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loafer

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Everything posted by loafer

  1. loafer
    No…both are 00z Mean, both 6hr accum precipitation, one for 1pm, one for 7pm.
  2. loafer
    I agree - I pointed out yesterday that sea temps are near record highs, so the convective energy is much more than usual.
  3. loafer
    Sea temperature is 9.1 deg, close to the Jan high of 9.5, and well above the Jan average of 7.8, which could lead to a lot of convection for streamers.
  4. loafer
    Monday sees a quite stiff wind coming off the North Sea and a big delta between sea and air temperatures, which can give decent snowfall from Kent or Thames Streamers, depending upon the ultimate wind direction. Worth keeping a close eye on the Fax evolution to see if this emerges.
  5. loafer
    Moderate snow in Hawkhurst, Kent. 236 asl. Currently -0.1c. Even the dog is lamppost watching…
  6. loafer
    Just changed to snow here...coming down consistently.
  7. loafer
    With apologies to the mods...
  8. loafer
    Errr...that purple bit goes right over my house...!
  9. loafer
    He’s viewing the charts on Meteociel.fr which is a French site.
  10. loafer
    Yes....took me a few attempts, though...needed to update the firmware, then start again. With a bit of patience the station ID turned up in the Device list!
  11. loafer
    I got the same Xmas present!
  12. loafer
    I think NE is a Kent Streamer and E is a Thames Streamer. The point of a streamer is that the wind picks up convection from the warm sea over a decent distance and then dumps it as snow further downwind.
  13. loafer
    In my view the SE has the potential for quite a lot of snow Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. The models have been consistent with SEly winds and the upper temps and dew points are sufficient and improving run by run.
  14. loafer
    They use historic runs, and the models are upgrading the forecasts at the moment. This should cheer you up;
  15. loafer
    Example chart from NMM;
  16. loafer
    There is real potential for a Kent Streamer on Monday in my view. Uppers are just about cold enough, sea is warm, winds decent.
  17. loafer
    Only if you like sleet...!
  18. loafer
    Then back for a second bite;
  19. loafer
    GFS still has most of Kent covered;
  20. loafer
    A real model battle underway. ECM sees it too far south (BBC use this for their forecast) whereas the GFS and ICON have it right over Sussex and Kent.
  21. loafer
    Try this; weather model knmi - harmonie-arome model - england - rain/snowfall [base + 48] | weatheronline WWW.WEATHERONLINE.CO.UK Weather for UK, Ireland and the world. Sailing, Marine Weather, Weather maps, radar, satellite, climate, historic weather data, information about meteorology... As it is a short term model, the interesting period is not yet in range.
  22. loafer
    1.5c here and falling dewpoint 0.3c
  23. loafer
    Interesting FAX for tomorrow;
  24. loafer
    Well, it's either low or high, so they'll be right some of the time by the law of averages...!
  25. loafer
    I agree. Keeping a close eye on this one. Here is the Euro4;
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