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pyrotech

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pyrotech last won the day on March 30 2011

pyrotech had the most liked content!

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    CARDIFF
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    climatology oceanography and meteorology

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  1. pyrotech

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    This Derek stuff is nonsense Firstly having been to the weather studio in Cardiff, i can tell you that the Chief forecaster in Exeter makes a broad forecast, of which all forecasters then have to keep broadly in line with. The regional forecaster may update Exeter if what happens locally is different from forecast, I.e Sleet or rain, becomes snow. They update the forecast then. The graphics are also pretty much nationwide with only small tweaks. The forecast is of snow across most of Wales, but with some higher accumulations near the South and East, the highest accumulations are currently forecast to be Over Devon and South West, as the system retreats that direction leaving them in risk zone earlier. Southern Wales is quite possibly to be added to that higher risk area , but along coasts is borderline between becoming sleety. I would suggest more likely over Southern England, but Bristol channel also effects not only convection (the plus) but also dew points ( the negative) Very touch and go Tomorrow day for us. Heaviest snow likely in the areas where temperatures are close to marginal. Like last time, not everywhere will see large accumulations, Some will. This has already been the best year for many years for some and i do hope our friends in the more Western parts of wales get some action this time to share the fun. However what ever any forecaster says will make no difference to what you get, they do not make it snow or not, they just anywise data. I have met Benhaz, Derek and civil contingency forecaster and i can tell you know all are very professional and friendly. I do talk more with Ian F but thats just he is more of a social media person, I think we should be talking more about our current weather and not being disrespectful to people who are not here to defend themselves. Its a bit like trolling.
  2. pyrotech

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    use mine on floodwarn look for snow page radar and predicted on there
  3. pyrotech

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Hi jay Some of us must travel to keep others safe, I was supposed to finish at 9am today, but 2 accidents and a fire mean i actually finished at 11am, i have to be back in BY 6pm - which means i must travel during red alert (5pm ) to get in by 6pm. There are people making journeys that they could and should avoid, but some others are essential workers
  4. pyrotech

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Snow tonight will be mainly light / flurries and patchy, Tomorrow main event starts and if as forecast - very bad tomorrow evening
  5. pyrotech

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    http://www.floodwarn.co.uk/live snow reports snowing now.htm good also for the webcams too see conditions around the regions too at bottom of page on interactive map I will need to do some work on the site tomorrow to make it better
  6. pyrotech

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    yes - a band of showers and perhaps an hours continuous light snow between 1 and 2am Its the band near Oxford right now.
  7. pyrotech

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    The latest Met office graphics make it look a non event Just been put on the Met office twitter
  8. pyrotech

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    For those worried about snow in west, here is the Met office forecast for tomorrow and Friday, similar to the BBC but some subtle changes and maybe not quite as good for the areas in depth, plus more about freezing rain Friday
  9. pyrotech

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    It shows fairly similar , but looked later for main snow, around 5pm into Cardiff for instance. That was also made this morning and other model runs will have been looked at since. If we get similar between Met O and Meteogroup (BBC) then that is good, but expects some slight differences. Weather warnings will give best idea of upgrades or downgrades
  10. pyrotech

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    I am nights tonight and tomorrow night, 6pm till 9am on both. Some of my colleagues live in heads of valleys area. So travelling from Cardiff home Friday morning may be very interesting.thats if others get in to take over from us.
  11. pyrotech

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Hi Jay, Do not take those charts as anywhere near accurate, but they give you an idea of snow potential and of course the wind makes drifting, i think Friday Morning rush hour may be rather interesting
  12. pyrotech

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Weather charts people are looking for http://wxcharts.eu/?panel=default&model=arpege,arpege,arpege,arpege&region=uk&chart=snowdepth,overview,wind10mkph,snowdepth&run=18&step=086&plottype=arpege_4&lat=51.500&lon=-3.200&skewtstep=0
  13. pyrotech

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Our own hashtag? #DavidMeetEmma **SNOW**Thursday is when David meets EmmaStorm Emma moves towards Wales tomorrow morning, St Davids day bringing what could be known as the St Davids Day blizzard when we look back at this day in the future.
  14. pyrotech

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Currently minus 9 in Brecon apparently
  15. pyrotech

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Yes but later in the day / Evening How much / how heavy is still not guaranteed but looks like most of morning it will be mainly light / moderate and still an issue as blowing about. That was just to say - may be okay in Morning to get back, but looks likely a problem the later they leave it. I am 90% sure of Snow on Thursday - just depends where that low end up on where largest totals will be and how long it lasts. I hope its about right now, but thats just hope
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