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Winter 2019/20 | Moans, Ramps & Chat
The Eagle replied to Summer Sun's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Video of snow in west of Ireland by joujoujou, boards.ie. There was 10cm at Knock airport overnight. Snow dying out now or returning to sleet and rain across the country. -
Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!
The Eagle replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This is the most exciting winter since last year in my considered opinion. -
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Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!
The Eagle replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Inspiring ECM this evening by day 10... ...for an early Spring -
Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!
The Eagle replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM positive at day 9 but progresses a common garden toppler on day 10 Be interesting to see to what extent we can get to something colder and more sustainable over a period of a few days rather than just 24 hours and a good frost. Trend is much better though than a few days a go. -
Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!
The Eagle replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well at least it's something! *sigh* -
Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!
The Eagle replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And the weather? Sorry, it was an open goal I couldn't resist... -
Model output discussion - into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Across the board is pretty hopeless alright. How not busy this thread is for the time of year says it all really. My hopes are pinned on changes emerging in the second half of the month running in to February. Mid month mean GFS -
Model output discussion - into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All the models are in default zonal mode with the pattern. The forecast accuracy stretches out further in these situations so yeah, very little positive to go on for coldies. Going to take something special to break this down and the way the strat temperature profile is at the moment it looks like the PV will continue spinning like a washing machine on full blast for most if not all of this month. People are saying the fist half of January as a write off, looks longer than that to be honest. I'm always glass half full even now so hopefully something happens and we get a quick flip on an important signal in the next couple of weeks. -
#NameOurStorms: is it a good idea?
The Eagle replied to Thunderbolt_'s topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I'm not sure I follow the argument. You have three agencies now naming the storms - UK, Ireland, Netherlands (new for this year). Storms affect each country differently or not at all. I would suggest your dispute is best aimed at the UK media. "90 MPH KILL STORM *NAME* ON THE WAY" I like the naming system personally. It makes a lot of sense and I think it works well even if warning systems are different. -
Model Output Discussion - Into November 2019
The Eagle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not the best at 168 hrs on that evidence for UKMO. -
Model Output Discussion - Into November 2019
The Eagle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
When do the UKMO charts update there? -
Model Output Discussion - Into November 2019
The Eagle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Northerly express probably setting up post 240 hrs but that's out in la la land. A lot of water to go under bridge. -
Model Output Discussion - Into November 2019
The Eagle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Everyone remain calm! -
Hurricane Lorenzo
The Eagle replied to Lauren's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
I think Atlantic coastal counties may get red warnings, yellow for everywhere else. Some eastern counties maybe no warning at all.- 124 replies
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Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2019.
The Eagle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes Steve. Irish Met and UK Met monitoring the situation with the NHC daily now. Clearly the "way out west" solution is not thought to fly with them at the moment. This could yet be an event. Nothing certain yet. -
Hurricane Lorenzo
The Eagle replied to Lauren's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
NAVGEM/GEM also have impact potential for Ireland at least, if not the UK. I dunno I think this will be interesting yet.- 124 replies
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Hurricane Lorenzo
The Eagle replied to Lauren's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Take your pick...- 124 replies
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Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2019.
The Eagle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Northerly incursion that early are a waste anyway -
Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2019.
The Eagle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Daily conference calls between Irish Met, UK Met and NHC underway regarding Lorenzo. A lot of uncertainty still over the track unlikely to be resolved today. Huge split in potential outcomes. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2019.
The Eagle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Probabilities creeping up. Lorenzo has also increase to Cat 5 status. -
Hurricane Lorenzo
The Eagle replied to Lauren's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Lorenzo is now a major Cat 5 hurricane with wind speeds above 155 mph.- 124 replies
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Hurricane Lorenzo
The Eagle replied to Lauren's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Lorenzo could conceivably hit Cat 5 status within the next 12 hours. This mornings model runs will be important for Ireland and the UK later on. There is no clarity yet really on the track of the system in to the mid latitude and how it taps the jet stream.- 124 replies
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Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2019.
The Eagle replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Lorenzo latest track. Slightly west of earlier but will fluctuate over coming days.