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Southern Storm

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Everything posted by Southern Storm

  1. If the cloud was to break up, would the sun be strong enough to trigger convection, or is it still too early in the year for that? Wouldn't expect anything like that today, but over the next few days where the cloud clears,. Maybe?
  2. 😂 This made me chuckle The phycology of a snow starved weather fanatic.. love it!
  3. It's the trend that matters! There will be a few surprises for some locations over the coming days, if we get round 2 then you would expect snow to appear closer to T0
  4. Just talking with the wife, actually, have a rant at how living on the coast is rubbish. Sea breezes take the edge of temperatures during hot spells, we hardly ever get snow, and storms usually fire just inland from the coast, before trundling off in a northerly direction The look on her face was priceless! And a few unrepeatable word thrown in for good measure 🤣 if only they knew the pain us weather fanatics go through! also I know every snow event is different, but I wonder how far inland the snow rain boundary is? I'll keep an eye out, I'm sure there will be
  5. Very nice, unfortunately I'm right on the coast, so nothing here, but it's lovely to see all the nice pictures people are posting And welcome to the forum.
  6. Once we start pulling in those easterlies, it will be cold enough, when you cut off the Atlantic, the continent cools rapidly at this time of year Also, the models usually underestimate cold pools, so we should see upgrades We just need to avoid pulling warmer uppers from the med, which is a possibility, so cross those fingers and toes! if they haven't succumbed to frostbite by then 😁
  7. At least we have a ticket to the raffle! I expect that when the cold air starts moving south, we should start to see the models get a better grip on more realistic temperatures, and I mean that in a good way. Things can cool very quickly up north at this time of the year, shortest days, ect.. I've seen it happen many times while watching consecutive model runs. As the event moves closer to hour zero, you usually see the cooler 850s expand, I don't see why this time will be any different!
  8. Definitely starting to look more likely that, someone, somewhere, will do very well out of the approaching cold spell. We are not having to rely on the stat either! And we still have that to come 😃 Let's hope that this will be one of those famous cold spells we can look back on, in the years to come , we definitely deserve it. Wishing everyone a happy Christmas, and hopefully a snowy one 🎅🎁🌨️❄️⛄
  9. Here in Christchurch, it's Looking very dark to my south, looking at the radar, I can see a line of showers forming but I'm not expecting anything really, would love a bit of rain for the garden though Can't help but notice how calm it is outside, calm before the storm? I wish 😂
  10. Looks like we may have some warm weather on the way! Last chance saloon for a decent event, if the warm weather does materialize? I'd love to hear the thoughts of some of our more knowledgeable members on what is possible at this time of year.
  11. Had a lovely little storm here this afternoon, with couple of close strikes, one ridiculously close, but I was moving the car to a better position when it struck, so no footage unfortunately I did get some nice Time lapse of the storm approaching, but i need to get it off the camera and edit it before posting. Also took this photo of a cell that was probably over Brighton, but could be wrong, as it looked closer. And that looks to be it now for the year, bar the odd cell here and there, having said that, I'm keeping an eye on a possible plume event next week, 🤞🏻
  12. Yep, just drove back home from Ferndown, and I can honestly say that was the heaviest rain I have ever experienced in my whole life! People also driving like complete morons, so I suspect there will be plenty of accidents on the roads. Good luck with the kitchen
  13. But I can see some blue sky, oh the excitement... I guessing that we have something like 0.000001% chance of getting a storm today? Or is that too generous? 😂
  14. Lightning here in Christchurch, but I have know idea where it's coming from?
  15. Hallelujah Congratulations! I bet you never thought you would be so happy with a storm of this magnitude in this country. Nice one
  16. It appears that all the cells in the south are forming in a line stretching from Dorset to Essex, lets hope they keep going
  17. Thank you Wasn't sure about posting the first one, it looks a bit suspect on closer inspection, the cloud, or is it just me? 😂😂
  18. While we wait for boom or bust, I thought I'd post a couple of pictures of cell that was off in the distance, roughly 50 miles away
  19. Hopefully not! Looking at the radar I wouldn't totally give up if I was in your location, it's feels very juicy out there, and you are down wind from me.
  20. This is an unusual situation storm wise, as I have only ever experienced storms coming from the south, so I'm very interested to see how this evening plays out. Just need to find a new location to take pictures, as my usual spot is almost useless for storms coming from the east Good luck guys and girls
  21. It happens almost every time storms are forecast, if they don't appear exactly as the models predicted, you get the usual "it's all gone belly up" posts Give it time folks give it time...
  22. Yeah baby, looks like things are on the turn judging by the last couple of radar returns Might come to nothing, but it's a start
  23. Absolutely agree, looks like things are not as clear with regards to our neck of the woods, yesterday had quite a mass of storms moving into out region later this evening, but looking at the the charts posted above, it looks like any storms that do develop will probably only make it as far as Southampton ish area. I've not given up just yet, but if nothing kicks off again in the next 45 minutes, then that will be it for me as far as traveling goes, and if one comes to me then that will be a bonus
  24. Wow, lots of people giving up already One thing is for sure, it's still very muggy out there, and I'm right on the coast, still many hours to go yet Keep the faith
  25. Put 50p in the meter, and they will start back up😂 Nothing is free these days!
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