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stotm

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    West Kingsdown Kent

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  1. Snow now on side roads now. West kinsdown.
  2. Hi, with all the models about the same until 66 hours , the gfs assembles look very close too each other. Can any one tell me until we get to about this 66 hours we will not see if the lows progress is making inroads to the block more or less . So will all out put be wrong after this if models like gfs do not get blocking correct? Or am I not getting this wrong.Thanks
  3. So the weather warnings start on bbc site (from met office), but the weather on there graphics shows sunny and one snow flake. It’s like there using two sources of information? Oh just a minute they are !
  4. Have to go to gatwick 9.30 pm Monday , might not be fun then.
  5. I take it last time this happened was 2010...... Netweather Community Forums is currently unavailable 2010 Apologies for the downtime, we'll be back in a few minutes, just getting everything restarted..
  6. Lots of talk about “talking the output down this morning”, the thing is I am having trouble finding this talk ? Models look from good to epic if cold and snow is that you like , let’s see which it will be
  7. Very true it’s almost random, that’s why it has 4 goes a day
  8. It’s because they don’t have clue on how to deal with what’s going on so it’s more or less random output. The both say cold weather coming then one says it’s not then it is. Sadly we have to wait as 5 days plus forecast is not going to be correct at all.
  9. Hi, would it not be the case all these forecast systems are programmed to follow just a set of rules given them by experts on weather systems and physics? So like beep blue the chess program was told the rules of chess and when it played enough games could bet the worlds best players, but the rules are all known and the starting positions are known. So these weather forecast are not sure on start positions of pieces and don’t know the all the rules. So how can any of these outputs after day five (not good at the best of times)have a chance of being correct cold or mild if we do not have enough data on how to respond to major warming and or split that we have only had about 20 total examples of? How did the outputs deal last time in the run up to ssw? I am only guessing but I bet it was not good but then so are the models.
  10. Lots of snow now a20 getting covered in west kingsdown , cars will start getting stuck soon by brands hatch...
  11. West kingsdown, it should show next to name. Nw kent.
  12. stotm

    Model Output Discussion 01/09/17

    Hi. Is this for 24hours forecast? As that’s a very small error rate.
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