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crimsone

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Everything posted by crimsone

  1. crimsone
    So, New Zealand is currently experiencing a weather bomb. Seriously, this thing is a decidedly strong, messy system, and is forecast to converge into one single center spiralling out about 7 long fronts and three troughs.
  2. crimsone
    It appears that, despite the storm surge only being 50 to 66% of what was predicted, 10 feet of sea coming at you in high Cat4 winds... ... most of Cameron isn't there anymore. Not in any meaningful sense anyway. With seemingly few exceptions, if it's not washed off its foundations it's heavily damaged.
  3. crimsone
    Honestly, I see no sense in being anywhere near this one.... but hey, that's just my opinion.
  4. crimsone
    Live again. Can't deny that I think this incredibly brave, and probably quite knowledgeable guy, is nevertheless being a bit daft to bringing us the footage.. but damn it's good.
  5. crimsone
    New stream from rooftop car guy just started... /// Edit: Well that didn't last long.
  6. crimsone
    Aaaaand the power's out to most of Downtown Lake Charles. Thanks, idiot in a car on the roof. Here's hoping you make it.
  7. crimsone
    Why anybody would be sitting in a car atop a multi-level car park building I don't know... ... but here he is.
  8. crimsone
    6.13 feet at Cameron now. God I hope they all left. Oh hell....
  9. crimsone
    It begins. (Cameron, LA) https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/inundationdb/inundation.html?id=8768094&units=standard&bdate=20200826&edate=20200828&timezone=GMT&datum=MHHW&interval=6&action=
  10. crimsone
    Seeing reports that recon just found a pressure minimum of 932mb, which is just nuts. How this thing could still be strengthening right before landfall and under supposed shear beggars belief.
  11. crimsone
    I just hope to hell that there's nobody left in the small town of Johnston Bayou, or similar. There's some small consolation that this thing is hitting the least populated areas the worst, but that'll be of little consolation to anybody that's, well... soon to be gone. That aside, Port Arthur really isn't all that far away, and is a levee'd area. with a relatively large neighborhood and a significant refinery beside a lake, just over the border into Texas. Hopefully they'll hold up to a Cat5 just around the corner?
  12. crimsone
    The ripples to the west of it are mesmerising. Like some kind of shockwave.
  13. crimsone
    Does the Met Office still send forecasters in training down to New Zealand to cut their teeth on antipodal weather systems? Because the surface pressure chart forecasted for tomorrow is a bit nuts. I don't even know where to start.
  14. crimsone
    It only "stalls" in that the steering currents don't move it... ... but a large hurricane is a giant heat engine sucking its way through the nuclear equivalent of megatons of energy every minute or two. As long as it can still suck on warm water surrounded by moist air, and there's insufficient sheer to weaken it, it'll keep going.
  15. crimsone
    Been following this one off the forum, and thought I'd check in to see if it might make me less fearful for the islanders. It does not. I am dreading tomorrow's news (It's night time here in NZ). I am struggling to see any way in which the Bahamas are not significantly less populated after this hurricane. Even if fatalities are low (and god, I hope they are - but it'd be a miracle), the place is going to be utterly devastated.
  16. crimsone
    Looks like it's forecast to do a really tight loop de loop, and head off back up towards Cairns or PNG. That said, it's developed a decent trough stretching from just S.W of its center to a comparatively weak low center a bit NE of NZ's North Island, which is forecast to become fully occluded by 1am sunday (New Zealand Time), with a high building into the Tasman Sea... but with another nasty antarctic low trying to break through below it. Perhaps it'll just fall apart out at sea instead?
  17. crimsone
    We never talk about the south in here... ... but this one is lovely in so far as nobody seems quite sure where it's going to go. For a while there the models were split between Australia and New Zealand, but it looks like they've vaguely settled for Australia for now... http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/storm.asp?storm_identifier=SH152019
  18. crimsone
    Ha ha ha ha ha! Ha ha ha ha! Ha Ha Ha! *chuckle*
  19. crimsone
    Did anybody make it into the eye of this thing safely? Considering that the eye just went over an entire city, I'm quite surprised that I've not seen any 'inside the eye' footage.
  20. crimsone
  21. crimsone
    I'm not saying it's not difficult or dangerous - it is... but flying through a cat4 hurricane is probably a lot safer for them that a mission to investigate an invest and check for a low level circulation. In a hurricane, they go high and can kind of see what they're aiming for (if only on radar)... for an invest they'll go low, and it's a hell of a lot more difficult to find the center. Add into that the potential effects of turbulence on aircraft altitude, and I'd imagine it to be a bit "seat of your pants".
  22. crimsone
    NHC went with 155MpH and 919mb as of "0100 pm CDT" ... that's 1mph short of Cat 5. If they don't pointlessly upgrade that in their next update, I can only presume they'll take a closer look after the fact at some later date.
  23. crimsone
    This is why we say that it's a bad idea to be anywhere near Major hurricanes. If Brett can get it wrong, what chance do I stand?
  24. crimsone
    Just read a comment on facebook from someone with a profile stating they work at NBC15... that they've heard from Brett's Wife that he's OK.
  25. crimsone
    Alternate link to Brett's Car's feed (can't really call it Brett's feed anymore!)
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