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Stuart

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Everything posted by Stuart

  1. yes happens a few time this winter not sure if something wrong radar
  2. Yet again snow showers missing Nairn had 2 light snow showers
  3. well what bad day for snow not had much just a few snow showers
  4. not sure how well i do with the east winds as it my 1st time up here with a east winds
  5. Only had had a dusting here but don’t think I will see much of the snow showers in Nairn due to the east winds
  6. yes but it could mean down east of the UK as well let see what tommorw update bring
  7. it say as well The location and intensity of any snowfall will be uncertain so might not happen like that
  8. you wont do that well with a northwest winds I found that out when I lived there
  9. none here in Nairn temp now 3 c so when it reach here sure it be rain
  10. this time next week December 25th moves into range of the 16 day computer models. That means daily forecast updates begin and continue until a call can be made on the Christmas weather. At the present time there continue to be signs of colder than average spells of weather between now and the end of the year. Therefore the fourteenth update increases the chance of a White Christmas in both the north and south of the UK. But please remember: 1) There is a long time for things to change 2) Even during milder than average winter months cold snaps can bring snow Chance of snow on Christmas Day North of Yorkshire / Lancashire:18% South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 13% Update 14 02/12/2017 Updates are usually weekly. https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/Christmas-weather-forecast
  11. UK Outlook for Friday 15 Dec 2017 to Friday 29 Dec 2017: At the start of this period confidence is low, but high pressure is more likely to dominate to the north and west of the UK, which will give us mainly dry and cold conditions, with a mix of sunshine and showers. The showers are likely to fall as sleet or snow, chiefly over the hills but also to lower levels at times. Temperatures are set to be cold, with widespread frosts overnight. However, through this period, there is an increasing chance of seeing Atlantic weather systems cross the UK, with an associated increase in rainfall, especially across western areas. This would also bring about generally milder conditions. Updated: 01:31 on Thu 30 Nov 2017 GMT https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gcpvj0v07#?date=2017-11-14
  12. UK Outlook for Tuesday 5 Dec 2017 to Thursday 14 Dec 2017: Through Tuesday and Wednesday next week a band of heavy rain will push southwards across the UK. For much of the south, ahead of the rain it will be dry and mild with some brightness. Brighter colder conditions will follow into the north with wintry showers. The rest of the week looks uncertain. However it is more likely to stay rather unsettled with frontal systems bringing rain and strong winds to western parts. Brighter conditions with wintry showers are likely across the north and milder conditions are looking more plausible in the south, but cold and frosty is more likely further north. Towards the end of this period weather patterns are likely to be slow moving bringing a mixture of colder drier periods and short lived milder, wetter, windier interludes. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gcpvj0v07#?date=2017-11-14
  13. wont be as much as that for sure but we can do well with polar maritime / northerly flow
  14. Time is flying by and we've now reached the astronomical autumn. At this stage most of the seasonal models are forecasting above average temperatures this December, however recent updates of the CFSv2 are hinting at high latitude blocking which would increase the chance of cold spells. On balance the likelihood of snow at Christmas remains low but remember: 1) There is a long time for things to change 2) Even during milder than average winter months cold snaps can bring snow Therefore the fourth update suggests a fractionally increased chance of snow on Christmas Day 2017. We continue to think the most likely outcome is for a mobile pattern continuing for much of December and possibly lasting through the Christmas period. That suggests predominantly unsettled weather. Incursions of colder air more likely in the north of the UK. Chance of snow on Christmas Day North of Yorkshire / Lancashire:15% South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 9% Update 4, 23/09/2017 Updates are usually weekly. https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/Christmas-weather-forecast
  15. UK Outlook for Tuesday 26 Sep 2017 to Thursday 5 Oct 2017: As we head through the end of September, there will be a west/east split in the weather. The west is likely to be cloudier with outbreaks of rain, perhaps heavy at times. In contrast, the east will be drier and brighter, but with generally light winds for all parts, there could be some chilly nights with mist and fog forming under any clearer skies. Towards the start of October, this split will continue but it is likely to turn windier and increasingly unsettled in the west, with a risk of gales or severe gales, particularly in the northwest. These unsettled conditions will erratically spread eastwards, but some central and eastern areas may perhaps stay dry throughout. Temperatures will generally be above normal, perhaps warm across central and eastern areas. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast
  16. UK Outlook for Tuesday 3 Oct 2017 to Tuesday 17 Oct 2017: As we head into October there is considerable uncertainty in the forecast, although it looks most likely to be mainly settled at first, with the best of the dry and sunny weather in the south and southeast. Through the first half of October a more marked northwest-southeast split could develop again across the UK, bringing rain and strong winds across the northwest, and drier and brighter weather across the southeast. Temperatures will be close to or slightly above normal in most of the UK, with the south and southeast perhaps rather warm by day. However, in more settled spells we will continue to see some chilly nights with early morning mist and fog as well as an increased chance of frost, most likely in the north. Updated: 03:04 on Tue 19 Sep 2017 BST https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast
  17. UK Outlook for Sunday 24 Sep 2017 to Tuesday 3 Oct 2017: Through to the end of September it will probably stay rather unsettled in the north and western half of the UK, with rain and stronger winds at times, perhaps even gales for the far northwest next week. Further south and east there will be more in the way of sunshine and lighter winds. It is likely to become quite warm during the day at times, especially in the south and east, but with chilly nights in the forecast. There may be some mist and fog patches around first thing and these may last well into the morning on some days. Early in October the rather unsettled weather in the northwest will probably extend into the rest of the UK https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast
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