MattS

Started snowing in Ipswich about 10 mins ago, reading reports from nearby should be expecting a covering this evening!

WOW! Can't believe i have read this before!? Thats one frozen winter in prospect! Belated thanks BFTP and RJS for putting this together. Looks like you've got the start pretty much spot on! Very interesting to see the La Nina pattern almost being almost overwritten by the persistent northern blocking and a more southerly tracking jet. This winter could well trundle on. Good luck for the rest of the winter guys! Looking forward to the imminent phase 2...

Hi Glacier Point Just a quick question regarding this. Do you see the GFS 12z hinting at this type of solution, seeing as there's a much broader scatter in the ensembles this evening. Is there any update on how strong the mountain torques are now likely to be? Also just wanted to thanks for your input into these forums. I always read your updates even if i don't fully understand some aspects, your explanations certainly go a long way in helping. Do you have any recommendations on further reading on the subject?

Thanks BFTP, gonna head over there right now!

Very interesting read Paul, thanks. Looks like his colours being firmly nailed to the mast there. Fair play to him for sticking his neck out and painting a fairly confidently clear picture of how things will pan out at this range with very little vagueness! Of course the proof is in the pudding and we will soon be able to follow and see how this pans out with Xmas day charts soon appearing on the GFS....i for one will be watching avidly. Paul, is'nt pattern matching slightly dubious game to play when considering many other influencing external factors (teleconnections, solar cycles etc) would need to factored in. Unless, like he seems to be suggesting, that EVERYTHING moves in a rhythmic cycle! Definitely one to watch. PS BFTP where can i find yours and RJS winter forecast please

Indeed TWS. I've been monitoring that area of precipitation drifting in from the east. Slightly heavier stuff here too coupled with colder continental feed as TEITS mentioned hmm....something to keep an eye on! The temp steady here around freezing btw with a dew of -1

Had light snow occasionally moderate on and off all morning despite a slow thaw. I notice that theres an area of precipitation drifting in on a direct east to westerly direction http://www.raintoday.co.uk/. Temp just below freezing. Encouraging to see a slight fall in temps around the region although i'm under no illusions that this is the beginning of the end for this impressive cold spell!

Very good point TEITS. Looking at recent radar slides it appears some convection is kicking off just north east of here...light snow falling now. Certainly a case of keeping a close eye on the radar this evening

Great stuff....not sure of exact totals here yet but looking like 4-5" now. Similarly to you we've been getting dribs and drabs, in fact until yesterday very little. I'm hearing stories that places like Felixstowe have been 'cashing in' during the past few days! Very localised but highly exciting! Bring on tomorrow!

Glad to hear you got some decent snow showers there Paul and the Suffolk streamer is being pass down the line! It's been pretty special here tonight with a constant stream of heavy snow running down the coast and depositing on it's way through! All of the pain of seeing the rest of the country get some decent falls all made up tonight...i knew this synoptic set-up just had to deliver something...at some point! In nor-easters we trust!! Hoping for some more train-like showers tomorrow.

Quick question for one of the more experienced members....looking at the latest Fax's for the weekend, inparticularly Sunday, the thicknesses are trending higher.....will this have an impact on convection/instability and ultimately produce less intense snow showers? Although the easterly thats shown looks like a real 'lazy wind' to me!

BBC Local forecasts (yes i know i should know better and get the seaweed out instead!) for another few inches tomorrow for initially Norfolk then into Suffolk and Essex... btw heavy-moderate snow again after a slight lull

Have you go anything yet Paul? Some monster flakes coming down here in Ipswich now....quite a covering already! What i like the most is the apparent lack of breeze! How are we looking for tomorrow and friday? Convective stuff possible?

Finally we've joined the party here.....heavy Snow now here in Ipswich! I was starting to get a bit paranoid!

Hi Paul Faired even worse than you from this....zilch! Do you think thats our lot for some real decent snowfall for our part of the world? I'm not expecting much from the trough today and like you say with showers we could get lucky from the odd shower. The real fly in the oinment (which has been others pleasure) is that low! I wish it would just move along! I can't quite believe the pretty special synoptics we are in, yet have'nt seen a single flake!