moses

Yep, im from Chesterfield too. 48 cms in Whittington. Truly astounding. I think the 78/9 winter was the last time this happened. Then, everyone got together, shovels etc... and sept all driveways/access roads. Now its every man for himself. I was genuinely shocked at the amount. I do feel the Met O have grossly underestimated this one!!

Mmmm.......... What I find disconcerting is the models are showing one thing and people like The Met Office/ John Holmes on Net Weather video forecasting rain with a wintry mix. Surely not?

Re: Control Run Briefly, what is it and how does it differ from the operational.....

Something out of Dr Who, for sure. However, I can still imagine the Met Office update tomorrow: Cooler everywhere, some wintry showers creeping into the SE later in period.. Again , still FI .I'll believe that when I see it. However, the models are tending to upgrade ............ How then does this compare with 1947(Jan) Jan 63, surely a more severe spell than that??? Question: Has there EVER been a synoptic set up like this, either T+ 0, t+ 2500 or in the last 60 years? If so, when!

Briefly, I'm following all this synoptically, but what IS a control run , compared to the operational? Why the difference and the importance?

For the third time, would someone kindly tell me what a parallel run is?

Ok, I've heard all the wild excitement about these computer models and their prediction of an a potentially stunning synoptic set up How then, do they compare with Jan '79 Dec 81 or Jan 63 in terms of cold and snow ( Obviously a question for experts) in terms of high pressure orientation/blocking, 850 temps, jet track and longevity??,

Interesting comparison. Where is the link for historical charts like this?

PLEASE!

Would anyone care to eleaborate on these subtle differences? Thanks Guy

Could someone please tell me the difference between 500 and 850 charts - sometimes the 500 charts have lots of blue - but there are mild temperatures over the same region What 850 temps do we need for snow? What about the figures 530 dam on the 500 charts - what use are they? Also - the phrase "height rises over greenland" - what is this in relation to the charts? thanks Guy

There were three blackbirds on the lawn this morning, two males, one female - all moving in clockwise circular rotations of 1.04m radius, finishing in an easterly direction bearing 089 degrees. The last time this happened according to my records was ....... AUGUST 1978 , then August 1995.??

Frankly then : a negative NAO of -0.34 will give what from December to Feb say? A few more frosty days than last year , perhaps a few more snowy days/ foggy days - and that's it Historically, this reading appears much better than many years over the last 20 Should we be reasonably pleased in terms of a reasonably good winter compared to recent years? Guy

I'm afraid if the models showed -15 temps and arctic lows, the BBC mild rampers would suggests temps at or slightly below average- a hideous forecast that, I think will change, - - like last year's did if memory serves me correctly

Which charts would be useful in detecting the jetstream