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Roger J Smith

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Roger J Smith last won the day on October 13 2018

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    Rossland BC Canada
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    forecast research on a global scale, thus an interest in UK weather as part of a larger research program that concentrates mainly on severe weather in North America.

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  1. EWP has started with just 5 mm to the present time, but threatens to go on a tear, albeit highly variable amounts predicted in thundery showers. The ten-day projection appears to provide an average of about 50 mm, give or take 15, with local 100 mm+ totals expected but some parts of the southeast holding at only 10-20 mm. Then days 11 to 16 appear unsettled enough to add 15-20 mm by the 25th with the pattern looking capable of producing considerably more towards the end. Totals could be anywhere from 60 to 120 mm in this uncertain panorama.
  2. Here are the top first half (taking 1-16 as first half) CET values for Augusts with daily data since 1772, and where they ended up by the 31st. The list includes all years that had a value of 18.0 or higher. Rank __ Year ___ CET ____ Final Aug value, rank (if < 30) _ 01 ___ 1975 __ 20.4 ___ 18.7 (3) _t02 ___ 1995 __ 19.8 ___ 19.2 (1) _t02 ___ 2003 __ 19.8 ___ 18.3 (5) _ 04 ___ 1997 __ 19.6 ___ 18.9 (2) _ 05 ___ 1911 __ 19.3 ___ 18.2 (7) (1747 was t5th) _ 06 ___ 2004 __ 19.3 ___ 17.6 (t12) _ 07 ___ 1856 __ 18.9 ___ 16.9 _ 08 ___ 1773 __ 18.8 ___ 17.2 (t25) _t09 ___ 1792 __ 18.5 ___ 16.9 _t09 ___ 1868 __ 18.5 ___ 16.8 _t11 ___ 1933 __ 18.5 ___ 17.6 (t12) _t11 ___ 1800 __ 18.4 ___ 16.8 _t11 ___ 1990 __ 18.4 ___ 18.0 (9) _t14 ___ 1884 __ 18.3 ___ 17.2 (t25) _t14 ___ 1893 __ 18.3 ___ 17.4 (t20) _ 16 ___ 1938 __ 18.2 ___ 16.3 _ 17 ___ 1871 __ 18.1 ___ 17.2 (t25) _ 18 ___ 1947 __ 18.0 ___ 18.5 (4) ======================================================= A few top Augusts warmed up to their final values from first halves near 17, e.g. 1955, 1976 and 1984. Aug 1899 was 17.8 at both mid-month and end. Notable that the first five in this list all held on to top spots (1747 was tied 5th but has no daily data so we don't know where it might have been standing at the 16th). In all cases, the end of month ranks include the years before 1772, although many of those were lower ranked than even the medium finishers here.
  3. Table 2g: Comparisons of NYC and Toronto monthly data, April to June, after heat island corrections In every case, both temperatures in the monthly pair have been adjusted by the same amount as explained earlier. Therefore the last entry "diff." remains unchanged. Values and ranks can change. _________ APRIL ___________________________ MAY ____________________________ JUNE __________ Rank, yr, mean__Tor rank, mean, diff___Rank, yr, mean__Tor rank, mean, diff___Rank, yr, mean__Tor rank, mean, diff 01 _ 2010 _13.29__ 01_10.3 _3.0 ____ 01 _ 1880 _19.94 _ t15__14.7 _5.2 ____ 01 _1943 _23.86__05__20.1_3.8 02 _ 1941 _13.13_ t02 __9.7 _3.4 ____ 02 _ 1991 _19.29 _ t02__16.0 _3.3____ 02 _1883 _23.23 _ t23__16.5_6.7 03 _ 2017 _12.90 __12 _ 8.6 _4.3 ____ 03 _ 1896 _19.24_ t09__15.5 _3.7 ____ 03 _1966 _23.21 _ t23__19.2_4.0 04 _ 1921 _12.89 _ t08__9.1 _3.8 ____ 04 _ 2015 _19.18 __12__15.2 _4.0 ____ 04 _1899 _23.19 _ t60__18.4_4.8 05 _ 1910 _12.53 _ t19__8.0 _4.5 ____ 05 _ 1944 _18.74 _ t13 _14.9 _3.8 ____ 05 _1876 _23.06 _ t51__18.6_4.5 06 _ 1945 _12.41 _ t19__8.0 _4.4 ____ 06 _ 1959 _18.31 _ t41__13.7 _4.6 ____ 06 _1925 _23.00 _ t39__18.8_4.2 07 _ 1969 _12.38 _ t30__7.5 _4.9 ____ 07 _ 2018 _18.29 _ t05__15.9 _2.4 ____ 07 _1994 _22.90 _ t39__18.8_4.1 08 _ 1981 _12.34_ t40 __7.2 _5.1 ____ 08 _ 1965 _18.21 _ t24__14.4 _3.8 ____ 08 _1892 _22.86 _ t60__18.4_4.5 09 _ 2002 _12.29 _ t40__7.2 _5.1 ____ 09 _ 1918 _18.10_ t44 __13.6 _4.5 ____ 09 _1880 _22.83 _ t44__18.7_4.1 10t_ 1991 _12.07 _ t17__8.2 _3.9 ____ 10 _ 1942 _17.80 _ t58__12.9 _4.9 ____ 10 _1906 _22.81 _ t60__18.4_4.4 10t_ 2006 _12.07 _ t23__7.8 _4.3 ____ 11 _ 1986 _17.79 _ t15__14.7 _3.1 ____ 11 _1949 _22.80 _ t02 __21.7_1.1 12 _ 1915 _12.04 __ 05 _ 9.6_2.4 ____ 12 _ 1975 _17.78 _ t02__16.0 _1.8 ____ 12 _1870 _22.72 _ t19__19.4_3.3 13 _ 1994 _12.01 _ t43__7.1 _4.9 ____ 13 _ 1955 _17.76 _t15__14.7 _3.1 ____ 13 _1957 _22.70 _ t23__19.2_3. 14 _ 1952 _11.98 _ 10 _ 9.0 _3.0 ____ 14 _ 1939 _17.68 __ 39__13.8 _3.9 ____14t_1934 _22.62 _ t19__19.4_3.2 15t_ 1985 _11.96 _ t30__7.5 _4.1 ____ 15 _ 1980 _17.67 _t20 __14.5 _3.2 ____14t_2010 _22.62 _ t33__18.9_3.7 15t_ 2019 _11.96 _ t66__5.9 _6.1 ____ 16t_ 1914 _17.66 _ t24__14.4 _3.3____ 16 _1930 _22.56 _ t33__18.9_3.7 17 _ 1974 _11.89 _ t23__7.8 _4.1 ____ 16t_ 1964 _17.66 _t15__14.7 _3.0 ____ 17 _1895 _22.52 _ t14__19.7_2.8 18 _ 1968 _11.88 _ t13__8.4 _3.5 ____ 18 _ 1993 _17.62 _ t67__12.6 _5.0 ____ 18 _1984 _22.51 _ t51__18.6_3.9 19 _ 1878 _11.83 _ t02__9.7_ 2.1 ____ 19 _ 1922 _17.61 _ t13__14.9 _2.7 ____ 19 _1923 _22.50 _ t44__18.7_3.8 20 _ 1976 _11.78 _ t15__8.3 _3.5 ____ 20 _ 1969 _17.60 _ t75__12.2 _5.4 ____ 20 _1908 _22.48 _ t44__18.7_3.8 21 _ 2005 _11.73 _ t30__7.5 _4.2 ____ 21 _ 1887 _17.57 _ t20__14.5 _3.1 ____ 21 _1971 _22.44 _ t44__18.7_3.7 22 _ 2008 _11.62 _ t08__9.1_ 2.5 ____ 22 _ 1941 _17.52 _ t29__14.1 _3.4 ____ 22t_1952 _22.31 _ t33__18.9_3.4 23t_ 1886 _11.57 _ t43__7.1_ 3.4 ____ 23 _ 1979 _17.50 _ t53__11.7 _5.8 ____ 22t_1953 _22.31 _ t39__18.8_3.5 23t_ 2012 _11.57 _ t50__7.0 _4.6 ____ 24 _ 1911 _17.43 _ t05__15.9 _1.5 ____ 24 _1991 _22.29__04__20.2_2.1 25 _ 1980 _11.50 _ t56__6.8_ 4.7 ____ 25t_ 1889 _17.40 _ t72__12.1 _5.3 ____ 25t_2005 _22.23_ t02 __21.7 _0.5 26 _ 1960 _11.48 _ t40__7.2_ 4.3 ____ 25t_ 1933 _17.40 _ t44__13.6 _3.8 ____ 25t_2008 _22.23 _ t33__18.9_3.3 27 _ 1938 _11.46__ 36__7.4_ 4.1 ____ 25t_ 1936 _17.40 _ t27__14.3 _3.1 ____ 27 _1939 _22.18 _ t72__18.1_4.1 28t_ 1942 _11.41 _ t06__9.2_ 2.2 ____ 25t_ 1985 _17.40 _ t44__13.6 _3.8 ____ 28 _2020 _22.07__12__19.8_2.3 28t_ 1949 _11.41 _ t50__7.0_ 4.4 ____ 25t_ 2010 _17.40 _ t07__15.7 _1.7 ____ 29 _1882 _22.01 _ t18__16.2_5.8 30t_ 1986 _11.40 _ t17__8.2 _3.2 ____ 30 _ 1879 _17.39 _ t66__12.0 _5.4 ____ 30 _1973 _22.00 _ t31__19.0_3.0 30t_ 2009 _11.40 _t30__7.5 _ 3.7 ____ 31t_ 2004 _17.34 _ t70__12.5 _4.8 ____ 31 _1909 _21.98 _ t66__18.3_3.7 32t_ 1954 _11.31 _ t43__7.1_ 4.2 ____ 31t_ 2007 _17.34 _ t35__14.0 _3.3 ____ 32 _1969 _21.93 _ t26__16.6_5.3 32t_ 1959 _11.31 _ t37__7.3_ 4.0 ____ 33 _ 1977 _17.33 _ t07__15.7 _1.6 ____ 33 _1983 _21.90 _ t33__18.9_3.0 34t_ 2011 _11.29 _ t64__6.6_ 4.7 ____ 34t_ 1937 _17.29 _ t51__13.1 _4.2 ____ 34 _1976 _21.89 _ t08__19.9_2.0 34t_ 2015 _11.29 _ t43__7.1_ 4.2 ____ 34t_ 2012 _17.29 _ t02__16.0 _1.3 ____ 35t_ 1933 _21.84 _ t23__19.2_2.6 36 _ 2001 _11.23 _ t19__8.0_ 3.2 ____ 36 _ 1962 _17.16 _ t09__15.5 _1.7 ____ 35t_1993 _21.84 _ t42__17.2_4.6 37 _ 1963 _11.16 _ t43__7.1_ 4.1 ____ 37t_ 1904 _17.14 _ t58__12.9 _4.2 ____ 37 _1999 _21.79 _ t06__20.0_1.8 38 _ 1955 _11.14 _ t02__9.7_ 1.4 ____ 37t_ 1908 _17.14__ 50__13.2 _3.9 ____ 38 _1872 _21.78 _ t38__17.1_4.7 39 _ 1998 _11.12__ 11__8.7_ 2.4 ____ 39 _ 1981 _17.12 _ t75__12.2 _4.9 ____ 39 _1967 _21.77 _ t06__20.0_1.8 40 _ 1871 _11.11 _ t56__6.8 _4.3 ____ 40 _ 1930 _17.11 _ t41__13.7 _2.4 ____ 40 _1884 _21.73 _ t72__18.1_3.6 41 _ 1896 _11.08 _ t23__7.8_ 3.3 ____ 41 _ 1934 _17.01 _ t41__13.7 _3.3 ____ 41t_1891 _21.69 _ t63__17.8_3.9 42 _ 1977 _11.06__ 22__7.9_ 3.2 ____ 42 _ 1906 _16.98 _ t72__12.1 _4.9 ____ 41t_1944 _21.69 _ t60__18.4_3.3 43 _ 1913 _10.99 _ t30__7.5_ 3.5 ____ 43 _ 2011 _16.96 _ t48__13.4 _3.6 ____ 43 _1981 _21.68 _ t63__17.8_3.9 44 _ 1957 _10.98 _ t23__7.8_ 3.2 ____ 44 _ 1970 _16.88 _ t63__12.7 _4.2 ____ 44 _2001 _21.62__22__19.3_2.3 45 _ 1962 _10.93 _ t50__7.0_ 3.9 ____ 45 _ 1998 _16.84__01__16.9 _-0.1 ____ 45 _1922 _21.61 _ t39__18.8_2.8 46 _ 1908 _10.92 _ t48__5.2 _5.7 ____ 46 _ 1903 _16.81 _ t56__13.0 _3.8 ____ 46 _1962 _21.60 _ t44__18.7_2.9 47 _ 2004 _10.90 _ t72__6.3_ 4.6 ____ 47 _ 1895 _16.74 _ t60__12.8 _3.9 ____ 47 _1898 _21.58 _ t51__18.6_3.0 48 _ 1973 _10.89 _ t56__6.8_ 4.1 ____ 48t_ 1881 _16.73 _ t20__14.5 _2.2 ____ 48t_1885 _21.57 _ t07__15.5_6.1 49 _ 1951 _10.87 _ t56__6.8_ 4.0 ____ 48t_ 1982 _16.73 _ t29__14.1 _2.6 ____ 48t_1987 _21.57 _ t14__19.7_1.9 50t_ 1990 _10.84 _ t13__8.4_ 2.4 ____ 50 _ 2014 _16.68 __47__13.5 _3.3 ____ 50t_1888 _21.51__71__18.0_3.5 50t_ 1999 _10.84 _ t23__7.8_ 3.0 ____ 51 _ 1953 _16.64 _ t56__13.0 _3.6 ____ 50t_1937 _21.51 _ t66__18.3_3.2 52t_ 1903 _10.81 _ t72__6.3 _4.5 ____ 52 _ 1899 _16.63 _ t60__12.8 _3.8 ____ 50t_2013 _21.51 _ t72__18.1_3.4 52t_ 1958 _10.81 _ t17__8.3_ 2.5 ____ 53 _ 1951 _16.59 _ t35__14.0 _2.6 ____ 53 _1961 _21.49 _ t42__17.2_4.3 54 _ 1987 _10.79_ t06__9.2_ 1.5 ____ 54 _ 1949 _16.58 _ t35__14.0 _2.6 ____ 54 _1941 _21.47__13__19.8 _1.7 55t_ 1993 _10.73 _ t61__6.7_ 4.0 ____ 55 _ 2001 _16.57 _ t29__14.1 _2.5 ____ 55 _1929 _21.44 _ t42__17.2_4.2 55t_ 2016 _10.73 _ t37__4.9 _5.8 ____ 56 _ 1957 _16.48 _ t60__11.8 _4.7 ____ 56 _2014 _21.40 _ t23__19.2_2.2 57 _ 1906 _10.59 _ t56__6.8_ 3.8 ____ 57 _ 1987 _16.46 _ t15__14.7 _1.8 ____ 57 _1960 _21.31 _ t63__17.8_3.5 58t_ 1889 _10.57 _ t75__6.2 _4.4 ____ 58 _ 1912 _16.43 _ t67__12.6 _3.8 ____ 58t_1889 _21.29 _ t10__15.7_5.6 58t_ 2013 _10.57 _ t63__5.8 _4.8 ____ 59 _ 2000 _16.40 _ t29__14.1 _2.3 ____ 58t_2011 _21.29 _ t44__18.7_2.6 60 _ 1925 _10.50 _ t54__6.9_ 3.6 ____ 60t_ 1872 _16.39 _ t30__11.0 _5.4 ____ 58t_2016 _21.29 _ t31__19.0_2.3 61 _ 1953 _10.48 _ t75__6.2_ 3.4 ____ 60t_ 1972 _16.39 _ t27__14.3 _2.1 ____ 61t_1873 _21.28 _ t47__17.3_4.0 62 _ 1979 _10.44 _ t58__5.6 _4.8 ____ 62 _ 1943 _16.30 _ t72__12.1 _4.2 ____ 61t_1921 _21.28 _ t08__19.9_1.4 63 _ 1870 _10.39 _ t37__7.3_ 3.1 ____ 63 _ 1919 _16.27 _ t67__12.6_3.7 ____ 63t_1877 _21.22_ t29__16.7_4.5 64 _ 1922 _10.33 _ t50__7.0_ 3.3 ____ 64 _ 1960 _16.20 _ t51__13.1 _3.1 ____ 63t_1879 _21.22 _ t26__16.6_4.6 65 _ 1970 _10.27 _ t30__7.5_ 2.8 ____ 65 _ 1897 _16.19 _ t42__11.4 _4.8 ____ 65 _1919 _21.21__01__22.1_--0.9 66t_ 1983 _10.18 _ t63__5.8 _4.3 ____ 66t_ 1999 _16.18__11 __15.3 _0.9 ____ 66 _1954 _21.20 _ t27__19.1_2.1 66t_ 2014 _10.18 _ t61__5.7 _4.5 ____ 66t_ 2006 _16.18 _ t35__14.0 _2.3 ____ 67 _1900 _21.19 _ t72__18.2_3.0 68t_ 1989 _10.12 _ t43__5.1 _5.0 ____ 68 _ 1905 _16.09 _ t37__11.2 _4.9 ____ 68 _1990 _21.18 _ t72__18.2_3.0 68t_ 1996 _10.12 _ t23__4.6 _5.5 ____ 69t_ 1883 _16.07 __03__ 9.5 _6.6 ____ 69 _1874 _21.17 _ t38__17.1_4.1 70 _ 1897 _10.08 _ t71__6.1 _4.0 ____ 69t_ 1932 _16.07 _ t73__12.3_3.8 ____ 70 _1901 _21.14 _ t72__18.2_2.9 71 _ 1929 _10.06 _ t43__7.1_ 3.0 ____ 71 _ 1870 _16.06__39 __13.9 _2.2 ____ 71 _1894 _21.13 _ t27__19.1_2.0 72 _ 1902 _10.03 _ t68__6.4 _3.6 ____ 72t_ 2013 _16.01_ t20__14.5 _1.5 ____ 72t _1989 _21.12 _ t66__18.3_2.8 73 _ 1931 _10.01 _ t66__6.5_ 3.4 ____ 72t_2016 _16.01 _ t24__14.4 _1.6 ____ 72t_2017 _21.12 _ t72__18.1_3.0 74 _ 1880 _10.00 _ t50__5.3 _4.7 ____ 74 _ 1929 _16.00 _ t37__11.2 _4.8 ____ 74 _1964 _21.10 _ t67__17.9_3.2 75 _ 1918 _ 9.99 _ t71__6.1 _3.9 ____ 75 _ 1988 _15.96 _ t29__14.1 _1.9 ____ 75 _1956 _21.09 _ t60__18.4_2.7 76t_ 1984 _ 9.96 _ t43__7.1_ 2.9 ____ 76 _ 1916 _15.93 _ t66__12.0 _3.9 ____ 76 _1890 _21.07 _ t51__18.6_2.5 ____________________________________________________________ ========================================================= April has overlapping ranks at the median for Toronto. The group at 6.2 (four years) are t75th warmest and also tied 75th coldest. The rankings given in the table belong to the same half of data as NYC temp justifies. For NYC the median is straddled by tied 76th coldest and warmest 9.96. May also has overlapping ranks at the median for Toronto, four years in total at 12.1 are tied 76th coldest and 74th warmest. For NYC the median lies between 76th warmest 15.93 and 76th coldest 15.91. June has no ranks overlapping the median for Toronto, with five apiece at t-72 warmest (18.2) and coldest (18.1). NYC also has no overlap at the median for June with 76th warmest at 21.07, tied 75th coldest 21.01. ======================================================================================== 76 _ 1995 _ 9.96 _ t23__4.3 _4.7 ____ 76 _ 1946 _15.91 _ t60__11.8 _4.1 ____ 75t_1988 _21.01 _ t51__18.6_2.4 75 _ 1978 _ 9.89 _ t37__4.9 _5.8 ____ 75 _ 1894 _15.86 _ t34__11.1 _4.8 ____ 75t_1995 _21.01 _ t14__19.7_1.3 73t_ 1895 _ 9.86 _ t71__6.1 _3.8 ____ 74 _ 2009 _15.84 _ t54__12.7 _3.1 ____ 74 _1913 _20.99 _ t63__17.8_3.2 73t_ 1948 _ 9.86 _ t23__7.8_ 2.1 ____ 72t_ 1909 _15.81 _ t60__11.8 _4.0 ____ 73 _1959 _20.98 _ t17__19.5_1.5 72 _ 1997 _ 9.84 _ 70 __6.0_ 3.4 ____ 72t_ 1910 _15.81 _ t37__11.2 _4.6 ____ 72 _1942 _20.97 _ t66__18.3_2.7 71 _ 1912 _ 9.82 _ t43__5.1 _4.7 ____ 71 _ 1931 _15.79 _ t63__12.7 _3.1 ____ 70t_2018 _20.96_ t58__18.5_2.5 70 _ 1900 _ 9.80 _ t37__7.3_ 2.5 ____ 70 _ 1871 _15.78 _ t66__12.0 _3.8 ____ 70t_2019 _20.96_ t59__17.6_3.4 68t _1872 _ 9.67 _ t35__4.8 _4.9 ____ 69 _ 1921 _15.72 _ t29__14.1 _1.6 ____ 69 _1904 _20.92 _ t35__17.0_3.9 68t_ 1923 _ 9.67 _ t50__5.3 _4.2 ____ 68 _ 2019 _15.68 __41__11.3 _4.4 ____ 68 _1945 _20.91 _t29__16.7_4.2 67 _ 1905 _ 9.64 _ t51__5.4 _4.2 ____ 67 _ 1876 _15.67 _ t23__10.7 _5.0 ____ 66t_1931 _20.90 _ t66__18.3_2.6 66 _ 1891 _ 9.63 _ t75__6.2 _3.4 ____ 65t_ 1890 _15.62 _ t09__10.0 _5.6 ____ 66t_1986 _20.90 _ t29__16.7_4.2 65 _ 1933 _ 9.62 _ t61__6.7_ 2.9 ____ 65t_ 1989 _15.62 _ t51__13.1_2.5 ____ 65 _1917 _20.88 _ t10__15.7_5.2 64 _ 1919 _ 9.60 _ t52__5.5 _4.1 ____ 64 _ 1875 _15.61 _ t27__10.9 _4.7 ____ 64 _1978 _20.83 _ t52__17.5_3.3 63 _ 1947 _ 9.58 _ t43__5.1 _4.5 ____ 63 _ 1886 _15.57 _ t48__11.6 _4.0 ____ 63 _1896 _20.80 _ t67__17.9_2.9 62 _ 1885 _ 9.57 __03__2.8 _6.8 ____ 61t_ 1913 _15.54 _ t66__12.0 _3.5 ____ 58t_1887 _20.79 _t50__17.4_3.4 59t_ 1934 _ 9.57__42 __5.0 _4.6 ____ 61t_ 1966 _15.54 __11__10.1 _5.4 ____ 58t_1932 _20.79 _ t51__18.6_2.2 59t_ 1982 _ 9.57 _ t35__4.8 _4.8 ____ 60 _ 1995 _15.51 _ t51__13.1 _2.4 ____ 58t_1996 _20.79 _ t72__18.2_2.6 59t_ 1988 _ 9.57_ t75__6.2_ 3.4 ____ 59 _ 1994 _15.46 _ t53__11.7 _ 3.8 ____ 58t_2002 _20.79 _ t51__18.6_2.2 58 _ 1869 _ 9.56_ t29__4.6 _5.0 ____ 57t_ 1885 _15.40 _ t27__10.9 _ 4.5 ____ 58t_2007 _20.79 _ t08__19.9_0.9 56t_ 1899 _ 9.52 _ t54__6.9_ 3.6 ____ 57t_ 1938 _15.40 _ t73__12.3 _3.1 ____ 56t_1940 _20.73 _ t33__16.8_3.9 56t_ 1946 _ 9.52 _ t68__6.4_ 3.1 ____ 56 _ 1978 _15.39 _ t48__13.4 _2.0 ____ 56t_2000 _20.73 _ t59__17.6_3.1 55 _ 2000 _ 9.46 _ t68__6.4_ 3.1 ____ 53t_ 1884 _15.34 _ t15__10.5 _4.8 ____ 55 _1869 _20.72__01__14.8_5.9` 54 _ 1971 _ 9.44 _ t48__5.2 _4.2 ____ 53t_ 1940 _15.34 _ t53__11.7 _3.6 ____ 53t_1963 _20.71_ t33__18.9_1.8 53 _ 1965 _ 9.43 _ t26__4.5 _4.9 ____ 53t_ 1984 _15.34 _ t18__10.6 _4.7 ____ 53t_1970 _20.71_ t44__18.7_2.0 52 _ 1890 _ 9.40 _ t58__5.6 _3.8 ____ 51t_ 1877 _15.33 _ t66__12.0 _3.3 ____ 50t_1938 _20.68 _ t72__18.2_2.5 51 _ 1894 _ 9.36 _ t61__6.7 _2.7 ____ 51t_ 1971 _15.33 _ t70__12.5 _2.8 ____ 50t_2015 _20.68 _ t35__17.0_3.7 50 _ 1935 _ 9.29 _ t66__5.9 _3.4 ____ 50 _ 1963 _15.27 _ t53__11.7 _3.6 ____ 50t_2004 _20.68 _ t33__16.9_3.8 49 _ 1937 _ 9.18 _ t61__5.7 _3.5 ____ 49 _ 1878 _15.22 _ t44__11.5 _3.7 ____ 49 _1875 _20.67_ t16__16.1_4.6 48 _ 1992 _ 9.18 _ t52__5.5 _3.7 ____ 48 _ 1952 _ 15.14 _ t64__11.9_3.2 ____ 48 _1911 _20.60 _ t66__18.3_2.3 47 _ 1892 _ 9.13 _ t43__5.1 _4.0 ____ 47 _ 1900 _15.13 _ t63__12.7 _2.4 ____47 _1950 _20.58 _ t54__17.6_3.0 46 _ 2020 _ 9.12 _ t53__5.5 _3.6 ____ 45t_ 1926 _15.11 _ t34__11.1 _4.0 ____ 44t_1935 _20.57 _ t38__17.1_3.5 45 _ 1879 _ 9.11 _ t17__4.2 _4.9 ____ 45t_ 1974 _15.11 _ t25__10.8 _4.3 ____ 44t_2006 _20.57 _ t39 __18.8_1.8 44 _ 2007 _ 9.07 _ t63__5.8 _3.3 ____ 43t_ 1996 _15.07 _ t51__11.7 _3.4 ____ 44t_2012 _20.57 _ t08__19.9_0.7 43 _ 1972 _ 9.06 _ t23__4.3 _4.8 ____ 43t_ 2017 _15.07 _ t48__11.6 _3.5 ____ 43 _1912 _20.54 _ t21__16.4_4.1 42 _ 1924 _ 9.00 _ t53__5.5 _3.5 ____ 42 _ 1923 _15.06 _ t15__10.5 _4.6 ____ 42 _1997 _20.51 _ t17__19.5_1.0 40t_ 1964 _ 8.93 _ t71__6.1_ 3.4 ____ 41 _ 1992 _15.01 _ t60__12.8 _2.2 ____ 41 _1936 _20.40__62__17.7_2.7 40t_ 1966 _ 8.93 _ t53__5.5 _3.4 ____ 40 _ 1948 _14.97 _ t37__11.1 _3.8 ____ 40 _1975 _20.39 _ t27__19.1_1.3 39 _ 1967 _ 8.88 _ t68__6.4_ 2.5 ____ 39 _ 1892 _14.91 _ t23__10.7 _4.2 ____ 39 _1980 _20.28__03__15.1_5.2 37t_ 1884 _ 8.84 _ t37__4.9 _3.9 ____ 38 _ 1935 _14.90 _ t18__10.6 _4.3 ____ 37t_1920 _20.27_ t60__18.4_1.9 37t_ 1932 _ 8.84__ 25__4.4 _4.4 ____ 36t_ 1873 _14.89 _ t30__11.0 _3.9 ____ 37t_1965 _20.27 _ t54__17.6_2.7 36 _ 1909 _ 8.81 _ t31__4.7 _4.1 ____ 36t_ 1874 _14.89 _ t44__11.5 _3.4 ____ 36 _1946 _20.24 _ t54__17.6_2.6 35 _ 2003 _ 8.79 _ t43__5.1 _3.7 ____ 35 _ 2002 _14.84 _ t34__11.1 _3.7 ____ 35 _1977 _20.22 _ t54__17.6_2.6 33t_ 1877 _ 8.72 _ t66__6.5 _2.2 ____ 34 _ 1925 _14.83 _ t09__10.0 _4.8 ____ 34 _1951 _20.20 _ t67__17.9_2.3 33t_ 1927 _ 8.72 _ t66__5.9 _2.8 ____ 33 _ 1947 _14.80 _ t18__10.6 _4.2 ____ 33 _1992 _20.18 _ t21__16.4_3.8 32t_ 1916 _ 8.71 _ t64__6.6_ 3.4 ____ 32 _ 1928 _14.72 _ t60__11.8 _2.9 ____ 32 _1871 _20.11 _ t26__16.6_3.5 31t_ 1917 _ 8.71 _ t31__4.7 _4.0 ____ 31 _ 1976 _14.67 _ t42__11.4 _3.3 ____31 _1914 _20.10 _ t54__17.6_2.5 30 _ 1944 _ 8.69 _ t15__4.1 _4.6 ____ 29t_ 1902 _14.64 _ t48__11.6 _3.0 ____ 30 _1910 _20.09 _ t67__17.9_3.2 29 _ 2018 _ 8.62 __04__3.2 _5.4 ____ 29t_ 1954 _14.64 _ t53__11.7 _2.9 ____ 29 _1948 _20.08_ t72__18.1_2.0 27t_ 1928 _ 8.61 _ t37__4.9 _3.7 ____ 28 _ 2020 _14.62 _ t53__11.7 _2.9 ____ 28 _1905 _20.06 _ t47__17.6_3.5 27t_ 1930 _ 8.61 _ t58__5.6 _3.0 ____ 26t_ 1915 _14.60 _ t25__10.8 _3.8 ____ 27 _1968 _20.04 _ t42__17.2_2.8 26 _ 1882 _ 8.57 _ t26__4.5 _4.1 ____ 26t_ 1961 _14.60 _ t44__11.5 _3.1 ____ 26 _1907 _20.03_ t50__17.4_2.6 24t_ 1920 _ 8.54 _ t17__4.2 _4.3 ____ 24t_ 1983 _14.57__ 09__10.2 _4.4 ____ 25 _1886 _19.90 _ t16__16.1_3.8 24t_ 1961 _ 8.54 _ t26__4.5 _4.0 ____ 24t_ 1990 _14.57 _ t48__11.6 _3.0 ____ 24 _1893 _19.86 _t27__19.1_0.8 23 _ 1898 _ 8.52 _ t72__6.3 _2.2 ____ 23 _ 2008 _14.51 _ t48__11.6 _2.9 ____ 23 _1878 _19.83 _ t35__17.0_2.8 22 _ 1901 _ 8.48__ 29__7.7_ 0.8 ____ 22 _ 1927 _14.50 _ t30__11.0 _3.5 ____ 22 _1955 _19.70 _ t19__19.4 _0.3 21 _ 1950 _ 8.47 _ t13__3.9 _4.6 ____ 21 _ 1920 _14.49 _ t72__12.1 _2.4 ____ 21 _1979 _19.67_ t47__17.3_2.4 20 _ 1939 _ 8.46 _ t17__4.2 _4.3 ____ 20 _ 1898 _14.47 _ t51__13.1_1.4 ____ 20 _1915 _19.60 _ t23__16.5_3.1 19 _ 1914 _ 8.43 _ t37__4.9 _3.5 ____ 19 _ 1968 _14.43 _ t18__10.6_3.8 ____ 19 _1998 _19.57_ t58__18.5_1.1 18 _ 1911 _ 8.38 _ t66__5.9 _2.5 ____ 18 _ 1945 _14.41 _ t06__ 9.6 _4.8 ____ 18 _1974 _19.56 _ t42__17.2_2.4 17 _ 1876 _ 8.33 __10__3.6 _4.7 ____ 17 _ 1893 _14.36 _ t27__10.9 _3.5 ____ 16t_1897 _19.52_ t18__16.2_3.3 16 _ 1883 _ 8.29 _ t05__3.4 _4.9 ____ 15t_ 1888 _14.34 _ t15__10.5 _3.8 ____ 16t_1947 _19.52 _ t52__17.5_2.0 15 _ 1936 _ 8.23 _ t11__3.7 _4.4 ____ 15t_ 2005 _14.34 _ t44__11.5 _2.8 ____ 15 _1918 _19.49 _ t13__16.0_3.5 14 _ 1956 _ 8.20 _ t31__4.7 _3.5 ____ 13t_ 1869 _14.28 __14__10.4 _3.9 ____ 14 _1924 _19.39 _ t29__16.7_2.7 13 _ 1873 _ 8.17 _ t17__4.2 _4.0 ____ 13t_ 1973 _14.28 _ t30__11.0 _3.3 ____ 12t_1982 _19.23 _t07__15.5_3.7 12 _ 1926 _ 8.00 _ t02 __2.5 _5.5 ____12 _ 1958 _14.26 _ t64__11.9_2.4 ____ 12t_1985 _19.23 _t13__16.0_3.2 11 _ 1907 _ 7.87 _ t06__3.3 _4.6 ____ 11 _ 1950 _14.19 _ t70__12.5 _1.7 ____ 11 _1928 _19.17 _ t12__15.9_3.3 09t_ 1881 _ 7.84 _ t17__4.2 _3.6 ____ 10 _ 1891 _14.13 _ t18__10.6 _3.5 ____ 10 _1927 _19.11 _ t13__16.0_3.1 09t_ 1887 _ 7.84 _ t15__4.1 _3.7 ____ 09 _ 1997 _14.12 __08__ 9.8 _ 4.3 ____ 09 _2003 _19.07 _ t59__17.6_1.5 08 _ 1975 _ 7.83 _ t05__3.4 _4.4 ____ 08 _ 1956 _14.03__ 13__10.3 _3.7 ____ 08 _1902 _19.03_ t05__15.3 _3.7 07 _ 1904 _ 7.81 _ t11__3.7 _4.1 ____ 07 _ 1901 _13.81 _ t76__12.2 _1.6 ____ 07 _1972 _18.94_ t23__16.5_2.4 05 _ 1893 _ 7.80 _ t17__4.2 _3.6 ____ 06 _ 2003 _13.73 _ t66__12.0_1.7 ____ 06 _1926 _18.83__02__14.9 _3.9 03 _ 1888 _ 7.68 _ t13__3.9 _3.8 ____ 05 _ 1882 _13.57 __04__ 9.4 _4.2 ____ 05 _1958 _18.76__09__15.6_3.2 04 _ 1940 _ 7.62 _ t31__4.7 _2.9 ____ 04 _ 1924 _13.56_ t06__ 9.6 _4.0 ____ 04 _2009 _18.62_ t38__17.1_1.5 03 _ 1943 _ 7.13 _ t06__3.3 _3.8 ____ 03 _1907 _13.14 __01__ 8.7 _4.4 ____ 03 _1881 _18.34__04__15.2 _3.1 02 _ 1875 _ 6.17 _ t02__2.5 _2.9 ____ 01t_1917 _11.99 _ t02__ 9.3_2.7 ____ 02 _1916 _18.32 _ t05__15.3 _3.0 01 _ 1874 _ 5.06 __01__0.8 _4.3 ____ 01t_ 1967 _11.99 _ t02__9.3 _2.7 ____ 01 _1903 _17.59__20__16.3 _1.3 =======================================================================
  4. Here's a full update then on the annual EWP scoring. The previous summary is slightly amended as July scores were basically the list shown on the right, I had been thinking the final value would be up around 70 mm but it only edged up to 69.3 which scrambled up the scoring a little, the annual totals are ranked below. I have included everyone who played July, and so the ranks have many missing entries below about 50th place (those are from earlier months and in some cases had entered several months so are ahead of more recent one or two time entrants). The ranks for average error are also shown here. Those tend to be similar to point total ranks except for the people who have missed one or two months, for them the average error ranks tend to be better. Late penalties also reduce total points but do not affect average error stats. The table also shows all of the top 50 in scoring, a few in the 40s to 50th ranks did not enter July. To be ranked for average error, a forecaster must have entered six or more months, but I show average errors for those not ranked in brackets. Rank A = points total ranking (80 is max possible) Rank B = average error ranking (second decimals not shown in table may break ties to one decimal) Ranks __ Forecaster __________ Total pts __ Avg error ____ Months entered 1 __ 6 __ Twilight _____________ 57.33 __ 31.4 _____ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 2 __ 1 __ Godber1 ____________ 56.56 __ 27.3 _____ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 3 __ 3 __ Reef _______________ 54.57 __ 29.8 _____ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 4 __ 5 __ Mulzy ______________ 52.96 __ 31.2 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 5 __ 8 __ JeffC _______________51.09 __ 33.0 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 6 __ 9 __ EmmettGarland ______ 50.98 __ 33.2 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 7 __14 __ mb018538 __________50.20 __ 34.5 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 8 __11 __ Don _______________ 49.39 __ 34.4 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 9 __15 __General Cluster ______ 48.14 __ 35.5 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 10__20 __BobD29 ____________ 47.46 __ 36.5 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 11__10 __Virtualsphere ________ 46.59 __ 34.2 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ T12__12_ The PIT ____________ 46.38 __ 34.5 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ T12__16 _ Blast From The Past__ 46.38 __ 35.7 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 14 __ 2 __ Jonboy ____________ 46.11 __ 29.6 ______ _ _ _ 7 _ _ _ 15__18 __Feb1991Blizzard _____45.17 __ 36.5 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 16__13 __Dog Toffee __________45.10 __ 34.5 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 17__22 __snowray ____________43.90 __ 36.9 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 18__30 __BornFromTheVoid ____43.85 __ 38.8 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 19__34 __Roger J Smith _______ 43.72 __ 40.5 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 20__21 __SteveB _____________43.50 __ 36.9 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 21__ 4 __ThunderyWintryShowers 43.09 __30.5 ______ _ _ _ 7 _ _ _ 22__24 __StationaryFront _______42.34 __37.3 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ T23 _35 __davehsug __________ 42.15 __ 40.6 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ T23 _26 __DAVID SNOW _______42.15 __ 37.5 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 25__28 __J10 ________________42.08 __ 38.3 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 26__25 __February1978 ________40.11 __ 37.4 ______ _ _ _ 7 _ _ _ 27__23 __brmbrmcar __________ 39.62 __ 37.0 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 28__31 __MidlandsIceAge ______ 39.61 __ 38.9 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 29__19 __DR(S)NO ___________ 38.66 __ 36.5 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 30__33 __seaside60 ___________38.34 __ 40.5 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 31__32 __Weather26 __________ 37.81 __ 39.9 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 32__38 __Daniel*______________37.54 __ 41.4 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 33__29 __Mr Maunder _________ 36.87 __ 38.6 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 34__39 __Timmytour __________ 35.45 __ 41.7 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 35__40 __CheesePuffScott _____ 34.34 __ 42.0 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 36__41 __weather-history ______ 33.53 __ 42.0 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 37__42 __Relativistic __________32.66 __ 44.0 ______ _ _ _ 7 _ _ _ 38__44 __LetItSnow __________ 32.57 __ 47.6 ______ _ _ _ 7 _ _ _ 39__ 7 __Stargazer ___________ 31.95 __ 32.5 ______ _ _ _ 6 _ _ _ 40__27 __IrememberAtl252 _____31.69 __ 37.8 ______ _ _ _ 7 _ _ _ 41__50 __Neil N ______________31.18 __ 58.8 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 42__46 __DiagonalRedLine _____30.39 __ 49.1 ______ _ _ _ 6 _ _ _ 43__17 __ProlongedSL ________ 30.30 __ 36.0 ______ _ _ _ 6 _ _ _ 44__36 __syed2878 ___________29.14 __ 40.8 ______ _ _ _ 7 _ _ _ 45__37 __Sleety _____________ 28.89 __ 41.4 ______ _ _ _ 6 _ _ _ 46 __--- __Robbie Garrett ______ 28.74 __(41.0)______ _ _ _ 5 _ _ _ 47__43 __Norrance ___________28.34 __ 45.9 ______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 48__45 __Polar Gael __________26.97 __ 48.6 ______ _ _ _ 7 _ _ _ 49__47 __KirkcaldyWx ________ 26.22 __ 50.5 ______ _ _ _ 7 _ _ _ 50__--- __Kentspur ___________ 25.65 __(33.9)______ _ _ _ 4 _ _ _ 51 __--- __Earthshine _________ 22.06 __(28.7)______ _ _ _ 4 _ _ _ 52__48 __B87 _______________ 21.61 __ 56.4 ______ _ _ _ 6 _ _ _ 55__49 __shillitocettwo ________19.51 __ 58.7 ______ _ _ _ 6 _ _ _ 61 __--- __Leo97T ____________14.07 __(49.7)______ _ _ _ 4 _ _ _ 63__ --- __summer blizzard _____12.13 __(47.1)______ _ _ _ 4 _ _ _ 65__ --- __Jacky _____________ 10.67 __(32.1) ______ _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ 81__ --- __Summer Shower _____ 8.15 __ (4.7) _______ _ _ _1 _ _ _ 136_ 51 __ Lettucing Gutted ____ 0.78 __156.6 _______ _ _ _ 8 _ _ _ 140_--- __ Thundershine _______ 0.16 __604.8 _______ _ _ _ 4 _ _ _ --------------------------------------------------------------
  5. EWP has settled at 69.3 mm. Will update scoring report later today.
  6. Ranking months for NYC with urban heat island corrections This section will follow the same pattern as the Toronto adjusted temperature ranking tables. The comparison of NYC vs Toronto will always involve the same adjustment (in C deg, from 0.0 to 1.1), as explained in the previous section, but the NYC values shown are assumed to contain the equivalent of 0.3 C of urban heat island already established by 1869. The Toronto ranks in this table are for the overlapping years 1869 to 2020 and will be therefore different from table values earlier shown, especially at the colder end where most of the 1840-68 data are located even after the correction. There are exceptions -- July 1868 ranked as high as second in the adjusted values (was third after 2020 took second in raw values). February 1857, March 1842, April 1844 and September 1865 are other rare examples of top third outcomes in the pre-overlap years. ... Because the same deductions were made from all post-1880 data at both locations, the differences in these tables for each month will be identical to the earlier tables for raw data. The ranks will also tend to maintain similar patterns of similarity or differences but exact values there will depend on movement within the tables. Most more recent months tend to drop down about five to ten ranks but sometimes the more extreme values maintain their ranks or only lose one or two spots. As most of the colder months from early in the overlap period were considerably colder than modern cold months, they are more resistant to changes in ranks but the more extreme recent cases do manage to intrude quite far down into the "bottom ten" ranks (these tables follow the opposite order to the last set, and show warmest at the top of each month's list). Table 2f: Comparisons of NYC and Toronto monthly data, Jan to Mar, after heat island corrections In every case, both temperatures in the monthly pair have been adjusted by the same amount as explained earlier. Therefore the last entry "diff." remains unchanged. Values and ranks can change. ______ JANUARY ____________________ FEBRUARY ________________ MARCH Rank, yr, mean__Tor rank, mean, diff__ Rank, yr, mean__Tor rank, mean, diff__ Rank, yr, mean __Tor rank, mean, diff 01 _1932 _5.62 __ 01 _ 1.3 __4.3 ____ 01 _2018_4.46 _ t11 _-1.6__ 6.2 ____ 01 _1945_ 9.91__02__5.5__4.4 02 _1950 _4.52 __ 08 _-0.8 __5.3 ____ 02 _2017_4.23 __02 _-0.1__ 4.3 ____ 02 _2012_ 9.40__01__6.1__3.3 03 _1913 _4.49 __ 07 _-0.7__5.2 ____ 03 _2012_3.84 __03 _-0.2 __ 4.0 ____ 03 _1946 _9.19 __03__5.4__3.8 04 _1990 _4.12 __ 06 _-0.6 __4.7 ____04t_1984_3.68 __05 _-0.6 __ 4.3 ____ 04 _1921 _8.61 _ t09__3.2__5.4 05 _1933 _4.01 __ 03 _ 0.3__3.7 ____ 04t_1998_3.68 __01 _ 0.3 __ 3.4 ____ 05 _1903 _8.48 __06__4.0__4.5 06 _1880 _4.00 __ 02 _0.4 __3.6 ____ 06 _1954_3.70 __04 _-0.3 __ 4.0 ____ 06 _2016 _8.29 _ t15__2.4__5.9 07 _1937 _3.96 __ 10 _-1.1__5.1 ____ 07 _2002_3.68 __09 _-1.3__ 5.0 ____ 07 _2010 _7.90 __04__4.5__3.4 08 _2006 _3.84 __ 04 _ 0.0__3.8 ____ 08 _2020_3.40 _ t32 _-3.0 __ 6.4 ____ 08 _2020 _7.79 __12__2.9__4.9 09 _1998 _3.34 __t18 _-1.8__3.2 ____ 09 _1976_3.39 _ t06 _-1.1 __4.5 ____ 09 _1898 _7.36 __14__2.6__4.8 10 _2002 _3.29 __ 05 _-0.2__3.5 ____ 10t_1991_3.34 __13_-1.8 __ 5.1 ____ 10 _2000 _7.34 __05__4.3__3.0 11 _1906 _3.26 __ 09 _-0.9__4.2 ____ 10t_1997_3.34 _ t17_-2.1 __ 5.4 ____ 11 _1979 _7.28 _ t21__1.9__5.4 12 _1870 _3.06 __ 47 _-3.9__7.0 ____ 12 _1990_3.23 _ t35 _-3.1 __6.3 ____ 12 _1977 _7.22 __11__3.1__4.1 13 _1890 _3.01 __t13 _-1.5__4.5 ____ 13 _1890_3.18 _ t22 _-2.5 __5.7 ____ 13 _1973 _7.00 __07__3.9__3.1 14 _1949 _2.97 __t27 _-2.3__5.3 ____ 14 _1949_2.97 _ t17 _-2.1 __5.1 ____ 14t_1871 _6.78 _ t26__1.6__5.2 15 _2020 _2.90 __t15 _-1.6__3.4 ____ 15 _1981_2.96 __10 _-1.5 __4.5 ____ 14t_1929 _6.78 __19__2.2__4.6 16 _1876 _2.56 __ 11 _-1.3__3.9 ____ 16 _1880_2.89 _ t25 _-2.6 __5.5 ____ 16 _1936 _6.73 _ t44__0.8__5.9 17 _1953 _2.31 __t24 _-2.1__4.4 ____ 17 _1909_2.87 _ t50 _-3.3 __6.2 ____17 _1878 _6.72 _ t09__3.2__3.4 18 _2017 _2.23 __t15 _-1.6__3.8 ____ 18 _1877_2.78 _ 16 _-2.0 __4.8 ____18 _1913 _6.71 _ t54__0.4__6.3 19 _1947 _2.19 __ 44 _-3.7__5.9 ____ 19 _1925_2.78 _ t35 _-3.1 __5.9 ____ 19_1902 _6.59 __18__2.8__3.8 20 _1967 _2.10 __t20 _-1.9__4.0 ____ 20 _1953_2.76 _ t11 _-1.6 __4.4 ____ 20 _1985 _6.57 _ t38__1.0__5.6 21 _1911 _1.99 __t45 _-3.8__5.8 ____ 21 _1999_2.73 _ 08 _-1.2 __3.9 ____ 21 _1998 _6.34 _ t16__2.4__3.9 22t_1889 _1.96 __ 30 _-2.6__4.6 ____ 22 _1891_2.30 _ t25 _-2.6 __4.9 ____ 22 _1925 _6.28 _ t33__1.2__4.6 22t_1995 _1.96 __ 29 _-2.4__4.4 ____ 23 _1930_2.28 __ 46 _-3.4 __5.7 ____ 23 _1987 _6.23 __15__2.5__3.7 22t_2007 _1.96 __t32 _-2.8__4.8 ____ 24 _1939_2.18 _ t69 _-4.6 __6.8 ____24t_1938 _6.18 _ t26__1.6__4.6 25 _1975 _1.94 __ 23 _-2.0__3.9 ____ 25 _1957_2.14 __ 20 _-2.2 __4.3 ____ 24t_1986 _6.18 _ t42__0.9__5.3 26 _1989 _1.90 __t13 _-1.5__3.9 ____ 26 _2016_2.07 __ 21 _-2.3 __4.4 ____ 24t _1990 _6.18 _ t42__0.9__5.3 27 _2012 _1.84 __ 17 _-1.7__3.5 ____ 27 _1927_1.94 _ t41 _-3.3 __5.2 ____ 27 _1995 _6.12 __18__2.3__3.8 28 _1916 _1.82 __ 14 _-1.4__3.2 ____ 28 _1898_1.91 _ t66 _-4.4 __6.3 ____ 28 _1991 _5.90 _ 28 __1.5__4.4 29 _1869 _1.72 __t24_ -2.1 __3.8 ____ 29 _2000_1.79 _ t14 _-1.9 __3.7 ____ 29 _1976 _5.89 _ t38__1.0__4.9 30 _1951 _1.70 __t37 _-3.4__5.1 ____ 30 _1915_1.77 _ t51 _-3.7__5.5 ____ 30 _1919 _5.88 _ t48__0.6__5.3 31 _1898 _1.63 __t48 _-4.0__5.6 ____ 31 _1956_1.76 _ t30 _-3.0 __4.8 ____ 31 _1910 _5.81 __08__3.5__2.3 32 _1919 _1.60 __t20 _-1.9__3.5 ____ 32 _1961_1.71 _ t17 _-2.1 __3.8 ____ 32 _1894 _5.80 _ t21__1.9__3.9 33 _1952 _1.53 __t37 _-3.4__4.9 ____ 33t_1882 _1.68 _ t06 _-1.1__2.8 ____ 33 _1935 _5.73 _ t29 __1.4__4.3 34 _2008 _1.40 __t20 _-1.9__3.3 ____ 33t_1932_1.68 _ t14 _-1.9__3.6 ____ 34 _2002 _5.62 _ t48__0.6__5.0 35 _1907 _1.31 __t62_ -5.8 __7.1 ____ 35 _1960_1.59 _ t51 _-3.7 __5.3 ____35 _1927 _5.61 _ t31__1.3__4.3 36 _1993 _1.29 __t35 _-3.3__4.6 ____ 36t_1951_1.53 _ t41 _-3.3 __4.8 ____ 36 _1963 _5.60 _ t36__1.1__4.5 37 _1874 _1.22 __t57 _-4.3__5.5 ____ 36t_1952_1.53 _ t25 _-2.6 __4.1 ____ 37 _1983 _5.57 _ t36__1.1__4.5 38 _1909 _1.20 __t40_ -3.5__4.7 ____ 38 _2009_1.51 _ t35 _-3.1 __4.6 ____ 38t_1907 _5.53 __ 47__0.7__4.8 39 _1964 _1.16 __ 31 _-2.7__3.9 ____ 39 _1985_1.46 _ t69 _-4.6 __6.1 ____ 38t_1953 _5.53 _ t24 __1.7__3.8 40 _1915 _0.99 _ t72 _ -5.1__6.1 ____ 40 _2005_1.40 _ t41 _-3.3 __4.7____ 40 _1942 _5.41 _ t24__1.7__3.7 41 _1992 _0.96 __t45 _-3.8 __4.8 ____ 41 _1869_1.39 _ 68 _-4.5__5.9 ____ 41 _1968 _5.38 _ t33__1.2__4.2 42 _1973 _0.94 __ 34 _-3.2__4.1 ____ 42t_1983_1.34 _ t25 _-2.6 __3.9 ____ 42 _1949 _5.36 _ t66_ -0.3__5.6 43 _1934 _0.90 __t52_ -4.1__5.0 ____ 42t_1992_1.34 _ t35 _-3.1 __4.4 ____ 43 _1988 _5.34 _ t61_ -0.2__5.5 44 _1974 _0.83 __t48_ -4.0__4.8 ____ 44 _1938_1.29 _ t41 _-3.3__4.6 ____ 44 _2004 _5.29 __ 20 __2.1__3.2 45 _1891 _0.80 __t72 _-5.1__5.9 ____ 45_2019_1.23 _ t58 _-4.0__ 5.2 ____ 45t_1962 _5.27 _ t52__0.5__4.8 46 _1972 _0.72 __t58_ -4.5__5.2 ____ 46 _1919_1.21 _ t22 _-2.5__3.7 ____ 45t_1964 _5.27 _ t61_ -0.2__5.5 47 _1894 _0.69 _ t27 _ -2.3__3.0 ____ 47 _2011_1.12 _ t75 _-4.9__6.0 ____ 47t_1918 _5.21 _ t52__0.5__4.7 48 _2013 _0.62 __t24_ -2.1__2.7 ____ 48 _1975_1.11 _ t29 _-2.8 __3.9 ____ 48t_2003 _5.07 _ t61_ -0.2__5.3 49 _1928 _0.61 __t57 _-4.3__4.9 ____ 49 _2001_1.07 _ t29 _-2.8__3.9 ____ 48t_2006 _5.07 _ t31__1.3__3.8 50 _1908 _0.53 _ t60 _-4.6__5.1 ____ 50t_1884_1.01 _ t73 _-5.0__ 6.0 ____ 50 _1966 _5.04 _ t33__1.2__3.8 51 _1991 _0.51 __t68 _-5.0__5.5 ____ 50t_2008_1.01 _ t69 _-4.6__5.6 ____ 51 _1908 _4.92 _ t73_-0.6__5.5 52 _1946 _0.47 __t52 _-4.1__4.6 ____ 52t_1937_0.96 _ t29 _-2.8__3.8 ____ 52 _1948 _4.86 _ t73_ -0.6__5.5 53 _1944 _0.36 __t18 _-1.8__2.2 ____ 52t_2006_0.96 _ t47 _-3.5 __4.5 ____ 53 _2008 _4.79 _ t55_ -1.4__6.1 54 _1983 _0.29 _ t37_ -3.4__3.7 ____ 54 _1955 _0.87 _ t53 _-3.8__4.7 ____ 54 _1999 _4.73 _ t48__0.6__4.1 55 _2016 _0.29 __t40_-3.5__3.0 ____ 55 _1966_0.82 _ t56 _-3.9__4.7 ____ 55 _1957 _ 4.70_ t29__1.4__3.3 56 _1921 _0.28 _ t32_-2.8 __3.1 ____ 56 _1943_0.74 __ 63 _-4.2__4.9 ____ 56 _1897 _4.69 __ 70 _-0.4__5.1 57 _1960 _0.26 __t57_-4.3__4.6 ____ 57 _1982_0.73 _ t60 _-5.8__ 6.5 ____ 57t_1989 _4.68 _ t40_ -1.9__6.6 58 _1930 _0.22 _ t64 _-5.7__5.9 ____ 58 _1971_0.72 _ t53 _-3.8__4.5 ____ 57t_2009 _4.68 _ t38__1.0__3.7 59 _1917 _0.10 _ 66 _ -5.6__5.7 ____ 59 _1921_0.61 _ t22 _-2.5__3.1 ____ 59t_1981 _4.62_ t44__0.8__3.8 60 _1986 _0.07 __t68 _-5.0__5.1 ____ 60 _1892_0.58_ t69_-4.6__5.2 ____ 59t_2011 _4.62 _ t68_ -0.3__4.9 61 _1901 _-0.02 _ t68 _-5.0__5.0 ____ 61t_1933_0.57_ t56 _-3.9__4.5 ____ 61 _1974 _4.61 _ t71_ -0.5__5.1 62 _1999 _-0.04 __t67_-5.5__5.5 ____ 61t_1988 _0.57 _ t70 _-5.2__5.8 ____62 _1955 _ 4.59_ t73_ -0.6__5.2 63 _1980 _-0.06 _t60 _-4.6__4.5 ____ 61t_2004_0.57 _ t35 _-3.1__3.7____ 63t_1882 _4.57 _ t68_ -0.3__4.9 64t_1924 _-0.11 _ t70 _-5.3__5.2 ____ 64 _1897_0.47_ t64_-4.3__4.8 ____ 63t_2007 _4.57 _ t56__0.3__4.3 64t_1979 _-0.11 _ t42_-7.0 __6.9 ____ 65 _1931_0.46 _ t49_-3.6__4.1 ____ 65 _1954 _ 4.53 _ t74_ -0.8__5.3 66 _1931 _-0.16 _ t60 _-4.6__4.4 ____ 66 _1922_0.39__56_-3.6__4.0 ____ 66 _1922 _4.50 _ t44 __0.8__3.7 67 _2001 _-0.21_ t35_ -3.3 __3.1 ____ 67 _1903_0.37_ t62_-3.8__4.2 ____ 67 _1951 _ 4.48 _ t38__1.0__3.5 68 _1900 _-0.31 _ t42 _-3.6__3.3____ 68 _1945_0.36_ t60_ -4.1__4.5 ____68 _1982 _ 4.46 __ 73_ -0.9__5.4 69 _1892 _-0.48 _ t37_-7.2 __6.7 ____ 69 _1989_0.29_ t65_-5.6__5.9 ____ 69 _1879 _4.44__t43 _-1.8__6.2 70 _1939 _-0.49 _ t76_-5.2 __4.7 ____ 70 _1965_0.16_ 72 _-5.1__5.3 ____ 70 _1997 _ 4.40_ t71_ -0.5__4.9 71 _1926 _-0.50 _ t60_-4.6__4.1 ____ 71 _1906 _0.14_ t62_-5.7__5.8 ____ 71 _1961 _4.38 _ t56__0.3__4.1 72 _1899 _-0.53 _ t76 _-5.2__4.7 ____ 72 _1878 _0.11_ t32_-3.0__3.1 ____ 72 _1905 _4.37 _ t65_ -1.1__5.5 73 _1938 _-0.54 _ t57_-6.0 __5.5 ____ 73 _1928_0.06_ t75_-4.9__5.0 ____ 73 _2019 _ 4.29_ t71_ -1.0__5.3 74 _1929 _-0.56 _ t67 _-5.5__4.9 ____ 74 _1929_0.00_ t52 _-6.1__6.1 ____ 74 _1889 _4.18 _ t54__0.4__3.8 75 _1962 _-0.57 _ t51_ -6.3 __5.7 ____ 75 _1944_-0.03_ t66_-4.4__4.4 ____ 75 _1931 _4.12 __59__0.2__3.9 76 _1914 _-0.68 _ t48_-4.0 __3.2 ____ 76t_1996_-0.04_ t75_-4.9__4.9 ____ 76*_1930 _4.11_ t65 __-1.1__5.2 (ranks are from 01 to 76 warmest before ties, in this half of the tables) ========================================================================================= For January, the median is straddled by -5.2 for Toronto (three years either t76 warmest or t75 coldest). Two of these landed on the warm side for NYC and one on the cold side. The NYC median is not straddled (-0.68 is 76th warmest, -0.79 is 76th coldest). In general there are fewer ties for NYC using two decimals and the adjustments breaking ties that had existed in the raw data. For February, the median is straddled by -4.9 for Toronto (four years, starting from both t75th coldest and warmest). It is also straddled by two years for NYC tied at -0.04. One of those (1996) is among the four Toronto median-straddling Febs For March, the median lies between 76th coldest -0.7 and tied 73rd warmest (four at -0.6).For NYC the median is straddled by two values of 4.11 C. Table now complete ... work will now progress to the next three month set. When finished, this will provide a NYC data base that can be compared with urban heat island largely filtered out. This has already been done for the Toronto data. ======================================================================================== (ranks are from 01 to 76 coldest in this half before ties, coldest at bottom of tables) 76 _1966 _-0.79 _t45 _-6.8 __6.0 ____ 76t_2013 _-0.04_ t60_-4.1__4.1 ____ 76t _1980 _4.11 _ t65 _ -1.1__5.2 74t_1910 _-0.80 _t48 _-4.0__3.2 ____ 74t_1887 _-0.10_ t55 _-6.0__5.9 ____ 75 _1920 _3.99 _ t48__0.6__3.4 74t_1956 _-0.80 _ t65 _-4.7__3.9 ____ 74t_1940_-0.10_ t73 _-4.8__3.7 ____ 74 _1943 _3.86 _ t43_ -1.8__5.7 71t_2010 _-0.82 __t70 _-5.3__4.5 ____ 73 _1876 _-0.11_ t73_-5.0__4.9 ____ 73 _1958 _3.81__ 23 __1.8__2.0 71t_2011 _-0.82 _ t51 _ -6.3__5.5 ____ 72 _1977_-0.17_ t73_-4.8__4.6 ____ 72 _1952 _3.76 _ t73_ -0.6__4.4 71t_2019 _-0.82 _ t48 _-6.5 __5.7____ 71 _1896 _-0.26_ t62 _-5.7__4.0 ____ 71 _1994 _3.73 _ t61_ -0.2__3.9 70 _1958 _-0.86 _ t60 _-4.6__3.7 ____ 70 _1970_-0.34_ 68 _ -5.4__5.1 ____ 70 _ 1959 _3.70 _ t55__-1.4__5.1 69 _1897 _-0.87 _ t70 _-5.3__4.4 ____ 68t_1874 _-0.39_ t52_-5.6__5.2 ____ 69 _1917 _3.66_ t66 _-0.3__4.0 68 _1987 _-0.93_ t42_-3.6 __2.7 ____ 68t_1870 _-0.39_ t47 _-5.9__5.5 ____ 68 _ 1969 _3.60 _ t65__-1.1__4.7 67 _1878 _-0.94 _t58 _-4.5__3.6 ____ 67 _1964_-0.40_ t60 _-4.1__3.7 ____ 67 _1975 _3.56 _ t48__-1.6__5.2 66 _1997 _-0.99 _ t64 _-5.7__4.7 ____ 66 _1987_-0.43_ t64_-4.3__3.9 ____ 66 _1965 _3.54__t52 _-1.7__5.2 65 _1969 _-1.01 _ t68 _-5.0__4.2 ____ 65 _2010_-0.49_ 40 _-3.2__2.7 ____ 64t_1924 _3.50__ 76 _-0.7__4.2 64 _1902 _-1.08 _ t72 _-5.1__4.0 ____ 64 _1969 _-0.57_ t35_-3.5__2.9 ____ 64t_1971 _3.50 _ t45__-1.7__5.2 63 _1927 _-1.11 _ t48_-6.5 __5.4 ____ 63 _1973 _-0.72_ t57 _-5.9__5.2 ____ 61t _1939 _3.40_ t31 _-2.4__5.8 62 _1903 _-1.19 _ t70 _-5.3__4.1 ____ 62 _1959 _-0.74_ t44 _-6.5__5.8 ____ 61t _ 2013 _3.40 _ t56__0.3__3.6 61 _2018 _-1.27 _ t67 _-5.5__4.2 ____ 60t_1911 _-0.79_ t58 _ -4.0__3.2 ____ 61t_ 2018 _3.40 _ t61_- 0.2__4.3 60 _1959 _-1.30 _ 47_-6.6 __5.3 ____ 60t_1913 _-0.79_ t37 _-6.9__6.1 ____ 60 _1992 _3.34__t65 _-1.1__4.4 59 _1955 _-1.36 _ t65_-4.7__ 3.3____ 59 _1946 _-0.87_ t57 _-5.9__5.0 ____ 59 _1972 _3.33__t45 _-2.8__6.1 58 _1943 _-1.37 _ 31_-7.6 __ 6.2 ____ 58 _1950 _-0.92__69 _-5.3__4.4 ____ 58 _1928 _3.28__t59 _-1.3__4.6 55t_1895 _-1.42 _ t51_-6.3 __4.9 ____ 57 _1871 _-1.00_ t75_ -4.9__3.9 ____ 57 _1901 _3.26_ t50 _-1.5__4.3 55t_1896 _-1.42 _ t57_-6.0 __4.6 ____ 56 _1962 _-1.01_ t31 _-7.1__6.1 ____ 56 _1993 _3.18 _ t65_-1.1__5.4 55t_1942 _-1.42 _ t65 _-4.7__3.3 ____ 55 _1935 _-1.04_ t55 _-6.0__5.0 ____ 55 _2001 _3.12 __ 60_ -0.1__3.2 54 _1954 _-1.47 _ t45_-6.8 __5.3 ____ 53t_1883 _-1.10_ t31 _-7.1__5.5 ____ 54 _1899 _3.08_ t34 _-2.3__5.4 52t_2000 _-1.49 __t72_-5.1__3.6 ____ 53t_1986 _-1.10_ t74_-5.6__4.5 ____ 53 _1884 _3.07_ t31 _-2.4__5.5 52t_2005 _-1.49 _ t48 _-6.5__5.1 ____ 52 _1900 _-1.14_ t37 _-6.9__5.8 ____ 51t_1886 _3.01_ t59 _-1.3__4.3 51 _ 1885 _-1.54 _ t17_-8.3__6.8 ____ 50t_1872 _-1.17_ t50_-6.2__5.0 ____ 51t_2005 _3.01_ t50 _-1.5__4.5 50 _ 1923 _-1.61_t54 _-6.2 __4.6 ____ 50t_1974 _-1.17_ t46 _-6.4__5.2 ____ 50 _1933 _2.96__t74 _-0.8__3.8 49 _ 1887 _-1.71 _t21 _-8.1 __6.4 ____ 49 _1941 _-1.20_ t70 _-5.2__4.0 ____ 49 _1909 _2.92_ t55 _-1.4__5.4 48 _ 1872 _-1.78 _ t54 _-6.2__4.4 ____ 48 _1918 _-1.29_ t46 _-6.4__5.1 ____ 48 _2017 _2.90_ t71 _-1.0__3.9 47 _ 1905 _-1.80 _ t21 _-8.1__6.3 ____ 46t_1995 _-1.32_ t44 _-6.5__5.2 ____ 47 _1978 _2.89_ t34 _-2.3__5.2 46 _ 1882 _-1.88 _ t74_-5.2 __3.3 ____ 46t_2014 _-1.32_ t27 _-7.3__6.0 ____ 46 _1874 _2.83_ t55 _-1.4__4.2 45 _ 1873 _-1.89 _t17 _-8.3 __6.4 ____ 44t_1972 _-1.33_ t60 _-5.8__4.5 ____ 45 _1970 _2.82__t62 _-1.2__4.0 44 _ 1996 _-1.93 _ t62 _-5.8__3.9 ____ 44t_1980 _-1.33_ t41 _-6.7__5.4 ____ 44 _1996 _2.73__ 39 _-2.0__4.7 43 _ 1963 _-1.96 _ t27_-7.8 __5.8 ____ 43 _1873 _-1.39_ t24 _-7.5__5.9 ____ 43 _ 1912 _2.71_ t13 _-3.9__6.6 42 _ 1871 _-2.06 _ t54_-6.2 __4.1 ____ 42 _1948 _-1.42_ t62 _-5.7__4.3 ____ 42 _1947 _2.52_ t59 _-1.3__3.8 41 _ 1936 _-2.10_ 61 _ -5.9 __3.8 ____ 41 _1910 _-1.47_ t46 _-6.4__4.9 ____ 41 _1881 _2.51_ t62 _-1.2__3.6 40 _ 1941 _-2.14 _ t57_-6.0 __3.9 ____ 40 _1902 _-1.58_ 49 _ -6.3__4.7 ____ 40 _1880 _2.50_ t48 _-1.6__4.1 39 _ 1965_-2.18 _ t57_-6.0 __3.3 ____ 39 _1888 _-1.60_ t52 _-6.1__4.5 ____ 39 _ 1944 _2.41__28 _-2.6__5.0 37t_ 1984 _-2.27 _t29_-7.7 __5.4 ____ 38 _1893 _-1.64_ t17 _-7.8__6.2 ____ 37t_ 1932 _2.34_ t36 _-2.2__4.5 37t_ 2015 _-2.27 _ t37_-7.2 __4.9 ____ 37 _1993 _-1.77_ t27 _-7.3__5.5 ____ 37t_ 1934 _2.34__t26 _-2.8__5.1 36 _ 1935 _-2.32 __44_-6.9 __4.6 ____ 36 _1994 _-1.88_ t31 _-7.1__5.3 ____ 36 _2015 _2.29__t40 _-1.9__4.2 35 _ 1877 _-2.39 __16 _-8.8__6.4 ____ 35 _1881 _-1.93 _ 30 _-7.2__5.3 ____ 35 _ 1915 _2.27_ t50 _-1.5__3.8 34 _ 1988 _-2.49 __54_-4.2 __1.7 ____ 34 _1942 _-1.98_ t37 _-6.9__4.9 ____ 34 _1967 _2.21_ t50 _-1.5__3.7 33 _ 1925 _-2.50 _ t42_-7.0 __4.5 ____ 33 _1926 _-2.06_ 43_-6.6__4.5 ____ 33_ 1956 _2.20_ t45 _-1.7__3.9 32 _ 1922 _ -2.61 _ t70_-5.3__2.7 ____ 32 _1894 _-2.09_ t41_-6.7__4.6 ____ 32 _1923 _2.17__22 _-3.2__5.4 31 _ 1957 _-2.74 _ t34_-7.3 __4.6 ____ 31 _2003 _-2.16_t50 _-6.2__4.0 ____ 31 _1904 _2.14_ t36 _-2.2__4.3 30 _ 1879 _-2.83 _ t40_-7.1 __4.3 ____ 30 _1912 _-2.18_ t22 _-7.7__5.5 ____ 30 _1877 _2.11__18 _-3.6__5.7 29 _ 1985 _-2.88 _ t34 _-7.3__4.4 ____ 29 _1947 _-2.20_ t52 _-6.1__3.9 ____29 _1914 _2.10_ t62 _-1.2__3.3 27t_ 1886 _-2.99 _ 32 _-7.5 __4.5 ____ 27t_1879 _-2.22__15 _-8.1__5.9 ____ 28_ 2014 _2.07_ t13 _-3.9__6.0 27t_ 2014 _-2.99 _ t21_-8.1 __5.1 ____ 27t_1924 _-2.22_ t34_-7.0__4.8 ____ 27 _1873 _2.06_ t20 _-3.3__5.4 26 _ 1978 _-3.22 _t29_-7.7 __4.5 _____26 _1920 _-2.34_ t34_-7.0__4.7 ____ 26 _1891 _1.91__ 38 _ -2.1__4.0 25 _ 1961 _-3.29 _ t34_-7.3 __4.0 ____ 25 _1889 _-2.43_ t13 _-8.4__6.0 ____ 24t_1890 _1.90_ t31 _-2.4__4.3 24 _ 2009 _-3.38 _ t21_-8.1 __4.7 ____ 23t_1917 _-2.46_ t11_-8.7__6.2 ____ 24t_1937 _1.90_ t29 _-2.5__4.4 23 _ 1976 _-3.56 _ 33 _-7.4 __3.8 ____ 23t_1967 _-2.46_ t24_-7.5__5.0 ____ 22t_1893 _1.74_ t40 _-1.9__3.6 22 _ 2003 _-3.60 _t37_-7.2 __3.6 ____ 22 _1899 _-2.48_ t27 _-7.3__4.8 ____ 22t_1950 _1.74_ t24 _ -2.9__4.6 21 _ 1971 _-3.78 _t27_-7.8 __4.0 ____ 21 _ 1886 _-2.60_ t17 _-7.8__5.2 ____ 21 _1906 _1.70__23 _-3.1__4.8 20 _ 1968 _-3.84 _ t40_-7.1 __3.3 ____ 20 _1968 _-2.62_ 40 _-6.8__4.2 ____ 20 _1895 _1.69_ t09 _-4.6__6.3 19 _ 1883 _-3.88 _ t17_-8.3 __4.4 ____ 19 _1916 _-2.68_ t22 _-7.7__5.0 ____ 18t_1869 _1.56__08 _-4.7__6.3 18 _ 1904 _-4.02 _t10_-9.2 __5.2 ____ 18 _ 1908 _-2.80_ 26 _-7.4__4.6 ____ 18t_1926 _1.56_ t15 _-3.8__5.4 16t_ 1881 _-4.16 __12_-9.1 __4.9 ____ 17 _1963 _-2.96_ t13 _-8.4__5.4 ____ 17 _1984 _1.51__17 _-3.7__5.2 16t_ 1884 _-4.16 __09_-9.4 __5.2 ____ 16 _2007 _-3.21__16_-8.0__4.8 ____ 16_ 1941 _1.47__ 19 _-3.4__4.9 15 _ 1981 _-4.27 _ t13_-9.0 __4.7 ____15 _1958 _-3.36_ t34 _-7.0__3.6 ____ 15 _1876 _1.33__t20 _-3.3__4.6 14 _ 1948 _-4.37 __26_-8.0 __3.6 ____ 14 _1901 _-3.47__10 _-8.8__5.3 ____ 13t_1875 _1.17 __ 07 _-4.9__6.1 13 _ 1982 _-4.38 _ 15 _-8.9 __4.5 ____ 13 _1978 _-3.67_t17 _-7.8__4.1 ____ 13t_1870 _1.17 _ t24 _-2.9__4.1 12 _ 1940 _-4.49 _ t21_-8.1 __3.6 ____ 12 _1923 _-3.72_ t17 _-7.8__4.1 ____ 12 _1940 _1.12_ t15 _-3.8__4.9 11 _ 1945 _-4.53 _t06_-10.1__5.6 ____ 11 _1907 _-3.69_ t17_ -7.8__4.1 ____ 11 _1911 _1.10__t50 _-1.5__2.6 10 _ 1875 _-4.56 _t10_-9.2 __4.6 ____ 10 _1936 _-4.10_ t11 _-8.7__4.6 ____ 10 _1892 _1.02__t29 _-2.5__3.5 09 _ 1994 _-4.66 _ 01_-11.1__6.4 ____ 09 _1875 _-3.78__02 _-12.6 _8.8 ____09 _1900 _0.58__06 _-5.0__5.6 08 _ 1970 _-4.73 _ t17_-8.3 __3.6 ____ 08 _1904 _-3.97__05 _-10.7_6.7 ____ 08 _1883 _0.29 __03 _-6.0__6.3 07 _ 1893 _-4.76 _ 05_-10.2__5.4 ____ 07 _1914 _-4.07__07 _-9.5__5.4 ____ 07 _1896 _0.13__ 05 _-5.1__5.2 06 _ 1912 _-5.01 __04_-10.5__5.5____ 06 _1905 _-4.30__t08_-8.9__4.6 ____ 06 _1887 _0.07 __11 _-4.2__4.3 05 _ 1888 _-5.10 __10_-9.7 __4.6 ____ 05 _1895 _-4.59__t08_-8.9__4.3 ____ 05 _1960 _-0.08_ t09 _-4.6__4.5 04 _ 2004 _-5.16 _t13_-9.0 __ 3.8 ____ 04 _1979 _-4.61__06 _-9.8__5.2 ____ 04 _1916 _-0.18 __12 _-4.1__3.9 03 _ 1920 _-5.18 __02_-11.0__5.8 ____ 03 _1885 _-5.27__04_-12.0__6.7 ____03 _1885 _-0.88 __01 _-8.3__7.4 02 _ 1918 _-6.12 __ 03_-10.8_4.7 ____ 02 _2015 _-5.60__03_-12.2__6.6 ____ 02 _1872 _-0.83 __02 _-6.1__5.2 01 _ 1977 _-6.50 __t06_-10.1_3.6 ____ 01 _1934 _-7.32__01_-12.7__5.4 ____ 01 _1888 _-1.21 __04 _-5.5__4.4 ___________________________________________
  7. EWP tracker has settled at 69 mm for July, my guess is that final value to be revealed on 5th will be anywhere from 68 to 72 mm as the tracker does not necessarily account for the various fractional amounts that seem to have been either 0 or 1 mm additions recently. So with that in mind, I had already scored from 70.1 mm and will give you a look at that, slight changes would be required if the final value is closer to 69 mm. The top July scores from this arbitrary value are on left, if the final decision on 5th is 68 to 70, then the right column will apply (edit, the right column is the actual scoring after the final value of 69.3 mm was published on 5th August). I have edited that portion of the table to show the actual errors). 01 _ Feb1991Blizzard __71.1 mm (+1.0) __ 10.0 pts ____ 01 _ JeffC ____ 69.0 mm (-0.3) __ 10.0 pts 02 _ JeffC _________ 69.0 mm (-1.1) ___ 9.83 ______ 02 _ davehsug _ 69.0 mm (-0.3) ___ 9.92 03 _ davehsug ______69.0 mm (-1.1) ___ 9.75 ______ 03 _ Twilight ___ 68.0 mm (-1.3) ___9.65 04 _ Roger J Smith __ 71.6 mm (+1.6) ___9.26 ______ 04 _ Don ______68.0 mm (-1.3) ___9.57 05 _ Jacky^_________71.5 mm (+1.5) __ 9.24 _______05 _ Feb1991Blizzard _ 71.1 (+1.8) ___ 9.26 06 _ Twilight ________68.0 mm (-2.1) __ 9.65 _______ 06 _ Roger J Smith _ 71.6 (+2.3) __ 8.89 07 _ Don __________ 68.0 mm (-2.1) __ 9.57 _______ 07 _ Jacky^________71.5 (+2.2) __ 8.87 08 _ Stargazer ______73.0 mm (+2.9) __ 8.70 _______08 _ Stargazer _____73.0 (+3.7) __ 8.70 09 _ Born from the Void __73.0 mm (+2.9) __ 8.62 _______ 09 _Born from the Void _ 73.0 (+3.7) __ 8.62 10 _ Summer Shower _74.0 mm (+3.9) __ 8.33 ______ 10 _ General Cluster_ 65.0 (-4.3) __8.33 11 _ mb018538 ______74.0 mm (+3.9) __ 8.25 ______ 11 _ Summer Shower _74.0 (+4.7) _ 8.15 12 _ Blast from the Past _ 75.0 mm (+4.9) __ 7.96 ______ 12 _ mb018538 _____ 74.0 (+4.7) _ 8.07 13 _ Jonboy ________ 75.0 mm (+4.9) __ 7.88 ______ 13 _snowray ________ 64.0 (-5.3) _ 7.77 14 _ General Cluster _ 65.0 mm (-5.1) __ 7.59 ______ 14 _ Blast from the Past _ 75.0 (+5.7) _ 7.59 15 _ snowray _______ 64.0 mm (-6.1) __ 7.41 ______ 15 _ Jonboy ________ 75.0 (+5.7)__ 7.51 16 _ February 1978 __ 77.0 mm (+6.9) __ 7.22 _____ 16 _ Thundery Wintry Showers_62.4 (-6.9)_ 7.22 17 _ Godber1 _______ 77.0 mm (+6.9) __ 7.14 _____ 17 _ February 1978 __ 77.0 mm (+7.7)__ 7.03 18 _ Thundery Wintry Showers _62.4 (-7.7) __ 6.85 _____18 _ Godber1 _______ 77.0 mm (+7.7)__ 6.95 19 _ Bobd29 _________78.0 mm (+7.9) __ 6.67 ____ 19 _ Bobd29 ________78.0 mm (+8.7)__ 6.67 20 _ CheesepuffScott _ 78.9 mm (+8.8) __ 6.49 ____ 20 _ The PIT ________ 60.0 mm (-9.3)__ 6.49 (note ^ symbol = one day late penalty, explaining why this forecast drops one rank relative to error rankings) (generally the scoring ranks drop about 0.18 per entrant, but duplicate later entries only drop 0.08 so the spacing can vary. _________________________________________________________________________________________ As to the annual scoring, this would be the top 20 scores from the 70.1 value, only minor changes will occur if July scores from the lower value. (edit: Those minor changes can be seen in the later post on 6th August ...) 01 _ Twilight _________ 56.77 ____________ 11 _ Blast from the Past ___ 46.75 02 _ Godber1 ________ 56.74 ____________ 12 _ virtualsphere ________ 46.59 03 _ Reef ___________ 55.13 ____________ 13 _ Jonboy _____________ 46.48 04 _ Mulzy __________ 53.52 ____________ 14 _ Feb1991Blizzard ______45.91 05 _ JeffC ___________50.90 ____________ 15 _ The PIT _____________ 44.90 06 _ Emmett Garland __50.61 ____________ 16 _ Roger J Smith ________ 44.09 07 _ mb018538 ______ 50.38 ____________ 17 _ Born from the Void ____ 43.85 08 _ Don ___________ 48.83 ____________ 18 _ SteveB ______________ 43.69 09 _ Bobd29 ________ 47.46 ____________ 19 _ Dog Toffee ___________ 43.62 10 _ General Cluster __ 47.40 ____________20 _ snowray _____________ 43.53 ________________________________________________ 21st to 50th for you (mostly) regular entrants, scores are not that much lower than the 14-20 range here, will post them all when confirmed. 21 to 25 are TWS, DAVID SNOW, J10, Stat Front and davehsug. 26 to 30 are Feb78, brmbrmcar, MIA, DR(S)NO and seaside60 31 to 35 are Weather26, daniel*, Mr Maunder, Timmytour and CheesepuffScott. 36 to 40 are weather-history, Relativistic, Let It Snow, I Rem Atl and Stargazer. 41 to 45 are NeilN, Diagonal Red Line, prolonged Snow Lover, sleety and syed2878. 46 to 50 ranks start to include some contest dropouts, but 47 to 49 are Norrance, Polar Gael and Kirkcaldy Weather.
  8. One new record, 23.7 on 31st replaces the 23.4 shared by 1943 and 1995.
  9. 1981-2010 CET averages and extremes 1772 to 2019  Date ____ Avg CET ___ cum CET ____ MAX 1772-2019 __ MIN 1772-2019 ___ Running CET extremes 1772-2019 _01______ 16.8 _______ 16.8 ________ 24.9 1995 _____ 11.9 1888 ________ 24.9 _ 1995 ____ 11.9 _ 1888 _02 ______16.8 _______ 16.8 ________ 24.6 1995 _____ 11.6 1822 ________ 24.8 _ 1995 ____ 12.2 _1822,1865 _03 ______16.9 _______ 16.8 ________ 24.4 1990 _____ 10.5 1912 ________ 24.3 _ 1995 ____ 11.7 _ 1912 _04______ 17.0 _______ 16.9 ________ 23.4 1975 _____ 11.3 1812 ________ 23.4 _ 1995 ____ 12.0 _ 1865 _05 ______17.3 _______ 17.0 ________ 23.1 2003 _____ 11.3 1812 ________ 22.3 _ 1995 ____ 12.8 _ 1865 _06 ______17.2 _______ 17.0 ________ 22.5 2003 _____ 11.2 1823&1860 ___ 21.6 _ 1995 ____ 12.8 _ 1812 _07______ 16.9 _______ 17.0 ________ 22.8 1975 _____ 11.6 1898 ________ 21.5 _ 1975 ____ 12.6 _ 1812 _08 ______16.8 _______ 17.0 ________ 23.7 1975 _____ 11.5 1823 ________ 21.7 _ 1975 ____ 12.6 _ 1812 _09 ______16.9 _______ 16.9 ________ 23.9 2003 _____ 11.0 1931 ________ 21.7 _ 1975 ____ 12.6 _ 1812 _10______ 16.8 _______ 16.9 _______ 22.5 1773&1997__10.8 1892 ________ 21.3 _ 1975 ____ 12.6 _ 1812 _11 ______16.7 _______ 16.9 ________ 22.6 1997 _____ 10.8 1902 ________ 21.1 _ 1975 ____ 12.7 _ 1812 _12 ______16.8 _______ 16.9 ________ 22.2 1911 _____ 10.5 1912 ________ 21.0 _ 1975 ____ 12.7 _ 1812 _13______ 16.3 _______ 16.9 ________ 23.6 1911 _____ 10.5 1881 ________ 21.0 _ 1975 ____ 12.7 _1812, 1912 _14 ______16.7 _______ 16.8 ________ 21.3 1911 _____ 10.8 1912 ________ 20.8 _ 1975 ____ 12.6 _1912 _15 ______16.8 _______ 16.8 ________ 22.1 1893 _____ 10.3 1829 ________ 20.7 _ 1975 ____ 12.6 1912 _16______ 16.5 _______ 16.8 ________ 21.6 1947 ______ 9.5 1888 ________ 20.4 _ 1975 ____ 12.6 1912 _17 ______16.5 _______ 16.8 ________ 22.4 1876 _____ 10.9 1888 ________ 20.1 _ 1975 ____ 12.7 1912 _18 ______16.6 _______ 16.8 ________ 22.6 1893 _____ 10.3 1830 ________ 20.0 _ 1995 ____ 12.8 1912 _19 ______16.9 _______ 16.8 ________ 22.8 1932 _____ 10.4 1839 ________ 20.0 _ 1995 ____ 12.9 1912 _20 ______16.7 _______ 16.8 ________ 21.9 1995 _____ 10.5 1920 ________ 20.2 _ 1995 ____ 12.9 1912 _21 ______16.4 _______ 16.8 ________ 21.6 1984 ______ 9.8 1850 ________ 20.2 _ 1995 ____ 12.8 1912 _22______ 16.5 _______ 16.8 ________ 22.1 1955 _____ 10.4 1817 ________ 20.3 _ 1995 ____ 12.8 1912 _23 ______16.1 _______ 16.7 ________ 22.1 1955 _____ 10.3 1877 ________ 20.2 _ 1995 ____ 12.9 1912 _24 ______16.1 _______ 16.7 ________ 21.5 1990 ______ 9.1 1864 ________ 20.0 _ 1995 ____ 12.9 1912 _25______ 15.8 _______ 16.7 ________ 21.7 2019 ____ 10.5 1787,1843&1864_ 20.0 _1995 ____13.0_1912 _26 ______15.7 _______ 16.6 ________ 20.6 1870 ______ 8.8 1864 ________ 19.9 _ 1995 ____ 12.9 1912 _27 ______15.4 _______ 16.6 ________ 22.8 1930 _____ 11.0 1885&1890 ___ 19.8 _ 1995 ____ 12.9 1912 _28______ 15.1 _______ 16.5 ________ 23.0 1942 _____ 10.5 1919 ________ 19.6 _ 1995 ____ 12.8 1912 _29 ______15.3 _______ 16.5 ________ 20.6 1930 ______ 9.1 1812 ________ 19.4 _ 1995 ____ 12.9 1912 _30 ______15.5 _______ 16.5 _______ 19.8 1804&2008__ 9.5 1890 ________ 19.2 _ 1995 ____ 12.9 1912  _31 ______15.2 _______ 16.4________ 21.3 1906 ______ 9.2 1833 ________ 19.2 _ 1995 ____ 12.9 1912 __________________________________________________________________ The most recent record minimum CET daily mean in August was on the 9th of 1931. The most recent record maximum CET daily mean in August was on the 25th of 2019, before that 30th of 2008 (tied) and before that 9th of 2003.
  10. Similar to July 1948 in that a late surge of heat failed to move the month into above normal territory. Meanwhile it was the second warmest July (and month) at Toronto at 25.4 C, narrowly missing the record of 25.5 set in July 1921. New York City (Central Park) came in at 80.0 F which ranks seventh warmest July (1869 to present). These both rank slightly lower when adjusted for urban heat island, Toronto falls to third with 1868 also warmer in that category. We had a relatively normal July until near the end when it also turned very hot here, the last day reached 37 to 38 locally and 44 down in eastern WA and OR. Chicago also had a very warm July with an anomaly of +5.2F (+2.9C).
  11. You may be first or any other rank in the top five depending on the number they give tomorrow, and then that won't be confirmed until the 5th and could change things again. Regardless, with 9 to 10 points, you should move up 8-10 spots to around 15th place. Born from the Void and myself are also moving up a little behind your position. IIRC you had 71.1 mm and there were two forecasts at 69 mm but none at 70. If they stick with 68 provisional (on the tracker) after two small amount days I would suspect a final number might be 69-70. So whatever I report tomorrow, would advise waiting to the 5th for confirmation.
  12. As always, my preliminary report on scoring leaders (CET) is to be confirmed by your CET contest host J10 ... from the table of entries, the top 15 scores would be the following (EWP forecasts shown also, number in brackets is order of entry which breaks ties for equal errors). Rank _ Fcst __ error _ EWP _ Forecaster _01 __ 15.7 ___0.0 __ ----- __ Kentish Man (54) _02 __ 15.6 __--0.1 __ 90.0 _ daniel* (39) _03 __ 15.8 __+0.1 _ 110.0 _ Relativistic (L1-3) _04 __ 15.5 __--0.2 _ 102.0_ syed2878 (22) _05 __ 15.4 __--0.3 _ 110.0_ Summer Blizzard (10) _06 __ 15.3 __--0.4 __ 91.0 _ virtualsphere (14) _07 __ 16.1 __+0.4 __ 80.0 _ NeilN (23) _08 __ 16.3 __+0.6 __ 85.0 _ SteveB (26) _09 __ 16.3 __+0.6 __ 97.0 _ prolongedSnowLover (28) _10 __ 16.4 __+0.7 __ 80.0 _ I Remember Atlantic252 (36) _11 __ 16.5 __+0.8 __ 75.0 _ Blast from the Past (27) _12 __ 16.6 __+0.9 __ 80.0 _ Mulzy (46) _13 __ 16.6 __+0.9 __ 77.0 _ February1978 (49) _14 __ 16.7 __+1.0 __ 74.0 _ SummerShower (3) _15 __ 16.7 __+1.0 __ 60.0 _ Leo97t (37) ========================================================= Best combined forecast is likely to go to one of these three -- Blast from the Past, Summer Shower, or Don who had 23rd ranked CET with 68 mm. EWP is likely to finish between 69 and 71 mm. Even when it is known in preliminary form it could change again on the 5th by enough to scramble the first go at EWP scoring, there are many forecasts clustered between 65 and 75 mm. Most of these accurate CET forecasts were a bit high on the actual rainfall (their amounts fell over Ireland and southern Scotland however). Most of the more accurate EWP forecasts had values around 17 C for their CET components.
  13. Table of forecasts for August 2020 The numbers in brackets show your order of entry into the contest(s). CET _ EWP _ Forecaster _________________________ CET _ EWP _ Forecaster _______________________ 21.5 __200.0_ Lettucing Gutted ( 11 ) _______________ 17.0 __ 76.4 _ bobd29 ( 07 ) ______________________ 20.0 __ ----- _ Steve Murr ( 58 ) ____________________ 17.0 __ 60.0 _ The PIT ( 41 ) ______________________ 18.9 __ 24.9 _ 2010cold ( 51 ) _____________________ 17.0 __ 69.0 _ Mr Maunder ( 47 ) ___________________ 18.5 __ 70.0 _ Earthshine ( 40 ) ____________________ 17.0 __ 55.0 _ Mulzy ( 54 ) ________________________ ______________________________________________17.0 __ ----- _ Kentish Man ( 64 ) ___________________ 18.3 __ 47.0 _ joggs ( 26 ) ________________________ 17.0 __ 61.0 _ davehsug ( L1-4 ) ___________________ 18.3 __ 46.0 _ Radiating Dendrite ( 32 ) ______________ 16.9 __ 76.0 _ Twilight ( 08 ) _______________________ 18.2 __ 63.2 _ Dog Toffee ( 63 ) ____________________ 16.9 __ ----- _ sundog ( 31 ) ________________________ 18.2 __ 70.0 _ Weather Enthusiast91 ( 09 to L3-2 ) _____16.9 __ 69.0 _ Norrance ( 45 ) ______________________ 18.1 __ 54.4 _ Feb1991Blizzard ( 38 ) _______________ 16.8 __ 80.3 _ Roger J Smith ( 33 ) __________________ 18.0 __ ----- _ 38.7 C ( 30 ) ________________________16.8 __ ----- _ Duncan McAlister ( 53 ) _______________ 18.0 __ ----- _ Walsall Wood Snow ( 50 ) _____________ 16.8 __ 66.0 _ Godber1 ( 66 ) ______________________ 17.9 __ 53.0 _ virtualsphere ( 10 ) __________________ 16.7 __ 78.2 _ Kirkcaldy Weather ( 16 ) ______________ 17.9 __ 80.0 _ Born From the Void ( 39) _____________ 16.7 __104.0_ brmbrmcar ( 18 ) ____________________ 17.8 __ 30.9 _ Let It Snow! ( 35 ) ___________________ 16.6 __ 73.0 _ SteveB ( 17 ) _______________________ 17.8 __ 41.0 _ Stargazer ( 49 ) _____________________ 16.5 __ 72.0 _ jonboy ( 43 ) _______________________ 17.7 __ 40.0 _ Summer of 95 ( 21 ) _________________ 16.5 __ 85.0 _ J10 ( 56 ) __________________________ ______________________________________________16.5 __ 79.7 _ 1990-2019 average _________________ ______________________________________________16.4 __ 75.6 _ 1981-2010 average _________________ 17.7 __ ----- _ Man with Beard ( 29 ) ________________ 16.3 __ 52.0 _ Timmytour ( 44 ) ____________________ 17.7 __ 47.0 _ seaside60 ( 52 ) ____________________ 16.3 __ 87.0 _ Blast from the Past ( L1-1 ) ___________ 17.7 __ 70.0 _ Don ( 59 ) _________________________16.2 __ 80.0 _ Summer Shower ( 12 ) _______________ 17.6 __ ----- _ Summer Sun ( 28 ) __________________ 16.1 __ 62.0 _ Midlands Ice Age ( L1-2 ) ____________ 17.6 __ 34.0 _ Captain Shortwave ( 37 ) _____________ 16.0 __ 85.2 _ Polar Gael ( 05 ) ___________________ 17.6 __ 68.0 _ Stationary Front ( 42 ) _______________ 16.0 __105.0_ DR(S)NO ( 15 ) ____________________ 17.6 __ 68.0 _ daniel* ( L1-4 ) _____________________ 16.0 __100.0_ Stewfox ( 19 ) ______________________ 17.5 __ 35.0 _ Leo97t ( 34 ) _______________________ 17.5 __ 56.0 _ mb018538 ( 60 ) ____________________16.0 __ 85.0 _ prolongedSnowLover ( 48 ) _____________ 17.4 __ 50.0 _ General Cluster ( 36 ) ________________ 15.9 __ 60.0 _ weather-history ( 22 ) ________________ 17.4 __ 66.0 _ DAVID SNOW ( 55 ) _________________ 15.7 __110.0_ Summer Blizzard ( 03 ) ______________ 17.4 __ ----- _ Mark Bayley ( 61 ) ___________________ 15.7 __ 85.0 _ JeffC ( 13 ) _______________________ 17.3 __ 56.9 _ CheesepuffScott ( 46 ) _______________ 15.5 __105.0_ syed2878 ( 20 ) ____________________ 17.3 __ 71.5 _ snowray ( 65, 13.5 ) _________________ 15.0 __105.0_ I Remember Atl 252 ( 06 ) ____________ 17.2 __ 57.0 _ Reef ( 23 ) _________________________ 14.8 __111.0_ NeilN ( 01 ) ________________________ 17.2 __ 93.0 _ Emmett Garland ( 25 ) ________________ 17.2 __ ----- _ damianslaw ( 57 ) ____________________14.6 __105.0_ Shillitocettwo ( 14 ) __________________ 17.1 __ ----- _ dancerwithwings ( 24 ) ________________ 14.5 __125.0_ B87 ( 04 ) ________________________ 17.1 __ 63.0 _ February1978 ( 62 ) __________________14.4 __ 86.2 _ Weather26 ( 02 ) ___________________ 17.1 __100.0_ Relativistic ( 27 to L3-1 ) ______________ 13.5 __129.0_ Thundershine ( L3-3 ) 17.1 __ 69.0 _ consensus _______________________________________ Interesting stat, average of first ten forecasts (made 19th to 21st July) was 15.3, one of these was later revised upward so only orders of entry 01-09 went into this along with the revised value. LG had not posted by then (but is now shown as 11th entry). Also not included in that average is 10th entry from virtualsphere who went quite a bit warmer, the first of many (17.9). The average (excl LG) was closer to 16 by about 24th entry (28 July) and the eventual consensus was 17.0. 66 on-time forecasts, with four that are one day late, 70 in total ... median 17.0 C One forecast revised to become three days late (was 27th entry, table entries 28-66 remain unedited) This change shifts the consensus out of the group at 17.0 with equal numbers now above and below 17.05. ============================================================== EWP Forecasts (in order) 200_LG ... 129_Thun^^^ 125_B87 ... 111_NN ,,, 110_SB ... 105_IRAtl,shil, syed, ... 104_brm ...100_DR(S)NO, stew, rel 93_EG ... 87_BFTP^ ... 86.2_wx26 ... 85_Jeff, pSL, J10 ... 80.3_RJS ... 80.0_SumSh, BFTV ... 79.7_90-19 78.2_KW ... 76.4_bobd ... 76_Twi ... 75.6_81-10 ... 75.2_PG ... 73_Stev ... 72_jon ... 71.5_snow ... 70_Earth, Don, WE91^^^ 69_Norr, MrM .. 68_SF, dan*^.. 66_DS, godb.. 63_Feb78 .. 63.2_DT .. 62_MIA^ .. 61_dave^ .. 60_wx-hist, PIT 57_Reef ... 56.9_CPS ... 56_mb ... 55_Mul ... 54.4_Feb91 ... 53_virt ... 52_Tim ... 50_GC .. 47_joggs, sea 46_RD ... 41_star ... 40_Sum95 ... 35_Leo ... 34_Capt ... 30.9_LIS ... 24.9_2010cold ________________________________________ 55 on-time forecasts, plus four that are one day late (^) ... then two more marked three days late (^^^) .. one was a revision so only one extra forecast, total of 60 now ... the consensus (median) is now 70.0 mm. _____________________________________________________________ Note CPS is CheesepuffScott, Capt is CaptainShortwave (who was CPS once in these tables) ...
  14. EWP was stuck on 68 mm as of 29th, may have added 1 mm since then and could add another today with most likely finish 69 to 71 mm.
  15. NYC (Central Park) mean temperatures adjusted for urban heat island After studying the differentials from Toronto to NYC over time, and considering that NYC was a larger urban area in 1869 than Toronto, and probably had begun to develop an urban heat island, the decision is to adjust the raw data by similar amounts to Toronto, but assuming that the urban heat island was 0.2 deg (C) in 1868, and 0.3 from 1869 to 1880 which years were not adjusted for Toronto. So the adjustments after 1880 will continue at the same rate as for Toronto, 0.1 per decade (starting 1881-90) but all the data in this table should be read as being 0.3 warmer than the non-UHI equivalent. This means that NYC is set at 1.4 for total UHI compared to 1.1 for Toronto. If useful data become available for the same general area before 1869, it is proposed that 1857-68 be raised by 0.1, and 1821-56 by 0.2, to extend the urban heat island adjustment. YEAR ___JAN _ FEB _ MAR _ APR _ MAY _ JUN __ JUL _ AUG _ SEP _ OCT _ NOV _ DEC __ YEAR 1869 ___ 1.72 _ 1.39 _ 1.56 __9.56 _14.28 _20.72 _22.67 _22.11 _18.67 _10.50 _ 4.61 _ 1.50 __ 10.78 1870 ___ 3.06 _-0.39 _ 1.17 _10.39 _16.06 _22.72 _24.78 _24.06 _19.78 _13.72 _ 7.50 _ 1.17 __ 12.00 1871 ___-2.06 _-1.00 _ 6.78 _11.11 _15.78 _20.11 _22.39 _23.11 _16.00 _13.11 _ 3.78 _-1.56 __ 10.61 1872 ___-1.78 _-1.17 _-0.83 __9.67 _16.39 _21.78 _25.28 _24.22 _19.11 _11.78 _ 5.00 _-2.94 __ 10.56 1873 ___-1.89 _-1.39 _ 2.06 __8.17 _14.89 _21.28 _24.11 _22.22 _18.56 _13.22 _ 2.78 _ 2.50 __ 10.56 1874 ___ 1.22 _-0.39 _ 2.83 __5.06 _14.89 _21.17 _23.28 _21.28 _19.44 _12.83 _ 6.33 _ 1.00 __ 10.72 1875 ___-4.56 _-3.78 _ 1.17 __6.17 _15.61 _20.67 _23.33 _22.72 _17.78 _12.00 _ 4.06 _ 1.06 ___ 9.67 1876 ___ 2.56 _-0.11 _ 1.33 __8.33 _15.67 _23.06 _26.33 _24.00 _17.61 _10.33 _ 7.33 _-3.94 __ 11.06 1877 ___-2.39 _ 2.78 _ 2.11 __8.72 _15.33 _21.22 _23.89 _24.11 _19.39 _13.22 _ 6.94 _ 3.00 __ 11.56 1878 ___-0.94 _ 0.11 _ 6.72 _11.83 _15.22 _19.83 _25.44 _23.44 _20.17 _14.83 _ 6.56 _ 0.44 __ 12.00 1879 ___-2.83 _-2.22 _ 4.44 __9.11 _17.39 _21.22 _23.89 _22.22 _17.39 _15.72 _ 6.33 _ 2.94 __ 11.28 1880 ___ 4.00 _ 2.89 _ 2.50 _ 10.00 _19.94 _22.83 _23.83 _22.61 _19.50 _12.00 _ 3.72 _-3.06 __ 11.72 1881 ___-4.16 _-1.93 _ 2.51 __7.84 _16.73 _18.34 _23.07 _23.12 _22.90 _14.79 _ 7.23 _ 4.01 __ 11.23 1882 ___-1.88 _ 1.68 _ 4.57 __8.57 _13.57 _22.01 _24.23 _22.90 _19.40 _13.84 _ 3.90 _-0.88 __ 11.01 1883 ___-3.88 _-1.10 _ 0.29 __8.29 _16.07 _23.23 _23.51 _21.23 _16.90 _11.12 _ 6.40 _-0.10 __ 10.18 1884 ___-4.16 _ 1.01 _ 3.07 __8.84 _15.34 _21.73 _22.07 _23.07 _22.12 _14.18 _ 6.73 _ 0.79 __ 11.23 1885 ___-1.54 _-5.27 _-0.88__9.57 _15.40 _21.57 _25.73 _22.34 _17.90 _12.18 _ 7.07 _ 1.96 __ 10.51 1886 ___-2.99 _-2.60 _ 3.01 _11.51 _15.57 _19.90 _23.68 _21.12 _18.40 _12.62 _ 6.90 _-1.43 __ 10.46 1887 ___-1.71 _-0.10 _ 0.07 __7.84 _17.57 _20.79 _25.57 _21.01 _16.46 _11.12 _ 5.12 _ 0.90 __ 10.40 1888 ___-5.10 _-1.60 _-1.21 __7.68 _14.34 _21.51 _21.40 _22.46 _17.01 __9.12 _ 7.40 _ 1.40 ___ 9.51 1889 ___ 1.96 _-2.43 _ 4.18 _10.57 _17.40 _21.29 _22.79 _21.34 _18.34 __9.73 _ 6.96 _ 4.34 __ 11.40 1890 ___ 3.01 _ 3.18 _ 1.90 __9.40 _15.62 _21.07 _22.73 _22.51 _19.40 _12.40 _ 6.51 _-1.27 __ 11.40 1891 ___ 0.80 _ 2.30 _ 1.91 __9.63 _14.13 _21.69 _22.24 _23.97 _21.80 _12.41 _ 6.63 _ 5.52 __ 11.91 1892 ___-0.48 _ 0.58 _ 1.02 __9.13 _14.91 _22.86 _23.63 _23.30 _17.97 _11.47 _ 6.13 _-0.09 __ 10.86 1893 ___-4.76 _-1.64 _ 1.74 __7.80 _14.36 _19.86 _22.91 _22.86 _17.19 _13.24 _ 5.86 _ 1.19 __ 10.02 1894 ___ 0.69 _-2.09 _ 5.80 __9.36 _15.86 _21.13 _23.69 _21.24 _20.24 _12.74 _ 5.08 _ 2.47 __ 11.36 1895 ___-1.42 _-4.59 _ 1.69 __9.86 _16.74 _22.52 _22.36 _24.02 _21.41 _11.19 _ 8.58 _ 3.19 __11.30 1896 ___-1.42 _-0.26 _ 0.13 _ 11.08 _19.24 _20.80 _24.69 _24.30 _19.41 _11.97 _ 9.74 _ 1.02 __ 11.74 1897 ___-0.87 _ 0.47 _ 4.69 _ 10.08 _16.19 _19.52 _24.19 _22.69 _19.24 _13.47 _ 7.58 _ 3.30 __ 11.69 1898 ___ 1.63 _ 1.91 _ 7.36 __ 8.52 _14.47 _21.58 _24.30 _23.86 _21.08 _15.08 _ 7.36 _ 1.24 __ 12.36 1899 ___-0.53 _-2.48 _ 3.08 __9.52 _16.63 _23.19 _24.36 _23.80 _18.74 _14.58 _ 7.58 _ 3.24 __ 11.80 1900 ___-0.31 _-1.14 _ 0.58 __9.80 _15.13 _21.19 _24.47 _24.36 _21.19 _16.08 _ 9.30 _ 2.19 __ 11.91 1901 ___-0.02 _-3.47 _ 3.26 __ 8.48 _13.81 _21.14 _25.09 _23.59 _19.81 _12.98 _ 3.98 _ 1.76 __ 10.87 1902 ___-1.08 _-1.58 _ 6.59 _ 10.03 _14.64 _19.03 _22.37 _21.87 _18.98 _14.26 _10.59_-0.02 __ 11.31 1903 ___-1.19 _ 0.37 _ 8.48 _ 10.81 _16.81 _17.59 _23.37 _20.31 _19.14 _14.14 _ 5.37 _-0.58 __ 11.20 1904 ___-4.02 _-3.97 _ 2.14 __ 7.81 _17.14 _20.92 _23.37 _22.48 _19.03 _11.81 _ 5.48 _-1.24 __ 10.09 1905 ___-1.80 _-4.30 _ 4.37 __ 9.64 _16.09 _20.76 _24.76 _23.20 _20.59 _14.92 _ 6.42 _ 3.53 __ 11.53 1906 ___ 3.26 _ 0.14 _ 1.70 _ 10.59 _16.98 _22.81 _24.76 _24.76 _20.87 _13.87 _ 7.20 _ 0.92 __ 12.31 1907 ___ 1.31 _-3.69 _ 5.53 __7.87 _13.14 _20.03 _24.92 _22.70 _19.09 _11.20 _ 7.59 _ 3.48 __ 11.09 1908 ___ 0.53 _-2.80 _ 4.92 _ 10.92 _17.14 _22.48 _26.26 _24.03 _20.03 _15.70 _ 7.92 _ 2.81 __ 12.48 1909 ___ 1.20 _ 2.87 _ 2.92 __ 8.81 _15.81 _21.98 _22.76 _22.03 _19.03 _12.20 _ 9.42 _-0.08 __ 11.59 1910 ___-0.80 _-1.41 _ 5.81 _ 12.53 _15.81 _20.09 _24.81 _21.92 _20.48 _14.59 _ 5.42 _-1.41 __ 11.48 1911 ___ 1.99 _-0.79 _ 1.10 __ 8.38 _17.43 _20.60 _24.93 _22.27 _19.38 _13.04 _ 5.54 _ 3.71 __ 11.49 1912 ___-5.01 _-2.18 _ 2.71 __9.82 _16.43 _20.54 _23.88 _21.66 _18.82 _14.71 _ 8.38 _ 3.66 __ 11.10 1913 ___ 4.49 _-0.79 _ 6.71 _ 10.99 _15.54 _20.99 _24.10 _22.60 _17.71 _14.38 _ 8.10 _ 3.32 __ 12.38 1914 ___-0.68 _-4.07 _ 2.10 __ 8.43 _17.66 _20.10 _21.88 _23.27 _18.99 _14.82 _ 6.54 _-0.62 __ 10.71 1915 ___ 0.99 _ 1.77 _ 2.27 _ 12.04 _14.60 _19.60 _22.88 _21.60 _20.71 _13.88 _ 7.54 _ 0.43 __ 11.54 1916 ___ 1.82 _-2.68 _-0.18 __ 8.71 _15.93 _18.32 _23.71 _23.38 _19.27 _13.88 _ 7.10 _ 0.71 __ 10.82 1917 ___ 0.10 _-2.46 _ 3.66 __ 8.71 _11.99 _20.88 _23.99 _24.16 _17.16 _11.27 _ 4.93 _-4.29 ___ 9.99 1918 ___-6.12 _-1.29 _ 5.21 __ 9.99 _18.10 _19.49 _23.27 _24.32 _17.32 _14.60 _ 7.71 _ 3.71 __ 11.38 1919 ___ 2.40 _ 1.21 _ 5.88 __ 9.60 _16.27 _21.21 _23.54 _21.32 _19.38 _14.71 _ 6.93 _-1.40 __ 11.71 1920 ___-5.18 _-2.34 _ 3.99 __ 8.54 _14.49 _20.27 _22.82 _23.10 _19.88 _15.77 _ 6.49 _ 2.54 __ 10.88 1921 ___ 0.28 _ 0.61 _ 8.61 _ 12.89 _15.72 _21.28 _24.67 _21.50 _21.78 _13.00 _ 6.56 _-0.22 __ 12.22 1922 ___-2.61 _ 0.39 _ 4.50 _ 10.33 _17.61 _21.61 _22.67 _21.94 _19.61 _14.06 _ 7.11 _ 0.39 __ 11.44 1923 ___-1.61 _-3.72 _ 2.17 __ 9.67 _15.06 _22.50 _22.72 _22.06 _19.67 _12.83 _ 6.83 _ 5.06 __ 11.11 1924 ___-0.11 _-2.22 _ 3.50 __ 9.00 _13.56 _19.39 _22.89 _23.00 _17.33 _13.44 _ 6.39 _ 0.61 __ 10.56 1925 ___-2.50 _ 2.78 _ 6.28 _ 10.50 _14.83 _23.00 _22.61 _22.44 _19.94 _ 9.83 _ 6.11 _ 1.06 __ 11.39 1926 ___-0.50 _-2.06 _ 1.56 __ 8.00 _15.11 _18.83 _23.44 _22.83 _18.22 _12.33 _ 6.67 _-2.22 __ 10.17 1927 ___-1.11 _ 1.94 _ 5.61 __ 8.72 _14.50 _19.11 _22.83 _19.78 _19.44 _14.83 _ 9.06 _ 2.11 __ 11.39 1928 ___ 0.61 _ 0.06 _ 3.28 __ 8.61 _14.72 _19.17 _23.89 _23.61 _17.67 _14.44 _ 8.06 _ 3.56 __ 11.50 1929 ___-0.56 _ 0.00 _ 6.78 _ 10.06 _16.00 _21.44 _23.89 _22.33 _20.28 _12.06 _7.39 _ 1.61 __ 11.78 1930 ___ 0.22 _ 2.28 _ 4.11 __ 8.61 _17.11 _22.56 _24.17 _22.61 _21.72 _12.61 _ 7.00 _ 0.94 __ 12.00 1931 ___-0.16 _ 0.46 _ 4.01 _ 10.01 _15.79 _20.90 _24.68 _23.40 _21.79 _15.68 _10.46_ 4.40 __ 12.62 1932 ___ 5.62 _ 1.68 _ 2.34 __ 8.84 _16.07 _20.79 _23.90 _24.23 _20.23 _14.12 _ 6.01 _ 3.34 __ 12.29 1933 ___ 4.01 _ 0.57 _ 2.96 __ 9.62 _17.40 _21.84 _23.73 _23.23 _20.29 _12.79 _ 4.84 _-0.21 __ 11.73 1934 ___ 0.90 _-7.32 _ 2.34 __ 9.57 _17.01 _22.62 _24.79 _21.62 _20.07 _11.90 _ 8.79 _ 0.18 __ 11.07 1935 ___-2.32 _-1.04 _ 5.73 __ 9.29 _14.90 _20.57 _24.51 _23.12 _17.90 _13.57 _ 8.62 _-1.71 __ 11.12 1936 ___-2.10 _-4.10 _ 6.73 __ 8.23 _17.40 _20.40 _23.96 _23.51 _19.51 _13.62 _ 5.34 _ 3.07 __ 11.29 1937 ___ 3.96 _ 0.96 _ 1.90 __ 9.18 _17.29 _21.51 _24.18 _24.18 _18.29 _12.40 _ 7.40 _ 1.29 __ 11.90 1938 ___-0.54 _ 1.29 _ 6.18 _ 11.46 _15.40 _20.68 _24.18 _25.07 _18.29 _14.84 _ 8.46 _ 2.18 __ 12.29 1939 ___-0.49 _ 2.18 _ 3.40 __ 8.46 _17.68 _22.18 _24.18 _25.01 _19.73 _13.46 _ 5.90 _ 2.12 __ 12.01 1940 ___-4.49 _-0.10 _ 1.12 __ 7.62 _15.34 _20.73 _23.96 _21.29 _18.62 _11.51 _ 6.79 _ 2.96 __ 10.46 1941 ___-2.14 _-1.20 _ 1.47 _ 13.13 _17.52 _21.47 _23.63 _22.63 _20.41 _15.24 _ 9.30_ 2.80 __ 12.02 1942 ___-1.42 _-1.98 _ 5.41 _ 11.41 _17.80 _20.97 _23.91 _22.41 _19.47 _14.19 _ 7.63 _-1.20 __ 11.58 1943 ___-1.37 _ 0.74 _ 3.86 __ 7.13 _16.30 _23.86 _24.24 _23.69 _18.97 _12.47 _ 6.74 _-0.14 __ 11.36 1944 ___ 0.36 _-0.03 _ 2.41 __ 8.69 _18.74 _21.69 _25.63 _24.74 _20.47 _13.24 _ 7.08 _-0.48 __ 11.86 1945 ___-4.53 _ 0.36 _ 9.91 _ 12.41 _14.41 _20.91 _22.97 _22.30 _20.58 _12.74 _ 7.97 _-1.26 __ 11.58 1946 ___ 0.47 _-0.87 _ 9.19 __ 9.52 _15.91 _20.24 _23.41 _20.91 _20.30 _15.80 _ 9.58_ 2.58 __ 12.24 1947 ___ 2.19 _-2.20 _ 2.52 __ 9.58 _14.80 _19.52 _23.47 _23.74 _19.63 _16.86 _ 6.08 _ 0.41 __ 11.41 1948 ___-4.37 _-1.42 _ 4.91 _- 9.86 _14.97 _20.08 _24.41 _23.30 _20.58 _13.02 _10.63_ 2.80 __ 11.58 1949 ___ 2.97 _ 2.97 _ 5.36 _ 11.41 _16.58 _22.80 _25.74 _24.13 _18.30 _16.58 _ 7.24 _ 3.41 __ 13.13 1950 ___ 4.52 _-0.92 _ 1.74 __ 8.47 _14.19 _20.58 _23.19 _22.13 _17.52 _14.86 _ 8.41 _ 0.97 __ 11.30 1951 ___ 1.70 _ 1.53 _ 4.48 _ 10.87 _16.59 _20.20 _24.09 _22.81 _19.31 _13.98 _ 5.59 _ 2.87 __ 11.98 1952 ___ 1.53 _ 1.53 _ 3.76 _ 11.98 _15.14 _22.31 _26.03 _23.03 _20.26 _12.37 _ 8.42 _ 2.76 __ 12.42 1953 ___ 2.31 _ 2.76 _ 5.53 _ 10.48 _16.64 _22.31 _24.64 _23.53 _20.53 _15.14 _ 9.03 _ 4.37 __ 13.09 1954 ___-1.47 _3.70 _ 4.53 _ 11.31 _14.64 _21.20 _24.03 _21.87 _18.87 _15.70 _ 7.20 _ 1.37 __ 11.92 1955 ___-1.36 _0.87 _ 4.59 _ 11.14 _17.76 _19.70 _26.37 _24.81 _19.09 _14.64 _ 6.03 _-2.08 __ 11.81 1956 ___-0.80 _ 1.76 _ 2.20 __ 8.20 _14.03 _21.09 _21.92 _22.64 _17.42 _13.70 _ 7.37 _ 4.14 __ 11.14 1957 ___-2.74 _ 2.14 _ 4.70 _ 10.98 _16.48 _22.70 _24.59 _22.31 _20.14 _12.64 _ 8.87 _ 3.76 __ 12.20 1958 ___-0.86 _-3.36 _ 3.81 _ 10.81 _14.26 _18.76 _23.70 _23.20 _18.98 _12.26 _ 8.03 _-2.24 __ 10.59 1959 ___-1.30 _-0.74 _ 3.70 _ 11.31 _18.31 _20.98 _23.81 _24.48 _21.59 _14.64 _ 6.87 _ 2.76 __ 12.20 1960 ___ 0.26 _ 1.59 _-0.08 _ 11.48 _16.20 _21.31 _22.87 _23.03 _19.20 _13.70 _ 9.03 _-1.41 __ 11.42 1961 ___-3.29 _ 1.71 _ 4.38 __ 8.54 _14.60 _21.49 _24.71 _23.77 _22.21 _15.27 _ 8.43 _ 1.04 __ 11.93 1962 ___-0.57 _-1.01 _ 5.27 _ 10.93 _17.16 _21.60 _22.43 _21.54 _17.38 _13.21 _ 5.32 _-1.18 __ 10.99 1963 ___-1.96 _-2.97 _ 5.60 _ 11.16 _15.27 _20.71 _23.77 _21.38 _16.38 _15.66 _ 9.32_-1.34 __ 11.10 1964 ___ 2.96 _-0.40 _ 5.27 __ 8.93 _17.66 _21.10 _23.21 _21.82 _18.66 _11.88 _ 8.77 _ 1.54 __ 11.66 1965 ___-2.18 _ 0.16 _ 3.54 __ 9.43 _18.21 _20.27 _22.60 _21.99 _18.82 _13.16 _ 7.32 _ 3.82 __ 11.43 1966 ___-0.79 _ 0.82 _ 5.04 __ 8.93 _15.54 _23.21 _25.60 _24.04 _18.27 _12.54 _ 8.49 _ 1.16 __ 11.93 1967 ___ 2.10 _-2.46 _ 2.21 __ 8.88 _11.99 _21.77 _23.16 _22.38 _18.38 _13.10 _ 4.93 _ 2.54 __ 10.77 1968 ___-3.84 _-2.62 _ 5.38 _ 11.88 _14.43 _20.04 _24.27 _23.54 _20.54 _14.93 _ 7.38 _ 0.38 __ 11.38 1969 ___-1.01 _-0.57 _ 3.60 _ 12.38 _17.60 _21.93 _22.88 _24.32 _19.66 _13.38 _ 7.10 _-0.12 __ 11.77 1970 ___-4.73 _-0.34 _ 2.82 _ 10.27 _16.88 _20.71 _24.16 _24.43 _20.66 _14.04 _ 8.27 _ 0.43 __ 11.49 1971 ___-3.78 _ 0.72 _ 3.50 __ 9.44 _15.33 _22.44 _24.44 _23.39 _21.00 _16.06 _ 6.28 _ 3.89 __ 11.89 1972 ___ 0.72 _-1.33 _ 3.33 __ 9.06 _16.39 _18.94 _24.11 _23.22 _19.83 _10.94 _ 5.89 _ 2.61 __ 11.17 1973 ___ 0.94 _-0.72 _ 7.00 _ 10.89 _14.28 _22.00 _24.22 _24.33 _19.83 _14.67 _ 8.06 _ 2.89 __ 12.39 1974 ___ 0.83 _-1.17 _ 4.61 _ 11.89 _15.11 _19.56 _24.11 _23.67 _18.28 _11.28 _ 8.00 _ 3.11 __ 11.61 1975 ___ 1.94 _ 1.11 _ 3.56 __ 7.83 _17.78 _20.39 _23.33 _22.56 _16.89 _14.11 _10.28 _ 1.17 __ 11.72 1976 ___-3.56 _ 3.39 _ 5.89 _ 11.78 _14.67 _21.89 _22.78 _22.50 _18.22 _10.61 _ 4.39 _-2.17 __ 10.89 1977 ___-6.50 _-0.17 _ 7.22 _ 11.06 _17.33 _20.22 _25.11 _23.28 _19.11 _11.72 _ 7.50 _ 1.06 __ 11.39 1978 ___-3.22 _-3.67 _ 2.89 __ 9.89 _15.39 _20.83 _22.56 _23.44 _17.33 _11.72 _ 7.78 _ 2.83 __ 10.67 1979 ___-0.11 _-4.61 _ 7.28 _ 10.44 _17.50 _19.67 _23.94 _23.89 _20.39 _13.06 _10.39 _ 4.06 __ 12.17 1980 ___-0.06 _-1.33 _ 4.11 _ 11.50 _17.67 _20.28 _25.28 _25.83 _20.56 _11.89 _ 6.00 _-0.72 __ 11.78 1981 ___-4.27 _ 2.96 _ 4.62 _ 12.34 _17.12 _21.68 _24.73 _23.34 _18.68 _11.34 _ 7.62 _ 1.40 __ 11.79 1982 ___-4.38 _ 0.73 _ 4.46 __ 9.57 _16.73 _19.23 _24.40 _21.79 _19.07 _13.62 _ 9.12_ 4.90 __ 11.62 1983 ___ 0.29 _ 1.34 _ 5.57 _ 10.18 _14.57 _21.90 _25.29 _24.29 _21.01 _13.29 _ 8.29 _ 0.68 __ 12.23 1984 ___-2.27 _ 3.68 _ 1.51 __ 9.96 _15.34 _22.51 _22.62 _23.73 _17.73 _15.46 _ 7.40 _ 5.46 __ 11.96 1985 ___-2.88 _ 1.46 _ 6.57 _ 11.96 _17.40 _19.23 _23.46 _23.01 _20.29 _14.18 _ 8.90_ 0.12 __ 11.96 1986 ___ 0.07 _-1.10 _ 6.18 _ 11.40 _17.79 _20.90 _23.34 _21.73 _18.84 _13.34 _ 6.51 _ 2.79 __ 11.84 1987 ___-0.93 _-0.43 _ 6.23 _ 10.79 _16.46 _21.57 _24.46 _22.34 _18.84 _11.01 _ 7.62 _ 3.07 __ 11.73 1988 ___-2.49 _ 0.57 _ 5.34 __ 9.57 _15.96 _21.01 _25.18 _24.90 _18.57 _10.46 _ 8.57 _ 1.07 __ 11.57 1989 ___ 1.90 _ 0.29 _ 4.68 _ 10.12 _15.62 _21.12 _22.79 _22.23 _18.96 _13.46 _ 6.51 _-4.49 __ 11.12 1990 ___ 4.12 _ 3.23 _ 6.18 _ 10.84 _14.57 _21.18 _23.79 _22.96 _18.62 _15.51 _ 9.12_ 4.79 __ 12.90 1991 ___ 0.51 _ 3.34 _ 5.90 _ 12.07 _19.29 _22.29 _24.29 _23.96 _18.62 _13.01 _ 7.96 _ 3.12 __ 12.90 1992 ___ 0.96 _ 1.34 _ 3.34 __ 9.18 _15.01 _20.18 _22.34 _21.68 _18.46 _11.40 _ 6.96 _ 2.18 __ 11.07 1993 ___ 1.29 _-1.77 _ 3.18 _ 10.73 _17.62 _21.84 _25.68 _24.01 _18.51 _12.23 _ 8.23 _ 1.84 __ 11.96 1994 ___-4.66 _-1.88 _ 3.73 _ 12.01 _15.46 _22.90 _25.23 _22.23 _18.68 _13.34 _10.01_ 4.57 __ 11.79 1995 ___ 1.96 _-1.32 _ 6.12 __ 9.96 _15.51 _21.01 _25.12 _24.79 _19.07 _15.34 _ 5.34 _-0.88 __ 11.84 1996 ___-1.93 _-1.04 _ 2.73 _ 10.12 _15.07 _20.79 _21.90 _22.51 _18.90 _12.46 _ 5.01 _ 4.07 __ 10.96 1997 ___-0.99 _ 3.34 _ 4.40 __ 9.84 _14.12 _20.51 _23.23 _21.84 _18.34 _12.68 _ 5.84 _ 2.40 __ 11.29 1998 ___ 3.34 _ 3.68 _ 6.34 _ 11.12 _16.84 _19.57 _23.62 _23.73 _20.12 _13.12 _ 7.84 _ 5.12 __ 12.90 1999 ___-0.04 _ 2.73 _ 4.73 _ 10.84 _16.18 _21.79 _26.34 _23.07 _19.51 _12.23 _ 9.23_ 3.34 __ 12.51 2000 ___-1.49 _ 1.84 _ 7.34 __ 9.46 _16.40 _20.73 _21.29 _21.51 _17.79 _12.79 _ 6.29 _-1.60 __ 11.07 2001 ___-0.21 _ 1.07 _ 3.12 _ 11.23 _16.57 _21.62 _21.79 _24.84 _18.73 _13.62 _10.40 _ 5.62 __ 12.40 2002 ___ 3.29 _ 3.68 _ 5.62 _ 12.29 _14.84 _20.79 _24.90 _24.29 _20.12 _11.79 _ 6.68 _ 1.12 __ 12.46 2003 ___-3.60 _-2.16 _ 5.07 __ 8.79 _13.73 _19.07 _23.23 _23.73 _18.84 _11.73 _ 8.90_ 2.01 __ 10.79 2004 ___-5.16 _ 0.57 _ 5.29 _ 10.90 _17.34 _20.68 _22.51 _22.34 _19.62 _12.23 _ 7.90 _ 2.46 __ 11.40 2005 ___-1.49 _ 1.40 _ 3.01 _ 11.73 _14.34 _22.23 _24.18 _25.40 _21.84 _13.29 _ 8.68 _ 0.73 __ 12.12 2006 ___ 3.84 _ 0.96 _ 5.07 _ 12.07 _16.18 _20.57 _24.40 _23.23 _18.12 _12.34 _ 9.96_ 5.34 __ 12.68 2007 ___ 1.96 _-3.21 _ 4.57 __ 9.07 _17.34 _20.79 _22.79 _22.23 _20.18 _16.46 _ 6.34_ 1.68 __ 11.68 2008 ___ 1.40 _ 1.01 _ 4.79 _ 11.62 _14.51 _22.23 _24.68 _22.12 _19.34 _11.73 _ 6.57 _ 2.29 __ 11.84 2009 ___-3.38 _ 1.51 _ 4.68 _ 11.40 _15.84 _18.62 _21.51 _23.18 _17.96 _11.68 _ 9.57_ 1.07 __ 11.12 2010 ___-0.82 _-0.49 _ 7.90 _ 13.29 _17.40 _22.62 _26.29 _24.12 _20.62 _13.40 _7.73 _-0.66 __ 12.62 2011 ___-2.38 _ 1.12 _ 4.62 _ 11.29 _16.96 _21.29 _25.68 _22.96 _20.01 _12.84 _ 9.96_ 5.18 __ 12.46 2012 ___ 1.84 _ 3.84 _ 9.40_ 11.57 _17.29 _20.57 _24.90 _23.73 _19.34 _13.34 _ 5.51 _ 4.18 __ 12.96 2013 ___ 0.62 _-0.04 _ 3.40 _ 10.57 _16.01 _21.51 _25.46 _22.57 _18.84 _14.57 _ 6.29 _ 2.51 __ 11.84 2014 ___-2.99 _-1.32 _ 2.07 _ 10.18 _16.68 _21.40 _23.40 _22.51 _19.84 _14.23 _ 6.29 _ 3.62 __ 11.34 2015 ___-2.27 _-5.60 _ 2.29 _ 11.29 _19.18 _20.68 _24.90 _25.01 _22.51 _13.34 _10.46_ 9.34__ 12.62 2016 ___ 0.29 _ 2.07 _ 8.29 _ 10.73 _16.01 _21.29 _24.84 _25.12 _21.01 _13.79 _ 8.79 _ 2.40 __ 12.90 2017 ___ 2.23 _ 4.23 _ 2.90 _ 12.90 _15.07 _21.12 _23.79 _22.23 _20.29 _16.73 _ 7.01 _-0.32 __ 12.40 2018 ___-1.27 _ 4.46 _ 3.40 __ 8.62 _18.29 _20.96 _24.23 _24.51 _20.40 _13.18 _ 5.79 _ 3.40 __ 12.18 2019 ___-0.82 _ 1.23 _ 4.29 _ 11.96 _15.68 _20.96 _25.34 _23.07 _20.23 _14.40 _ 5.51 _ 2.40 __ 12.01 2020 ___ 2.90 _ 3.40 _ 7.79 __ 9.12 _15.62 _22.07 _25.57
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