NorthantsSnow

Torrential rain mixed with hail currently, some thunder. The Met Office had us down for a 10% chance of a thunderstorm between 1600-1700 about two hours ago, so excellent accuracy there.

Regardless of whether we get the fairly widespread area of 40c the GFS is predicting on Tues, it will certainly be reached in places. I think we can say that for certain now. So for me the GFS emerges with an awful lot of credit for picking it up so early and sticking with the idea. I know it initially had Sunday as the hottest day, but it's still been remarkably consistent for the most part and handled this current setup better than the other leading models.

I have no idea who that is, so no.

This is fast becoming my least favourite winter in my lifetime, it's got so little going for it. We haven't had the amounts of sunshine some places have had though. Most days are just grey and dry, a little cold at times if we've been good boys and girls. No variety whatsoever. Then you look at the models and lose that last bit of hope you didn't even know you had. The jet stream pattern is killing us, we can't even get a direct northerly going! And even in fantasy island it can't seem to conjure up a route to cold, however implausible, which confirms beyond doubt that nothing remotely interesting is going to happen from this point. Not something I thought I'd ever say, but bring on spring now. Model watching this year has been the most joyless of past-times.

Damn, that pub run is a corker. The best charts I've seen for this area in a long time. You just know it will be corrected south in subsequent runs. But at least a cold spell looks assured now, and we should get something.

Well said. The reliability of the Met Office warnings system will rightly come under fire if there are flooding issues today. Remarkable that they took so long. Northants looks to be in for an interesting afternoon to say the least.

A bit of thunder and lightning around Northants in the past 10 minutes. Soon brightening back up again, as the rain continues to fall.

I hate to moan but it's a shame the beast has been such a damp squib for this part of the world. We've just been unlucky with the main fronts / steamers missing us I guess, as I know we used to do very well for snow from this kind of setup in yesteryear. Still, it's been very cold and we do have some snowcover at least.

Relieved to see the GFS quickly ditch the 12z idea of the high sitting much closer to the UK. This evolution is very nice looking from the 18z, and not too dissimilar to the ECM. Both incredibly cold and snowy with no obvious end in sight. At times these past few days it's felt like the models are competing with one another at the moment to show us coldies the nicest looking charts - never in my time on Netweather have I experienced that before, and I'm not complaining!

It's determined not to do anything but rain here. Surprising as I thought originally we were well placed for this sort of event, but it just hasn't happened for us at all. Might get something tomorrow morning but not holding my breath at this point.

7.3C. And that's being optimistic.

My worst nightmare of a winter. I must have sensed it was coming as I didn't even bother investing in NW Extra this year for the first time in god knows how long and so far I have no regrets. I've kept my distance from the site and the models generally to avoid disappointment. I feel for any fellow coldies that have invested as much as ever only for us to get stuck with these god awful patterns that show no signs of abating whilst winter rapidly accelerates away from us for another year. Dismal and one I will never forget for the wrong reasons.

Astonished at how negative it is in here. The radar I'm looking at still looks very good for this region with many more hours of snow to come. (EDIT to add: as long as you're west of say Scu'thrpe)

You'd be better off being back home for this event ! Not often we can say that.

Settling in Doncaster yet?

YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS- Great news folks. The latest NAE is a major major upgrade for the region. Happy days. Game very much on. And my drunken wager looks a little safer than it did a few hours ago, haha.

Where did you hear that fella ?

Not on the NAE. If the NAE could fall into line with the GFS regarding tomorrow night's event in its 18z run that would be good. Note the major major differences for 9pm Friday- NAE http://expert-images...032221_2112.gif GFS http://expert-images...032221_2112.gif I know which one I prefer !

That's good to know. I never bother looking at the UKMO. But NAE is high-res. Can anyone with NW Extra update us on how the NMM is looking please ?

GFS is probably wrong, differs massively from the NAE. Another run or two required but I'm amazed we still don't have consensus about the weather in 24 hours time !

GFS looks rather different to the NAE though. The NAE is a lot poorer for this region. Might explain the lack of an amber warning.

Nice charts for here. Not so good news for my wager that Donny races would be off on Saturday.

Not great, about 4/5. It's a bit shorter than that on the exchanges now.

I do hope Doncaster is still in the firing line. In a drunken stupor last night upon viewing the models I decided to have a sizeable wager on Donny's racing meet being abandoned on Saturday. Seemed like a good idea at the time, not so much the next morning! Dreading any further SW shifts.

The snow has picked up a bit here in the last 45 mins or so. Lamp post watching has been at its most mesmerising, especially as I've had a few beers! Met Office are now forecasting heavy snow here at 3am whereas before it was showing light snow. Nice upgrade that, but I can see myself dropping off before then.