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Theresnoway

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Poole
  • Weather Preferences
    Extremes, inc Snow and Wind

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  1. johncam I’m not predicting some kind of winter nirvana, but blocks do tend to put up more of a fight than often modelled. So some kind of a middle ground would be most likely IMHO.
  2. Frosty. Having been on this forum for a very long time and gained a feel for peoples weather preferences, you actually got me there! I was thinking well of Frosty’s thrown in the towel, we’re all doomed!
  3. Mike Poole There was a period down south between roughly 2000 and 2010 where we had hardly any snow, then came along 2010, 2013 and 2018. So although we won’t get favourable conditions every year, I still believe the right synoptics will come around eventually, even given longer term changes in climate.
  4. Stuie Very wise, but occasionally a trend does get picked up on , and come to fruition. Having not been following the models all winter, I probably have more patience and hope than others.
  5. Stuie Indeed, on the short ensembles shown, all looks pretty mild. I believe the excitement for cold weather fans comes after this period, which may or may not materialise. Lots of changes to come, but better than the weather being shown in recent days.
  6. I’m personally not sure a Red will be issued, impact and certainty would both need to increase to hit that threshold. It may happen somewhere, further north and (or) west, I doubt it for central southern England.
  7. It might be IMBY, but I would say a fair assessment based on all the model output. Unfortunately, it’s not IMBY!
  8. Expecting rain, hoping for snow! There is still a lot of variations in the models, personally I hope the low struggles more than is modelled against the cold
  9. Ah sorry, I thought the first chart was 1am Wednesday? What time of day is the second chart you posted for? Thanks
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