 5 days from T0, we'd all love to know !

This could be nothing but what are the chances of storm firing around the are at the top let of the line I drew? Looks like a front to me

Exactly I can recall Many occasions when people were posting that it was a bust, when in reality everyone was focusing on the wrong drivers. Let's wait and see, there will be some great footage on here come tomorrow afternoon mark my words Some will win and many will lose that's storms for ya!

Certainly better than it being out in the North sea, one to keep an eye on

Don't be silly, it 5G Edit, just to be clear I'm not calling you a clown

Ooh la la, I think it's time to start scouting some locations with decent views, It all comes down to this evening to salvage 2023, we need to make this count

The more I look at the two areas of activity in the channel the less worried I'm becoming, as others have said, they don't appear to be eating up too much fuel, and I believe the higher CAPE levels will arrive later onto the evening All to play for if you ask me

It does sound amazing, but I was just joking It's a Ghostbusters reference and not really relevant when it comes to the weather, even though you could say it's been a ghost storm season when it comes to central southern areas, so sorry, I'm just getting a giddy

I think you're right, Well spotted

Total protonic reversal if these two meet.. Just topping up the camera battery before I head out for the 3rd time today it's almost like a proper storm season.

I know, you might just squeeze a nice golden hour storm, but the one I mentioned isn't hanging about. This still might not be the main event so there is that, but I might be totally wrong

A new cell has just developed leaving the Cherbourg peninsula

I thought you'd be heading east, I'd say there's a much better chance between IOW and Kent later in the evening, especially if you're intending to photograph the storms, but Milford on sea is not a bad spot either way, good luck

I wonder if they are bonus storms or if that's our lot once they pass through. Answers on a postcard

Are these the storms that were originally showing on yesterday's runs? I thought 7pm onwards was when storms were expected to develop. The ones that are heading towards CS areas will be here way before the sun goes down Give me strength

I'm currently sheltering on Barton on sea clifftop, it's mostly thundery rain, with the odd CG thrown in It's better than nothing I guess

Merci translator

UKv 6z now showing something better for central southern areas, we need this trend to continue, I really don't want to drive too far tonight

Yeah, it's a bit of a letdown this morning, I'll wait for todays convective discussions/forecast to be released before deciding if it's worth travelling further east this evening There was one night earlier this year where I thought about heading towards Kent, but there was a risk of the storms not hitting the southeast so I didn't bother, it actually was quite a decent spell for many parts over that way, I think Eagle Eye did well that evening, I don't want to have the same regret so I'm really hoping for some positive updates today

Oh dear, the 00z was the same. There appears to be a lot more messy rain following on behind the main band coming out of France, I wonder if that is what is killing our chances for this evening

They were definitely recycling quite a bit, you'd have a few minutes where the cell would become very active before dying off, then around 10/15 minutes later you could see activity increase again, lovely to watch