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StormChaseUK

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Everything posted by StormChaseUK

  1. StormChaseUK
    Looks a bit "thundery rain" type on current radar - activity is still south of it.
  2. StormChaseUK
  3. StormChaseUK
    Looks like Quimper in France is the first point to fire off (Brest)
  4. StormChaseUK
    I was going to then realised it's subscription only so admin might not want those shared. I guess ask if admin? can share 1 or 2 grabs?
  5. StormChaseUK
    Yes the UKV is factoring a few homegrowns in the heat and the elevated. First few storms maybe 7pm south east with more elevated overnight. Something takes a huge chunk out the temps around 7pm in SE hmmm wonder if that's an expected early import or homegrown rain shower dropping temps
  6. StormChaseUK
    I have seen situations like this over the last 20 years and they never plan out to how models predict. (like asking which corn in the pan will popcorn and exactly when) It could form over Bristol and hit Midlands missing SE, it could form over Belgium and miss UK completely. no one knows.
  7. StormChaseUK
    false return maybe, nothing on ATD
  8. StormChaseUK
    Good point MCS can sometimes form/get caught up in the frontal system. (don't think that will happen today though) depends how much heat is drawn up in front of it.
  9. StormChaseUK
    Yes the West get homegrown decent storms, the SE usually get the imports. (Elevated) Although sometimes the SW, Bath, Bristol, East Wales has a good knack of developing Elevated lightning shows.
  10. StormChaseUK
    Brighton is always a good spot. Like snow though, no one will know the exact location or time.
  11. StormChaseUK
    Ouch that's the dreaded "thundery rain/claggy greyness"
  12. StormChaseUK
    Classic summer plume that,
  13. StormChaseUK
    Models struggling with the plume I think, temps of 6C in Wales but 30C just over channel in France are unlikely If I was a betting man I would say plume of hot air wednesday/thursday with quite severe thunderstorms in places giving a cool down to 15, 17C
  14. StormChaseUK
    Thursday it could go bang in a big way with that dividing line between moist atlantic air and heat from the South. knife edge stuff
  15. StormChaseUK
    Elevated, not all precip hits the ground
  16. StormChaseUK
    Well unless I can live in 3 places 50 miles or so apart at the same time then no
  17. StormChaseUK
    Look for cells firing off around Worcester, Ludlow, Bridgenorth, West Midlands area over next 2 hours.
  18. StormChaseUK
    Could the cold be overplayed by the models? I find it hard to believe it will be the coldest and warmest March all in one week.
  19. StormChaseUK
    My guess for lightning activity this afternoon evening will be red box, with not much activity or indeed cloud, rain blue box.
  20. StormChaseUK
    Oof
  21. StormChaseUK
    Evening well spent watching this for hours
  22. StormChaseUK
    Follow me on twitter you'll see it live
  23. StormChaseUK
    Oo she's a beauty
  24. StormChaseUK
    Yes nocturnal cooling later also helps the process
  25. StormChaseUK
    Up the Long Mynd. Rumbles to North, very high up though. Excellent for nighttime flashes but not much good for daytime
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