Paul_1978

winterof79 At least that’s at T+192, not T+384 like most other strat charts that get posted!

WYorksWeather Now that's what you call a measured and informative post, versus the ones that seem to delight in telling us we're getting cold rain and adding laughing emojis. Top post WYW

northwestsnow To be fair the pros have simply said there will be high pressure around, but could not say where. I don't think anything is "unravelling" as there was no firm situation to unravel. Personally looking forward to what next week brings and then take it form there

Why? And why not post a chart with a bit more narrative?

@MATTWOLVES 3

Oh jeez, I don’t think I’m over the last chase yet!

Meanwhile, most of us are waiting for the much anticipated next cold chase into Feb starting to appear in the far reaches of FI!

It’s extremely disingenuous to meteorologists to state their profession is all “guesswork”. I’m sure you don’t mean it exactly like that, and there’s better turns of phrase you could use.

To be fair though, these only go up to 20th. The “breakdown” on the models is after this so would not show on these graphs.

Model fatigue is well and truly setting in if @bluearmyand @Met4Cast are on the wane. For me it's this - do we all chase cold because we want calm, cold, benign weather? Perhaps so given all the rain and flooding recently. But I think for most of us it's because we want snow, and for many of us our greatest weather memories are 1979, 1982, 1987, 1991, 2013, 2018 to name but a few. Are we getting snow next week? The answer seems to be yes (although we don't know exactly where), so that's a big green tick Therefore the models are giving us what many of us actually want. I for one am enjoying the ride, and we are only on 10th Jan!

Surprisingly negative vibe from some in here. Models look great this morning if it’s snow you’re after, with the snow line obviously yet to be determined, but the broad theme is the same. Perhaps a relaxation of cold the week after but even then we can’t be sure - the cold may even hang on - and there’s still February to look forward to yet.

Ha ha, updated my original post - losing track of days!

Still showing last updated Tuesday wherever I look - website and app. EDIT - scrap that, it IS Tuesday!!

Not if you mute the right people, and it makes for much more pleasant viewing.

Am I in some kind of parallel universe here? I think most of us want snow, not something cold and dry. Lots of runs are showing snow for next week (exact placement to be determined). We know that there is likely to be a relaxation of cold after this before the next cold chase into Feb. Am I missing something here? If you are wanting snow I don't see there is a lot to complain about - it's quite exciting in my view.

https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/uk/long-range/monthly

VERY interesting output - as the low approaches from the south-west by T+192, there is clearly a lot of precipitation which could get interesting for many as it bumps into the cold air. THEN as it passes through by T+222 the cold air appears to start to dig back south again. Could be a snow-rain-snow or even a continual snow event for 24/36 hours or more. We often talk about showers not cutting the mustard but this could be the holy grail of a frontal snow event. The million dollar question will be where the snow/rain line is and of course there is a long way to go before that is anywhere near being nailed down.

Love your back garden!

Says updated at 15:00 today and yet it is only 13:30!?!? Regardless, a good update if it is cold/snow you are after.

The question is for most of us, will such a pattern give us showers with negligible accumulations, or something frontal and more prolonged? Too early for the detail for sure, but broadly speaking?

Prolonged cold…. are you sure? Bold statement!

They look pretty much identical?

The low to the south west as it moves in - forecast probably correct for Ireland, whilst mainland UK remains colder.

Totally expected - there’s never much precipitation associated with high pressure. Interest comes as low pressures potentially starts to encroach into cold air the week after.

May be of interest!