Jump to content

chris55

Members
  • Content Count

    2,387
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Community Reputation

4,195

2 Followers

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences
    Crisp winter days, snow, heat, thunderstorms, strong winds.

Contact Methods

Recent Profile Visitors

5,961 profile views
  1. With the potential displacement looking favourable in terms of location the fact that we might not see an official SSW is irrelevant. At the end of the day the reason we look out for an official SSW is to get the Strat Vortex off it’s perch. That means either moving it into a favourable position- split it in two - or destroy it completely, with one of these outcomes ultimately bringing cold to the UK. An official reversal isn’t necessarily needed with a displacement if its displaced in the right place, and there is some connection between Strat and Troph. Looking at Matt Hugo’s twitter post deffo one to watch
  2. Look at those rainfall spikes...or the lack of....FINALLY!!! It’s going to be dry...!!!!! For a while at least Where we end up regarding winter wonderlands is another matter, but for me that dry period is so welcome.
  3. I’m quite liking the possibilities moving on from the 168 gfs operational... Going forward on this particular run and it’s quickly flattened allowing the Atlantic back in toppling the block. However at day 7 plus, all options still open IMO, so for me a good chart overall. edit....and not to shabby to start proper winter (just noticed it’s for 1st December).
  4. GFS goes into the freezer with a lovely snowstorm developing in the strong northeast flow An outlier towards the end but a cluster of colder scenarios gathering pace.
  5. Winter is approaching and model interest is spiking lol. Im coming out of the woodwork to post ECM.... lovely set up as we approach official winter. Strat looking interesting as well. Could we be looking at a classic winter? Current data suggesting potential
  6. Just seen a snowy pic from Minch on Breakfast. I’m down at 30meters asl and nothing here. Might have a little drive up in my truck shortly. Will grab some pics if it’s any good.
  7. You can see the really high temps clipping into the east/north east of the region on the 2pm temps. Heathrow at 37c :0
  8. It really ‘feels’ incredibly hot, the humidity along with the super high temps are getting on for the hottest I’ve ever experienced in the UK. Incredible heat.
  9. That cell was intense!!! Lighting literally constant for a good 40 mins. Lots of fork lightning in there as well and good thunder. Haven't seen a storm like here in many many years. Cool!! Could be more building behind as well.
  10. Just relaxing in the garden after a very hot day at work! The breeze is unbelievably warm and the clouds are building ahead of the potential thunderstorms tonight. Fingers crossed we get one head on 🌩. Really lovely to experience the extremes of summer, as it is to do the same in winter. The extreme heat Thursday looks just a tad to far east to break any records here in Stroud but looks mad elsewhere. Enjoy or loathe this spell wherever you are (depending on your preference) the weather plays a massive part in all our lives and this spell is one to remember. Some huge raindrops starting to fall now, just spots, I know the main thunderstorm risk is for later behind this showery section but certainly ‘feels’ primed out there for something.....
  11. Just relaxing in the garden after a very hot day at work! The breeze is unbelievably warm and the clouds are building ahead of the potential thunderstorms tonight. Fingers crossed we get one head on 🌩. Really lovely to experience the extremes of summer, as it is to do the same in winter. The extreme heat Thursday looks just a tad to far east to break any records here in Stroud but looks mad elsewhere. Enjoy or loathe this spell wherever you are (depending on your preference) the weather plays a massive part in all our lives and this spell is one to remember.
  12. Nice to see UKMO with the high pushing in at the end of the run camping next weekend so been hoping for a shift in the pattern. Along with GFS there looks to be some hope. ensembles also looking a little more compact and in agreement than of recent days, definite drying/warming trend.
  13. Are we seeing a super delayed reaction to the SSW back in Jan??? The model trends and actual synoptics have been way to easterly for it to be chance..... been away for to long, I’m sure this has been discussed. But it looks likely IMO.
  14. So is it possible that the SSW that refused to down-well earlier in the season is now driving the synoptic pattern with all this northern blocking? Or is it just a naturally variable?
  15. Winter is done guys and girls, spring is here, the nights are drawing out. Of course snowfall is still more than possible (even likely for some). But we are on the ‘other side’ now heading away from winter into spring/summer. It’s been a poor winter season generally for many (though not here, heaviest snowfall for 10 years!) so in term of the big freeze we turn our attention to next winter Current models looking unsettled and cool, perhaps even below average for March.
×
×
  • Create New...