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Everything posted by The Eagle
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Hurricane Lorenzo
The Eagle replied to Lauren's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Always worth remembering the track can change at short notice. Some runs have this potentially impacting southern parts of UK or even through Biscay and in to France.- 124 replies
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Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2019.
The Eagle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well, we'll certainly look forward to that! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2019.
The Eagle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Transitioning Tropical Storm, same as Hurricane Ophelia for example. They won't provide updates when fully transitioned. NHC was providing regular updates right up to landfall. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2019.
The Eagle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Wouldn't be surprised if Met Eireann and the Met Office were in touch with NHC on potential impacts on Ire/UK respectively soon if not already. Still a way to go though. GFS 6z consistent enough with the 00z regarding potential track. -
Hurricane Lorenzo
The Eagle replied to Lauren's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Latest (10 am advisory) from NHC. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/280844.shtml?- 124 replies
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- stormlorenzo
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Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2019.
The Eagle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Latest (10 am advisory) from NHC. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/280844.shtml? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2019.
The Eagle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Long way to go but the similarities with Ophelia are striking (even though that path was east of the Azores). -
Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2019.
The Eagle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Bye! -
Hurricane Lorenzo
The Eagle replied to Lauren's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Yup, still could go many ways. Some fairly notable evolutions out there though I still favor the track to the west of Ireland keeping it off shore I think. Should be interesting to track this.- 124 replies
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Hurricane Lorenzo
The Eagle replied to Lauren's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Ophelia-esque evolution on the 12z ECM. This could be one to watch.- 124 replies
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Hurricane Lorenzo
The Eagle replied to Lauren's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Potentially serious storm for parts of the Azores.- 124 replies
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Tropical Storm Gabrielle
The Eagle replied to Lauren's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Might have minor impacts in western Ireland. Doubt it will reach the UK in any noticable form. It's nothing on the models at that stage. -
Storms and Convective Discussion - 25th June 2019 onwards
The Eagle replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Orange weather warning for thunderstorms just issued for eastern Ireland. Status Orange - Thunder warning for Leinster, Cavan, Monaghan and Waterford Thunderstorms will affect the eastern half of the country this morning with heavy downpours, the risk of hail and gusty winds. Temporary surface flooding is possible for a time, combined with the risk of hail will lead to hazardous driving conditions in some areas. Valid: Saturday 29 June 2019 05:00 to Saturday 29 June 2019 12:00 https://www.met.ie/warnings -
Storms and Convective Discussion - 25th June 2019 onwards
The Eagle replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
On track for the southeast and Dublin probably. https://en.sat24.com/en/gb/visual -
Storms and Convective Discussion - 25th June 2019 onwards
The Eagle replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Looking intense for Galway tomorrow... -
Red warning extended to county Kerry in Ireland. https://www.met.ie/warnings
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An entertaining day in the midlands and east of Ireland with widespread snowfall here. Clearing now.
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Belting down snow in Dublin now! :D
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Model discussion - Warm spell ending as Spring begins
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Nice. Temps over 20 to snow in the space of less than a week! (Ireland) -
It doesn't quite make it this time but some significant short term changes there that could make things interesting again. Down to the other models now.
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That's the 00z, some potentially significant short term changes.
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Give me hope ICON!
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Who likes snow? Looking like a rain to snow event for Monday. I expect a couple of cms before it clears off later in the evening.
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Model output discussion - cold proper on the way?
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Frustrating. There is our chance at 96 hrs but would require an unlikely miracle at this stage unfortunately. Just can't get the connection between the mid Atlantic high and Artic high. A tad too much energy through the GIN corridor. -
Model output discussion - cold proper on the way?
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
While everyone is rightly disappointed with the longer term still snow for many Monday and Tuesday! Also I think there is still scope for big changes in the next couple of days for the next week or two. It's not over by any means...