supposed to be travelling back to chelt tomorrow from centreparcs in longleat with my 17 month old little boy. I'm guessing it will be worse as I go north? should I delay leaving or even getaway late today?
Isn't it all do with how high the ash is? The current ash levels are at about 20,000ft which means that planes would need to fly through it to reach cruising altitudes of approx 35,000ft or to come into land.
Not sure how high the ash got with Mt Saint Helens but maybe it was higher and the planes could fly under the ash? Only guessing!
Thanks again for your input Ian. always good to hear from experts. This might not be the right place but what does "cyclogenesis / Shapiro-Keyser event" mean?
Also, reading your blog, I see why the UKMO has not felt drawn into advisories for the Sunday. Fingers crossed for Madeira again.
Ditto theprophecyman - I read it and pretend I understand
Seems as though they are thinking (IMO) that we may get an easterly wind after the rain/wind on Sunday and then another low pressure moves up and bumps into the cold easterly giving snow for the south. Blizzards were mentioned as well
Guess it could all change though
The metoffice have removed the heavy rain warnings for us on Friday now. Just today left. No warnings for the LOW on Sunday yet but notice Ian mentioned possibility of snow for us in his 9.30 forecast!?
Looking at the radar it looks like the heaviest PPN is going to the east and west of Bristol/Glos as it moves north
Lot's of showers following behind the main band of rain to the south west. Wonder if these will be thundery in nature?