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Everything posted by snowflakey

  1. Just thought Id post this snap shot from gfs, and seems to indicate a slight north of East flow along the cannel. this may do us a IOWers a better chance of snow. Sorry singularity this post was meant as a reply to your post, where you alluded to a maritime influence along the south coast, but I couldn't find it when I scrolled though.
  2. Hope so, its all looking a bit marginal for us IOW people (IMO), but I've been wrong more times than I've been wright . Fingers crossed.
  3. Yep, very critical to far north and we re on the warm side, direct hit and weve got a maritime influence. Just far enough south that we stay in the cold air is what we wont.
  4. Thought Id get a front row seat for the up and coming snow fest Tues. Wed, but in reality being stuck in the middle of the channel in a PM air mas all seems a bit to marginal. Still would be nice to be pleasantly surprised.
  5. Yes I to prefer the Wetterzentrale, although the map get distorted the further north you go, it looks more like a map to me, also on the ens graphs the average temp is shown as well as the ens mean.
  6. I do think that a change to a much colder easterly set up is closer than we think, sorry this sounds a little vague, but it has been hinted at on the other model forum.
  7. To me that's looks like a very cold HP building over Scandy, if I'm reading this wright then that's 528 blue shading and a 1030mb HP.
  8. Thanks for the reply Offerman, I'm still quite confident that the HP will retrogress into a more favourable position, fingers crossed.
  9. Looks quite mobile this morning with a cool zonal flow. The snap shot indicates a transient cold spell where the country is bathed in sub 528 for a short time. Let hope the models revert back to a more amplified setup latter on in the day.
  10. Goodnight all, had a great day reading everyone's comments in hear tonight. I'm sure things will look a lot better in the morning, and the slider will improve the outlook.
  11. Going by that graph we have just had the highest temp or the foreseeable at 6am this morning, hope so
  12. wow very impressive. The battle of the PV is usually between the Canadian and Siberian lobes, not that I know what I'm talking about
  13. I know GFS tends to overdoes these Atlantic storms , but one to watch in the next few days I feel
  14. Yes ,its been a pain for a long time now. I think it was that HP that deflected the last plunge of cold air into Europe .
  15. Many thanks Phil for the explanation, I did think that the HP forming over the pole was a reaction to the ssw. Also there's a good explanation of ssw on the BBC weather site (Tom Schafemaker). Pete.
  16. Both gfs and ecm hinting at retrogression, with the ecm being slightly more amplified around the 168t mark.
  17. Seems as though the mood has changed on the "hunt for cold" forum, maybe something to look forward in the new year.
  18. Mixed feelings we seem to have a rather strong looking jet right over us, but also a GH trying to form.
  19. Snow level dropping, with the first dusting showing up on the mountains of Longyearbyen www.webcamgalore.com/webcam/Norway/Longyearbyen-Spitsbergen/1457.html
  20. Must be a bit of a muppet replying to my own post, but at least it gets me past my 100th post. I see the bbc have edged the temp up a degree or to, there now predicting 37-38 for Friday, quite close but a big ask for 40c, still not a bad prediction for an idiot
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