frosty ground
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Everything posted by frosty ground
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Its been there since day 10 charts in one form or another
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Only for few hours and only up above.
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this looks okay for our region,
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Low has moved north, which isn't great for us as it stop shower activity but it will change again .
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I’ll let Jason answer it as he his far more qualified but I would suggest modest height of 150-200m maybe lower away from the coast
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Back to where the 0z was with the milder sector, inland areas with modest height would be okay.
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The GFS 06z was the first run to show any snowfall next week on the operational in my back yard. temps getting down to -7 by the end of the week, probably colder if there is snow cover
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I much reduced mild sector for our region, probably more like the 18z run that Chris mentioned there it goes sailing past to our west
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So to sum it up your to close to the coast should the shortwave develop and bring about its milder sector and your also to far north for showers. Can see why your always so negative. the bright side is you live in morcombe…. O I see
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Ensemble P30 is probably just right for our region
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not looking overall representative with its handling of that warmer sector
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Are you not interested in a rather large and compact storm then?
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scandi high inbound on this run
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messy and pick the bones out of that! what’s going to happen to the low moving into norther Scotland, to round for fun
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The 168 chart which I can’t post looks primed on the GFS surface high over scandi!
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It’s not developing as much nice and shallow
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developing shortwave over Iceland is a little behind schedule compared to the 06z run
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Sunday dinner time, as you would expect no real change.
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Sunday dinner time, as you would expect no real change
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I think this run reflects this morning ensembles better than the 0z operation Which is basically a 7 day cold spell
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How about a small piece of it ?
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looks like that low is heading up the west coast of Greenland
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This is 100% correct But we are being told the raw data says it’s dry?
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The PS is my point. you called 20cm of snow from a setup where the raw data didn’t show 20cm of snow. today your calling dry from the raw data when we all know that features can and will pop up. Even thou snow is shown of the raw output across the models.
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He’s very knowledgeable also love reading his posts, I think he suffers from swinging to extremes thou but that’s my opinion.
