stotm

Good snow in west kingsdown now,

Some info on the met office web site in respect to there icons. If the correct conditions to snow and it’s 80% or more chance of precipitation you get two snow flakes if 70% or less it’s one snow flake. So the way the site/app is set up you can’t have heavy snow if there is only 70% chance of precipitation. So very very poor guide on intensity of snow fall.

Death hill 40cm

Hi, had 7 hours of the most fun you can have walking in hurricane force winds and rain that hurt. On pen y fan Sunday the winds got so high we could not stand up and had to crawl at points, got blown of our feet lots . Grate fun and a hell of a workout only moving at about 1mph . To put all people in same bracket “save your breath” and “people like you” when you have no idea to who you are talking about is a bit unfair but that’s the way it is now I suppose. A lot of planning and waiting for this to come together. Some like to watch some like to do ... I like both.

Going Brecon Beacons Sunday do you think will get 100mph on pen y fan.?

Snow now on side roads now. West kinsdown.

A few Snow flakes here ...

Hi, with all the models about the same until 66 hours , the gfs assembles look very close too each other. Can any one tell me until we get to about this 66 hours we will not see if the lows progress is making inroads to the block more or less . So will all out put be wrong after this if models like gfs do not get blocking correct? Or am I not getting this wrong.Thanks

So the weather warnings start on bbc site (from met office), but the weather on there graphics shows sunny and one snow flake. It’s like there using two sources of information? Oh just a minute they are !

Have to go to gatwick 9.30 pm Monday , might not be fun then.

I take it last time this happened was 2010...... Netweather Community Forums is currently unavailable 2010 Apologies for the downtime, we'll be back in a few minutes, just getting everything restarted..

Lots of talk about “talking the output down this morning”, the thing is I am having trouble finding this talk ? Models look from good to epic if cold and snow is that you like , let’s see which it will be?

Very true it’s almost random, that’s why it has 4 goes a day ?

It’s because they don’t have clue on how to deal with what’s going on so it’s more or less random output. The both say cold weather coming then one says it’s not then it is. Sadly we have to wait as 5 days plus forecast is not going to be correct at all.

Hi, would it not be the case all these forecast systems are programmed to follow just a set of rules given them by experts on weather systems and physics? So like beep blue the chess program was told the rules of chess and when it played enough games could bet the worlds best players, but the rules are all known and the starting positions are known. So these weather forecast are not sure on start positions of pieces and don’t know the all the rules. So how can any of these outputs after day five (not good at the best of times)have a chance of being correct cold or mild if we do not have enough data on how to respond to major warming and or split that we have only had about 20 total examples of? How did the outputs deal last time in the run up to ssw? I am only guessing but I bet it was not good but then so are the models.

Lots of snow now a20 getting covered in west kingsdown , cars will start getting stuck soon by brands hatch...

West kingsdown, it should show next to name. Nw kent.

Snow here now too.

Hi. Is this for 24hours forecast? As that’s a very small error rate.

Can't be discounted, oh yes it can I just have.

They need to take it offline for a bit as they seem to have a few algorithms to rewrite. I wonder if the programmers (mathematicians) have metrology experience ? or the people with metrology experience are doing the programming... Or do they have some of both as it seems there is a bit lost in translation maybe?

Sorry what I wanted to says has there ever been 3 models at day 10 the same? Lol

3 models at day 10, all different would you believe it?