swfc
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes pal outlook none to shabby unlike our football teamsDo you see the pv splitting at 10pha. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes it was evident at 144/168 hrs. Good move nhp wise by the ec be it fi, caveats etc -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Big upgrade ec 12z -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ec 12z at 168 hrs shows pv disruption to a degree and wedgy type heighths svalbard and further north. Incremental but there seems to be picking up the signal nh wise -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
swfc replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Your correct there tbh. The cold is there but the insipid heighths to our south generally scupper it -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Speedy recovery and best wishes -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
12z continues its fi playing with heights in various forms and positions. Good to see but best keep that powder dry imo. Strat at 10pha still looking strong etc. See what the next 7 days bring on the output -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Blessings to everyone. Good times ahead next year for everyone and hopefully some great weather, whatever your preference -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All the best pal. Nice to see you back -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi. Is the 20hpa visible on metiociel Ba. Tia -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Look way nne ie pressure rise and heighths rising in the Atlantic. Ive screenshot the 7th, ive got a feeling thats the timeframe for change, hopefully -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If you look north east of svalbard on the gfs 18z on the nhp then switch to the 10hpa strat its pretty impressive -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Slightly better gfs 18z at 144/150 hr mark. Pressure to the ssw not as strong and lower heights to the south. Al caveats but its there -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Similar looking chart in January 87.max temp - 6 in a moderate easterly and heavy snow -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sounds like fire water language -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Mountain tongue -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So another xmas approaches and new year. For some its not been the best year for various reasons. Enjoy your time with family and friends and have a great xmas. Hopefully the new year also brings some great output and Northwestsnows wedges =sledges phrase comes to fruition. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sorry i cant see it? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Again mate. How can it be so different in 24 hrs. If so where is the credibility -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Im struggling with the ec 46 comments and the ecm isnt without interest. Its the same thing every time a couple of good ops show a good nhp. If the professional forecasts arnt on board dont go hyper on any run. Best just sit back and watch it play out. Showing ec 46 charts for mid/late january and saying bingo is irrelivent. The same posters say anthing over 144 hrs is fi. Then its the "background" signals are positive. Im pretty sure over the next three months there will be a cold spell but stop talking things up what arnt in the reliable time frames -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good chart but it's a perennial let down -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Did shannon ever work behind bar in travelers arms Sheffield Relax folks its only 18th December -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
18z gfs be it fi is a pretty good nhp. Pv moves east and none to shabby heighths up the the north Atlantic -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
swfc replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Can just envisage the polar bears heading south on the m1