Cal

Moderate snow here before the front clears, looking forward to the streamer tomorrow.

Some serious cold to the east. Looks better alignment on the 00gfs

Met office have light snow showers developing late Sunday onwards. As the winds veer more easterly/north easterly and the colder uppers come in convection will kick off. Not exclusively for the coast, from this time of the year onwards solar heating can beef those showers up well inland.

Surpised to wake up to a couple of cm's on the ground!

Light snow here .

Light snow falling for the ten mins !

Happy New Year to you Nick, thanks for the entertaining updates throughout the year. Seems like the good old US of A is having their peas & onions to go with that Chips n Steak with a dollop of black pepper sauce (hmmm!), what goes around comes around for the final half i hope!...

With a raging jet so fast it's expected.

Yes it gets worse the next 6-10 hrs or so are the worst for the central northern belt. http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2013122618/gfsnh-0-18.png?18 Whilst not lasting as long as the previous storms this one is more potent for those areas in relation to wind gusts/speeds.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_warnings.html?day=1

http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/homeandleisure/floods/34678.aspx?page=1&type=RiverAndTown&term=humber Low lying areas particularly vulnerable around the Humber Estuary & Lincs Coastline from this evenings tidal surge, stay safe.

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2013120106/gfsnh-0-240.png?6 Battleground UK in the making here, low heights in the Med, HP to the far NE, game on.

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=0&ech=6&carte=1 As per usual caveat GFS is being dragged towards the Euro's.

Think it is the small tentative steps the GFS takes to get to the correct solution, i.e. northern blocking, on full blown zonality it does ok generally, however for our shores i would take the UK Met O n ECM to be the correct synoptic solution.