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crimsone

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Everything posted by crimsone

  1. Looks like it's about to make landfall on Siargao Island as a supertyphoon with a pinhole eye. 160mpH winds, pressure down at 920. Absolute beast of a storm. The satellite image of that island is almost certainly going to be a different colour once it's passed Eye under the dot to the right, and moving to the left.
  2. 160 mph winds just before landfall. This is awful. https://zoom.earth/storms/rai-2021/#layers=wind
  3. Apparently, in the Philippines (where this thing is about to wreak havoc), this storm is named as Odette.
  4. Well, that one caught me by surprise. Holy crap! I know it was mentioned as a low level system just a day or two ago, but this thing looks beastly. 115KT forecast to 140KT 12 hours later at 0600Z
  5. Just to bookend this thread with a final word from Philip Duncan on Cyclone Ruby
  6. It got a bit wet and windy there in New Caledonia, but apparently no lives lost, and about 20k homes without power, flooding, and all the usual things. On the other hand, the low pressure system in Auckland feeding from it feels like it wants to take off the roof of my house right now, but I'm sure it'll be fine. Wind is currently gusting 70-80 km/h, lashing the rain against the windows.
  7. If anybody cares to follow this thing on a map as it approaches New Caledonia... Tropical Cyclone Ruby LIVE Images and Tracker | Zoom Earth ZOOM.EARTH LIVE updates, satellite images and tracking maps of Tropical Cyclone Ruby 2021-2022. Current wind speed 120km/h. Max 140km/h.
  8. Tropical cyclone formed in the Coral Sea and named yesterday by BoM. Expected to reach Cat3, and pass just to the east of New Zealand. NZ being smack bang in the middle of two climate systems in the middle of a La Nina year, it's promised to be an interesting event, one way or another. In the event, it looks like it's having a bit of a tussle with two frontal lows in the Tasman Sea creating a bit of an 'atmospheric river', which seems to be a bit of a term de jour around the world of late. Time will tell, but it has the capacity to dump a lot of water very quickly.
  9. Looks like somebody's garden wall giving way under a weight of water it was holding back. Also reading that there's a death toll of around 13 in Oman.
  10. Wow. Hard baked earth and heavy rail is a really rough combination.
  11. I'm not a fan of having forums in a thumbnail-y grid view, but I'm getting pretty old in this place now and might be stuck in my ways. Can't deny it looks good though. I just like to have a sort of ordered list of forums at my fingertips
  12. So, erm.... Saudi Arabia it apparently bracing for flooding as a remnant deep depression sweeps in - ex-Shaheen. I wouldn't normally be all that interested in the North Indian Ocean basin, but looking in on the track (per https://mausam.imd.gov.in/ ), it's pretty far north. There's an image on wikipedia showing tracks from 1970 to 2005, and well, compare and contrast. It would appear that this is a track that just doesn't happen... I don't know what happened between 2005 and now, but it looks like a pretty special track regardless!
  13. Holy crap. Look at that thing go! So pretty, yet so far north! (OK, the angle exaggerates the appearance, but even so...) RAMMB/CIRA SLIDER: Satellite Loop Interactive Data Explorer in Real-time with GOES-16 and Himawari-8 Satellite Imagery RAMMB-SLIDER.CIRA.COLOSTATE.EDU
  14. The Waitākere area dams have gone from an average of 60-something percent full to 94% full in the last 24 hours. The'd previously been struggling to add as much volume as was being drawn down. To put it in context, their total capacity is 17.16 GL. Just under a third of that volume was filled today... and that's not including the volume added to the system in the much larger Hunua ranges dams.
  15. I'm in west auckland... but living right up the side of a valley I'm pretty much uneffected, save for a neighbors tree that's blown down over my fence.
  16. Apparently, this explains what's going on...
  17. Bit of a nightmare over here in Auckland at the moment, as if Level 4 lockdown wasn't enough to be dealing with. I've seen reports of flood waters rising up literal meters in some parts of west Auckland. Seems that a breakaway low from the Tasman has drifted westward, and with nowhere to go is just sitting over the upper North Island. Quite where it's getting it's energy from I don't know, but winds are gusting up to about 90 kph, and the rain's been coming down in the region of 10 mm an hour for the past 8 or 9 hours. The total dam volume of Auckland's potable water has risen about 4% in those 8 hours, which given the state of them might be welcome if it weren't in such a flash... that works out to about an additional 3.9 gigaliters of extra water in them over the last 8 hours. The Waitākere dam is probably the smallest of them with a total capacity of just 1.76 GL... and, well, that added 20% to its volume in, at most, 4 hours since this all started. It just isn't stopping, and will probably go on for a good few hours more yet.
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