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About SnowBear

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    Colchester, Essex, UK (33m ASL)

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  1. Lol, I am sure more than a couple of people have come up with "StormX". I doubt Daniel even saw that.
  2. Must admit, it is a bit pointless and a waste of time too, we never had problems when they weren't named lol
  3. It would work if the agencies wanted it to work. In a couple of hours a set of lists for the next 20 years could be done quite easily and accepted by all. Not that hard to do.
  4. Tbh, all the European Met offices should come up with an agreed name list they work from, avoids confusion as we see today.
  5. Apparently the Metoffice didn't name it as the French Met named it Storm David. Pinned Tweet Met Office @metoffice · 2h For clarification #StormFionn named by @MetEireann affected Ireland on Tuesday night with minimal impact on the UK. Last night's gales were from #StormDavid named by French meteorological service @meteofrance.
  6. Just to put this storm into context with '87, there were an estimated 15 million, yes you read right, 15,000,000 trees downed in '87. Tree after tree after tree. Some roads were blocked for weeks, huge areas of Rendlesham Forest in Suffolk were flattened, chain saws were busy for weeks. I know as I was one of those using one! On top of that was flooding, widespread structural damage and nearly everyone's garden looking like a bomb had hit it. This was a mere breeze in comparison :-D
  7. Definitely no comparison to '87, not in the slightest.
  8. Hurricane Ophelia

    I don't think so, the dry air is circulating inwards at a lower level to those high cloud tops and it's giving the illusion of an eye. Bit difficult to explain without a bunch of illustrations. Essentially 2d pic doesn't always depict what is happening in 3d.
  9. Hurricane Ophelia

    It will be interesting to do a really good analysis on Ophelia after all is over. I think it could be seen to be a double transition, full tropical hurricane over 26°c+ water. Then into a rare "medicane" type hybrid drawing energy from the trough and in low shear/favourable environment for that type of tropical system and able to sustain strength over cooler waters. And lastly to a post/extra tropical.
  10. Hurricane Ophelia

    The joys of rural living :-D
  11. Hurricane Ophelia

    Please do heed warnings and be extra sensible if you try and get close to the sea to observe or indeed up mountains etc. If you do get into trouble invariably emergency services or the RNLI and mountain rescue teams, many of whom are volunteers, then have to get involved to rescue you because you were putting yourself needlessly at risk. Don't be stupid! On that note, to all emergency services who have to go out on shouts in the coming rough weather, thank you and come home safe!
  12. Hurricane Ophelia

    Just as an addition to my last post, Monday night is the time to watch any surge for the Bristol Channel, winds by then have backed to SW, but equally easing at the same time.
  13. Hurricane Ophelia

    Been thinking on this myself, one of the biggest tidal ranges in the world. It's possible it won't cause much in the Bristol channel itself as the winds at the moment will be parallel/offshore (eastern side of the storm), but could be interesting in the Irish sea and eastern coast of Ireland. This could change with any eastward movement of Ophelia's track. Most models a showing a fairly tight track forecast so unlikely. Been watching surf forecasts as time allows, most surf beaches in Cornwall, Devon and South Wales forecasting dangerous waves mid Monday. 10m+ in Southern Ireland. Just as a side, 10-13m waves are not unusual off the coast of Ireland, some of the biggest waves in the world can happen here, though this tends to be more off the west/north west coast during winter storms with the driving winds from Canada. The record is somewhere near 20m/60'. What is dangerous is it being more inshore.
  14. Hurricane Ophelia

    This link explains fairly well and more.. http://www.hurricanescience.org/science/science/hurricanemovement/
  15. Hurricane Ophelia

    There is a lot of uncertainty with H.Debbie '61, no one really knows when she transitioned. H.Faith '66 was an very fast moving hurricane, forward speed of 50mph+, weakening/transitioning all the while, the energy source by the time it reached the Faroes would have long been cut off as sea surface temperatures would have been too low. That forward momentum though did mean it could barrel its way further north before fully transitioning into an extra-tropical. I would say Spain, Portugal and maybe an outside chance France could get tropical cyclones in the proper form. The most recent being the hybrid H.Vince '05. This storm did develop in the NE Atlantic over slightly cooler waters than usually required for tropical initiation (24°c) , in my view it was more akin to a rare Mediterranean tropical system which form differently to hurricanes and do not require sst of 26°c.