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frosty ground

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Everything posted by frosty ground

  1. frosty ground
    Warning issued for Thursday
  2. frosty ground
    freezing rain still on the menu. met office app has a day of snow with temps slightly above freezing.
  3. frosty ground
    Looking forward to the freezing rain.
  4. frosty ground
    Lukesluckybunch yep days 4-7 has cross model agreement and days 10 plus also has cross model agreement. Sad face justified
  5. frosty ground
    IDO that chart you have used to determine if it’s an outlier or not has been proven to be unreliable, you should know this from the last time you tried using it. use the full ensemble output then determine if it’s an outlier or not
  6. frosty ground
    nick sussex still not settled then
  7. frosty ground
    blizzard81 has it? It’s been bouncing around between north England and souther Scotland for the last few days, 18z Thursday northern England 0z Friday Scotland 12z Friday central England 18z friday northern England 06z blade north England. no pattern
  8. frosty ground
    Kasim Awan yeah super strong and stubborn
  9. frosty ground
    northwestsnow it’s the 2nd of February, the runs you are seeing go out to the 16th. Of February why o why are you talking about March?
  10. frosty ground
    Lukesluckybunch like the 06z run?
  11. frosty ground
    Snowman. on the 850’s yeah but is the overall pattern of lowering heights to our south still shown? had the icon shown something completely different then yeah I could get it. Don that’s what we are here for…. To find out
  12. frosty ground
    northwestsnow but it based on a low pressure that’s position won’t be anywhere near right at this stage. And the same can be said about the other models.
  13. frosty ground
    Anyone calling the icon a downgrade and getting emotionally invested in runs 7 days away at the placement of a low needs to take a few months off. the icon is clearly in the envelope of outcomes and again it’s not about how far north or south the low gets it’s about how far east and shallow it can become. also it’s the icon … can’t upload image
  14. frosty ground
    CoventryWeather I have seen worse
  15. frosty ground
    Lukesluckybunch it need to be to the east of the UK rather than just the south of the UK
  16. frosty ground
    Had Worse not sure the current charts are sinkers, not the way the GFS is showing it, more the positioning west to east will be more important. a low sitting of the was is ideal for the north west. Had Worse That forecast is pretty uncanny considering the GFS and U.K. Met runs
  17. frosty ground
    Looks like a not so classic +ve NAO
  18. frosty ground
    Mike Poole not much high level blocking in play, what’s driving the low into Iberia?
  19. frosty ground
    Looks very static next week, very wet or very snowy or even both a few miles apart GFS is a snowy route
  20. frosty ground
    northwestsnow that’s why the snow has dried up the outlooks looks very promising, just a matter of where the boundary will be before days 9 & 10, I think a few surprises next week, if you expect them are they still surprises? LRD at day 5?
  21. frosty ground
    Mike Poole those Iberian heights look sticky
  22. frosty ground
    very mild with those uppers? are you sure?
  23. frosty ground
    Standard Scandi high creation, not sure what’s so controversial about Gowons post?
  24. frosty ground
    Sounds like rain or ice pellets on the window has been snowing
  25. frosty ground
    Some ensemble support would be a decent start
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