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frosty ground

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Everything posted by frosty ground

  1. frosty ground
    I don’t think so, we really wouldn’t see it this far out but the setup is screaming potential for one
  2. frosty ground
    Disrupt
  3. frosty ground
    Gives a good example of the weaker feature leading to a much smaller “mild” sector, snow all the way through on that.
  4. frosty ground
    this would produce a few showers for our region
  5. frosty ground
    he comes the wave, no where near as developed so should bring less milder air with it.
  6. frosty ground
    I don’t think there will be a second low coming south this time, better heights over Greenland has blocked any spillage across the ice shelf. all in all a much cleaner run
  7. frosty ground
    on this run we have a feature developing over Iceland that has help shift the pattern west slightly, could have a knock on affect latter on with the next parcel of energy that spills out of Greenland. also bring into play the low to the south west potentially a large snow machine if conditions support it
  8. frosty ground
    06z run out to 114 and nothing much has changed as you would expect. think we can safely say by day 6/7 the second lot of artic air will arrive. need to watch the low pressure as it develops moving south on day 7/8 shallow feature produced less of a mild sector, or the pattern to back west ward slightly. as with all output some change will benefit other areas more than others
  9. frosty ground
    I we at that stage where we create another NAO reference
  10. frosty ground
    Day ten double digit temps? Which model is that? Biggest question is it still dry?
  11. frosty ground
    real Greenland high is back, to collapse into scandi
  12. frosty ground
    here comes that energy as a developing low sinks south, mild export to the west of where it runs maybe a bit like the ECM pattern backs up west a little and low stays shallow should make a good snow maker
  13. frosty ground
    energy still sneaking across the north of Greenland which the GFS has picked up since Friday. could do with the pattern backing west a little bit snow will come eventually on this run.
  14. frosty ground
    o look that wedge is getting picked up now and moving into the scandi region the mild sector will vanish as we count down to the day, I think the pattern is set now
  15. frosty ground
    That mild sector won’t be there by the time we get to t-0
  16. frosty ground
    GFS goes cold with chances of heavy snow, it’s not a solid GH but that doesn’t make it a bad run
  17. frosty ground
    Due to changes around the globe gaps are opening up in different places wedge me a kipper
  18. frosty ground
    no deep cold here. almost like it’s not yet a done deal.
  19. frosty ground
    Key difference is the lack of Greenland high due to issues over the pole and Greenland the outcome is higher heights over Iberia. the outcome is not the cause, it’s not the Hadley cell expanding its other factors
  20. frosty ground
    Met office usually lag when changes like this are picked up, maybe slight changes today followed by a larger one tomorrow depending on future runs.
  21. frosty ground
    the wedge is coming back to life
  22. frosty ground
    The Greenland high is being transposed into a wedge and I’m here for the ride, big snow events up for grabs
  23. frosty ground
    Yeah the last thing I want is the low to the south west to engage the cold air over central Britain leaving a foot of snow in its wake that’s the last thing I want
  24. frosty ground
    The ECM op was less a wobbly wheel and more a planet full of coldies crying out in one voice only to fall silent. The Jedi must have felt that one and of course the I told you so’s strike back is quickly following on. as forget start trek analogies go it was a bit ECM Operation. on to the morning output to see if there has been a shift in any other model.
  25. frosty ground
    this is probably the best run in a while showing longevity
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