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About loafer

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    Near Tunbridge Wells, Kent
  1. Plenty of flashes and thunder here on the Kent/ Sussex border. http://en.blitzortung.org/live_lightning_maps.php?map=12
  2. Just driven through a very heavy line of rain on the Kent/East Sussex border. Some falling as sleet.
  3. You canna break the laws of physics, cap'n!
  4. At the risk of stating the obvious, the algorithms and calculations used in the model to predict the future will have been set based upon historical data.
  5. Thames streamer requires an easterly...
  6. Not so much a forecast as a statistical average, really.
  7. Thank you Steve - your input and analysis is one of the key reasons this is my weather site of choice.
  8. Well this seems the place for a little anecdote... Over the weekend I was chatting to a guy at a school fair. He has just moved to the country and discovered an enormous bees nest behind some outbuildings. He called in the bee expert who is arranging to take them away, but also said that the bees were building a hive suitable for a very cold winter... ...make of that what you will! Definitely more accurate than the CFS!
  9. Not strictly a model (although models involved), it is worth revisiting the Met's April-June forecast... "The forecast for average UK rainfall slightly favours drier than average conditions for AprilMayJune as a whole, and also slightly favours April being the driest of the 3 months." http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/p/i/A3-layout-precip-AMJ.pdf