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Posts posted by Frosty.
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According to the Daily Express! ..we will be covered in snow soon! ..more likely mild with rain as the Gfs 12z op indicates! …sorry guys, but I’ve had enough of this.. roll on summer! …I’m sure it will be a record breaker!
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andymusic Aye, for sure, the first day of the meteorological spring is looking bitterly cold!!!! …enjoy! … I think any snow accumulation would soon melt, on lower ground at least…a pretty poor return considering the last 3 months...................... ( winter)......... for the most part..anyone agree?
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Why is anyone still posting?.... Is it the Gfs 12z op?.... Yeah right,....give it up coldies, this winter was a joke of epic proportions!...roll on spring warmth and sun... Yes, reverse psychology of course as i'm a die hard coldie.. . But, you know, even i know when to admit defeat!...at least we still have April!
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To be honest, I’m looking for early heatwaves now! …no sign of that on the models so far though!!!!!…but maybe there is a chance of colder weather returning during the last third of feb!…I have tremendous sympathy for the majority of members on here, especially those who are in the south of the u k who have endured, for the most part, a stinky winter, I really do!..hopefully the cfs brings hope of an Easterly! …being serious, I think the early meteorological spring could bring some wintery spells..well, according to Exeter anyway..until. Tomorrow at least, the models are making mugs of all of us let’s be honest, so much chopping and changing..glad I’m only an occasional poster now, I don’t have the stomach for it anymore! Cheery bye!
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I was almost ready to give up on what little remains of this pathetic winter until I saw the Cfs!… …the early part of the meteorological spring might be interesting too…but should I hold my breath? …if not, roll on the lighter evenings / mornings & strengthening sun..,see, there’s always a bright side!
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Perhaps I’m clutching at straws…but early May could be cold? ..on a more serious note, this winter seems to be fizzling out before it ever really started and honestly, the experts can’t be blamed, they are only looking at the same models we are and drawing a conclusion..shame this winter, for the majority, is another carp fest! ..but the bright spot is, I have a few more snowy pictures from my house to enjoy! ️
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I think , essentially, unfortunately, the gfs has performed well recently and the other models have been dragged towards it. ( including exeter )...but quite frankly, i don't care, i'm not scared... This winter, for the most part, for the majority of the u k has been a joke...roll on spring already, to be sure, it hasn't felt like winter much since dec 1st .... Please correct me if i'm wrong?
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I’m seeing some wintry potential from next weekend and at times thereafter, especially across the north but not exclusively!..the latest ECM highlights this, as does the latest update from Exeter, which wasn’t the case until today!..hopefully winter will be making a comeback during February.. fingers crossed etc!
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Please god let the Cfs be right about wintery potential beyond the upcoming mild stormy dross??!!!…I’m not ready to sign the death warrant on winter 2023 / 24 just yet! … there’s plenty of time left.. even into March / April… .. I’ve convinced myself now, I’m deluded perhaps.. but.. you never know.. I might not be! .. up here at castle black, there’s a few nice photos from this winter so far!..
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33 minutes ago, That ECM said:
Yes, there are slow burners and slow burners but I’m not sure this burner is even lit.
Don't despair, let's not forget that march / april can deliver with the coldest sst's etc
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I’m optimistic that we will see more charts like this one from the Gfs 6z again this winter…l. ,well.. I will leave it to Churchill.. oh yesss!!!!
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I’m very happy about what the Gfs shows next week, wish this guy could at least smile!
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I’m happy with the general direction of travel from tonight’s ECMWF 12z ensemble mean, among other output!..if I had some champagne, I would raise a glass to it…but..I’ve drunk it all..hiccup!
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I remain optimistic for my fellow coldies regarding week 2 regarding some meaningful arctic cold looking at the longer term ECMWF 12z ensemble mean, hopefully something is afoot following a benign anticyclonic spell.. hopefully NOT an actual foot.. …being serious though, I want January to produce a real taste of winter..for a change! Fingers crossed
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It’s sheer madness in here, ..but the GEFS 12z mean suggests to me a Northerly from the Arctic taking shape between next sat / sun onwards into week 2.. fingers crossed
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Patience grasshoppers.. … I’ve just looked. at the means and they scream an arctic outbreak beyond the upcoming anticyclonic spell due to the significant weakening of the polar vortex! ..anyway, strap yourselves in, it might be fun for coldies during the weeks ahead?.. not like a normal crud (mild) u k winter eh?
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The GEFS 12z mean suggests a more benign regime in the not too distant future.. but that isn’t so bad is it?.. after all it feels like we’ve been battered by enough wind and rain to last a lifetime surely?, ..ok perhaps not but you catch my drift?.. wasn’t it Kennedy who said ich bin ein Berliner? .. ok, forget the Berliner part!
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted · Edited by Frosty.
Looking at the cfs, further into March looks rather blocked with high pressure in the ascendancy meaning benign conditions for the majority…then I’ll skip April and look forward to early May! …call me a traitor coldies… I’ve had enough of this abysmal / pathetic / rotten excuse for a so called winter season already!…bring on the sun! ️