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The Eagle

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Everything posted by The Eagle

  1. The Eagle
    No worries! ICON 6z if anything pushing the cold air even further back over the weekend.
  2. The Eagle
    You could make the argument that what I describe did happen on the main models, that's true. You can never rule anything out but I wouldn't be pinning any hopes on it.
  3. The Eagle
    I would... There is not going to be the scale of change required at 2 - 3 days on any model to really impact the Christmas weekend at this stage. I'm all for optimism but there just isn't.
  4. The Eagle
    You're talking 48 to 72 hours out. Could it happen? I guess. Will it? Keeping it real no, it won't at this stage. It would take something really remarkable.
  5. The Eagle
    100% justified. If you see what you want to see and ignore runs or models that don't offer confirmation you're going to get in to trouble. The charts you posted illustrate perfectly regarding ICON why it's so good but others too. Just not the "main" ones referenced here so often.
  6. The Eagle
    It's over. It really is. Don't put yourself through it again
  7. The Eagle
    But it wasn't. Sure, there were changes around the edges but it was rock solid throughout otherwise.
  8. The Eagle
    Why? Some of us knew it was a bust long before. Which means it's not a bust to us.
  9. The Eagle
    Not saying anyone should ditch anything, just take all data in to account.
  10. The Eagle
    You'd be looking at max temps somewhere, between 16 and 18c there...
  11. The Eagle
    You could probably have an outdoor bbq on this
  12. The Eagle
    The all conquering ICON. Superb
  13. The Eagle
    Thoughts on the "cold spell" while watching the ECM come out...
  14. The Eagle
    And ECM 00z ends it completely, finished dead... It actually couldn't be any more dead.
  15. The Eagle
    The Japanese, a great bunch of lads...
  16. The Eagle
    ICON nailed this two days a go. Pity it was ignored by so many here for whatever reason. UKMO/GFS this morning mark the end of any remaining hopes for Christmas weekend. Let's hope it won't be too long for more excitement
  17. The Eagle
    ICON 00z same as always. It's great to see such consistency, unfortunately not the type we want.
  18. The Eagle
    To cheer things up a little I note the latest CFS 12z provides easterlies or northeasterlies through to January 6th...
  19. The Eagle
    Control run FWIW 850's (25th Saturday). 12z v 18z
  20. The Eagle
    I hope ICON gets the credit it should here because it has been absolutely consistent throughout as it has been many times since it was made available. There is ICON above and latest UKMO above that today. Consistent for the last few days and that's where the other models have mostly been converging to. It's proving again to be really worthwhile following! I think it's really good
  21. The Eagle
    Don't do drug kids edit: image fixed
  22. The Eagle
    ECM to 120 is 'meh'. Synoptically OK, some potential if it evolves in later runs but temperature wise nothing noteworthy away from northeast England/Scotland. We haven't really advanced toward more certainty today overall.
  23. The Eagle
    Summed up...
  24. The Eagle
    Imagine we were presented with this chart from the UKMO... Without knowing the temperature profile you'd be pretty disappointed on first look. Actually that GFS chart is a snow fest for some for a time.
  25. The Eagle
    ICON continues it's rock solid theme keeping the real cold air adrift over the Christmas weekend period and southerly/southeasterly winds entrenched for a time ahead of approaching low pressure. There is a bit of variability around the edges, and it may take some colder air further south by Monday, as always but we need to see a good bit more really in the not too distant future.
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