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Everything posted by karyo

  1. Looking at the output so far, I think we have to abandon the Christmas ship and hope for a better new Year.
  2. Good to hear reports that the band of rain north of me is turning to snow in places with modest elevation. This bodes well for the final band which is exiting southwest Scotland now.
  3. Yes, it is coming down quite fast so not much time for clear skies to provide surface cooling.
  4. Good time to go, you will miss the sleep inducing southwesterlies all next week. I am planning a volcano trip to La Palma in late January, I bet it will be the wintriest week since 2010 when I will be away.
  5. Yes, good to see the Met Office is seeing potential for January. We just need to grin and bear it next week.
  6. Reading this it sounds to me like they are expecting some cold zonality at first before the proper cold emerges. Either way it sounds good to me.
  7. The band of showery rain in the Irish sea is going to move through our region this afternoon. Our uppers are slightly higher now and there is a flow from the Irish sea so not good for snow apart from areas with good elevation. Then through the evening a clearer spell which should allow the temperatures to fall and very little breeze before the trough moves through around midnight. This holds more interesting as it is followed by colder uppers and it should coincide with a change in the wind direction on its northern side. So hopefully another spell of snow overnight for the Pennine areas even at modest elevation. The Euro 4 shows this clearly: http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=euro4&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=18&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD= You can see the trough on the rainfall radar, currently in northwest Scotland. http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ The slow it moves south the better. It is a bit we don't have slightly lower uppers but we have to make the best of what we have. This looks like the last wintry chance for quite a while so if you can go to the Pennines tomorrow or Saturday to enjoy the snow, just do it!
  8. It is just the intensity of the shower that turned it to snow. I expect the lighter showers to be of rain or sleet
  9. Reports of settling snow from Telford, Shrewsbury, Stoke and Stafford! The Irish sea is a curse for us!
  10. To add insult to the injury it seems that th Midlands are going to get snow again from the band leaving Wales.
  11. https://www.netweather.tv/live-weather/radar
  12. If you live on a hill you should watch that area of precipitation in Wales. The southern Pennines should get some snow from that.
  13. Just had a bit of hail from a passing shower. Despite the snow disappointments, I will remember this cold spell fondly by this time next week when the horrid southesterly will bring temperatures in the teens. Let's hope the 6z GFS is onto something.
  14. Solar and Aurora Activity Chat

    We have stalled for now, thanks to an invisible sunspot.
  15. Pure fantasy! At this stage the gfs shows that bombing low in the Atlantic move northwestwards! lol
  16. At least I don't need to worry about my snow cover melting.
  17. Agreed! If anything it has less wintriness than the 6z.