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Frosty.

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Everything posted by Frosty.

  1. I’m not too perturbed by the current model shenanigans!.. ..while there are perts like this in early Janvier!
  2. Loving the gallows humour on here today! ..but at least the ECM 12z op does eventually become widely colder, for a time!.. still lots of uncertainty, if you think the models are now clear on the road ahead..you’re wrong…the tipping point is still ahead of us?. I think?!
  3. Hey!…the ECM 12z op isn’t so good for coldies, but at least France lost!..so I’m kind of happy.. cheers! .. plus, Dazza is happy too!
  4. Hey!…no coldie..at least further north.. can deny there isn’t at least some wintery potential at crimbo time according too the GEFS 12z mean?!..and how often in recent years can that be said?… I will tell you!!!!!!.. the finger of one finger!
  5. There’s a few GEFS 12z members which could spell Victory for coldies around Christmas time! … keep the faith! V for Victory!
  6. I’ve seen worse ECMWF 12z ensemble means for crimbo day!.. just saying! …it’s usually very mild innit!
  7. Am I missing a trick here? …crimbo day doesn’t look mild according too the GEFS 12z mean!!…hallelujah …At least Dazza won’t be happy about the mean!
  8. I’ve been reading the comments, I couldn’t give a 510 dam what the USA is going to get!.. I only care about Blighty! …and it’s cold out there! …let’s enjoy the current cold and let the outlook take care of itself!..which it will..without our help!!!!
  9. Following much consideration…. . I’ve decided the milder blip isn’t worth mentioning! .. ..,pffft!.. … wow I’m so happy.. .. I’m practically sledging
  10. Well…I just looked at the Gfs 12z op charts for Christmas Day and thought, what a garbage chart, but then I looked again..and thought, what a garbage chart!…. but then I looked at the surface temps and thought..well, at least it’s not mild!!!.. ..even with winds originating in Africa! ..hey, even southerlies can be rather cold!.. how things have changed since that record breaking warm autumn.. wouldn’t it be jolly spiffing not to have a mild Xmas like we usually get!!
  11. Even once the GEFS 12z mean goes TEITS up! …there are still some cold perturbations!
  12. I don’t know much! .. but I do know this is a decent GEFS 12z mean in the mid term!!..see, I’ve learned something since I joined in 2005! ..and I say again, I love narnia.. the movie was cool…I mean cold!
  13. Wowzers, these GEFS 12z perturbations mid month and England winning 3-0…!!!!!!!..life is good.. !
  14. Pretty Superb ECMWF 12z ensemble mean tonight if you’re a coldie?..which I assume the vast majority are?…otherwise, why is it so busy in here.. hmmmmm?!!
  15. Comparing like with like, .. …tonight’s ECMWF 12z ensemble mean, especially longer term, is colder than 24 hours ago!…it’s going to turn much colder from the north next week with widespread frosts and sunny spells, especially across the interior, the shower distribution will change compared to the current easterly, when it turns more northerly, we will see a wishbone effect with showers draped around western, northern and eastern coastal counties but any disturbances pushing south would mean bands of wintry precipitation across inland areas too… a taste of winter is coming.. no stopping it now!..how long it lasts and how severe it becomes?..is well above my pay grade !
  16. Here’s a few GEMS .. from the GEM 12z ensembles which show longevity and severity potential regarding next weeks much anticipated cold plunge!… fingers / toes everything crossed! … I can dream!
  17. Hopefully the ECM 12z op / mean was just a wobble / knee jerk reaction to something? … the GEFS 12z mean is colder @day 10 and there are some cracking perturbations / permutations! ️
  18. Tonight’s ECMWF 12z ensemble mean trends less cold / milder later too! …oh well, it was good while it lasted..I guess! …hey, it’s only the weather, nowt we can do or say will change what the weather wants to do!!!!.. ..wise words from yoda!
  19. Wow, and some were moaning about the ECMWF 0z op!?…at least Dazza and young Sidney are happy! 🐿
  20. Following the initial Arctic surge southwards, the GEFS 12z mean indicates cold cyclonic!…now isn’t that better than mild cyclonic?….. answers on a postcard?.. on second thoughts, don’t bother, the postal workers are striking way too much!
  21. Hey, I know we are on to the 12z now.. but, if you’re a coldie.. please explain what is so bad about the GEFS 6z mean @ T+138 hours…hmmmmm?…yep, didn’t think so! ….I have no pretensions to be an expert, there’s far brighter sparks than me meteorologically speaking… …but I’ve been here for 17 years so I’ve picked up a few tips along the way + I have instinct!! …for example, the seagulls are behaving strangely right now!!! .. go figure!
  22. For anyone who says good things never last?..check out these GEFS 12z perturbations and you may reconsider? …this isn’t your usual mild rubbish start to a good old Blighty winter for sure!
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