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Roadrunner

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    Romford, Essex
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    Football, Golf, Drinking!

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  1. Having been a member here since 2006 and a lurker since before then, I have now trained myself not to get up or down with each model run. Plenty of time yet for things to get better, or worse but remember, it's only weather! Myself and @nick sussex remember the BBC snow watch days with Bill Farkin and his grebes - that was painful! PS Nick keep the prozac order on hold - we're not there yet!
  2. Any idea how much rain there will be next Saturday? If indeed this has been correctly modeled.
  3. GFS 12z not making much of the rain Saturday daytime at all. Been quite consistent in this over the last few runs. Think some places will be lucky and some unlucky. Sunday looking a lot dryer for many than a few days ago.
  4. Good news that. The link up would presumably have produced the high precip totals that were touted 24 hours or so ago on the models. Links in well to the more fragmented showers now showing. As long as it keeps going this way reducing the rainfall run on run I'm all good with that, like Skeikhy!
  5. Amazing that we still can't nail down where the convergence point will be on Saturday. What is clear to me though is the amount of rain does seem to be lessening which is good news. No doubt there will be some areas that fair better than others. Another stupid question - why would the rain risk / amount be lessening as we move closer to Saturday? Is it that the models always overdo this type of scenario?
  6. From my untrained eye almost all models have moved Saturday & Sunday's rain South, almost run on run. It is also not as intense. This may of course correct and change but I am definitely seeing a pattern develop here over the last day or so. They could all be completely wrong of course due to the pretty extreme set up but I'm fine with sending all the wet stuff to France.
  7. ICON 6z moves the rain band south again at 12pm on Saturday and is not as intense. Rain almost non existant for Sunday too. I love the ICON.
  8. I agree. That app makes it look horrendous. As others have said however, it is an incredibly poor app. I find the Met Office one the best but all a bit hit and miss really. Hoping it's just showers at worst and it will fragment but as you say, you really couldn't make it up.
  9. I feel your pain. It's like a sick joke isn't it. Different set up I know but leading up to the jubilee weekend, I obsessed over looking at the weather apps as we were camping - every single one got it wrong for where I was and hardly any of the rain forecast came to pass. Not saying this will be the same but you never know. Even at T-1 the forecast can be wrong.
  10. I do wonder if there is potential for everything to shift north for Saturday as Man With Beard alludes to. Would be great to have a hot and sunny weekend day to make the most of this spell, even if the rain eventually comes Saturday night. Would hate to have to forecast this - BBC and Met apps are all over the place for Saturday and Sunday!
  11. Well Friday at least looks to be a scorcher for many. Is it too much to ask that any rain falls at night please an Saturday
  12. Can I ask a stupid question to the more knowledgeable please. The convergence zone where this rain is coming from on Saturday / Sunday - what needs to happen ideally for this to be either toned down or moved into the channel / let France have it? Is this even possible? Weekend plans are once again in jeopardy tis all - I'll be in Oxfordshire.
  13. Spot the weekend. Yep, that'll be about right. Absolute joke.
  14. It's so depressing isn't it. We left our campsite a day early over the jubilee weekend due to rain risk. Always the way - nice during the week and rubbish weekend. You couldn't make it up. It drives me insane! Hopefully any rain won't be too bad but BBC app has rain most of the day Saturday where I'll be in Oxfordshire.
  15. Anyone care to take a punt on where the rain band will be on Saturday?
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