deadstillstanding

Ace, thank you. Two weeks out and getting very excited! The netweather forecast is the only one I trust ever since you nailed 2005 – will be very glad to see this year's.

Howdy Thank you J10 this is super helpful. Always wanted to know what I should be looking for Aw shucks. Thank you. I'm pretty happy with it.

Thanks J10. If you'll stand a noob question (and please excuse my total ignorance) but what are the key changes you're looking for from one NOAA chart to the next? My 'understanding' is limited to: closer isobars means windier, and; lower pressures on those isobars means less fine/settled weather. Or is this not an at a glance thing and you have to look at bags of other data?

Thanks J10! I know this is silly early and I don't really expect anything halfway reliable for a couple of weeks... but I can't help myself. I should read that Met Office outlook as an object lesson in ambiguity but I reckon I'll probably re-read it until I convince myself of something or another. Looking forward to any predictions once there's the data. Thanks again.

Ugh. Yeah, thankfully I don't have to go through the ticket day scrum any more. I volunteer on the welfare tent – handing out suncream or ponchos during the day (sometimes both on the same day) and cups of tea and sympathy during the night. Haven't been to Boom but I know a lot of people that really like it. Have fun!

It's May, the sun is (mostly) shining, and the festival is a little over 6 weeks out. Naturally my thoughts turn to obsessively poring over anything @J10 and the rest of you good netweather people have to say about it. Last year it was a scorcher in Pilton... but there wasn't a festival. I'm not saying that the weather gods owe us one or anything but... you know... make it shine please. So, what do you think?

Naturally! Although last year was scorching in the week leading up to the festival. We handed out litres of sun cream to crew from the welfare tent. It would be tough to cope with a whole festival at today's temperatures. (Basically I'm trying to talk myself out of being utterly gutted.)

This forecast. Please. This one.

Thanks J10. I'm got onsite about 5pm and it's lovely. Very sunny evening with a lovely sunset. The tracks are dry and dusty, the grass is lush and the ground is a bit firm but not at all hard. Looking forward to a great week whatever the weekend after brings.

Wooo! It's my 40th birthday and so far Tresemme has lost her majority and the Glastonbury weather is looking great Just one more week... this time next Friday I'll be onsite.... please let it be a sunny dry festival....

Thanks J10. This is much more hopeful than the view from my London window right now. Keeping them crossed the models continue in this vein

Hurray! Thanks as always J10. Looking forward to your predictions.

Oh man, I hope so. The automatic chart thing here makes it look pretty rainy every night and a few of the afternoons. Thanks for the reassurance.

Sorry to hear that but totally understand. You've put a lot of time into doing these Glasto blogs over the years which we're all really grateful for, especially as you still haven't been to the festival yourself! I'll look forward to the official Net Weather forecast and any input you drop into the discussion. Good luck with the crazy workload!

Alright! <follows> I was just thinking it was time to check-in over here. Thanks for running a Glastonbury blog once again J10 – much appreciated :) Only a month to go...

No worries Thanks for that forecast - sounding really positive. The afternoon continued fine with wind keeping it from feeling too hot. 9pm now and the wind has settled into a light breeze and all the clouds have disappeared. All the tracks have dried out with only little patches of mud anywhere. You can sit on the grass. Couple of photos from high on the north of the site near the farmhouse, looking south towards the stone circle and over the Pyramid towards the tor. Another couple from near West Holts and Williams Green showing the ground. It's all pretty lovely

I've arrived and pitched up. It's all looking pretty good onsite Grabbed a few photos on my phone on the way in - sorry they're not much cop! These are mostly facing south, where the clouds are. Going to go for a wander in a bit and will try to take some better ones from higher up. Heard there was heavy rain overnight but it was welcome because the site was getting a bit dusty yesterday. There's light mud wherever the heavy vehicle traffic is, as you'd expect, but otherwise it's totally okay. Ground *slightly* damp to touch but not what you'd call wet - tent peg-friendly basically. Lovely sun - it's pretty warm actually - and a fair old wind driving patchy clouds past the vale at a fair old lick. There's a band including a few dark clouds off to the south but it's not coming overhead. Assuming no more rain the site will dry up this afternoon by the look of it.

Gladly. I should be onsite from about 1pm tomorrow and will post a few snaps.

So for these last few days the models all seem settled into: mostly pretty decent with some rain on Monday, Friday and Sunday - I can live with that. As you say, the severity on Friday will be key but I've had fantastic Glastonbury's with much worse. Thanks as always J10. Your forecast very much part of the run-up for me and so many others

Just finished my shift as light showers started up again for the day - about 8am. Conditions underfoot are a little slippy but not particularly muddy. Let's see how bad the rain gets. Separately, thanks also from me jackone for all of the time and effort you've put in on the festival forecast - again. Literally the only accurate Glastonbury forecast and the only one I check every year.

Seconded, I'm in. Seems only fair given how much we've all been hanging on your reports for the last few years. You could even do an exclusive net-weather onsite weather forecast... I'd suggest you just drink too much cider and angel delight about like the rest of us though. Wow. The prurience filter is pretty sharp. I didn't type "angel delight" but I didn't think I was especially naughty...

I've given that a pre-emptive 'hurray' and am now gargling sun cream. Many thanks Jackone, will be watching your forecast evolve with slavish interest just like every year.

My 14th also and I agree with everything Duggyfresh and danbailey80 said. It all comes down to how saturated the ground is when the rain+boots hit it. Not much use for predictions now but from early next week you can have a pretty good idea from the feel of the ground. If it's hard then water runs clean off and you get puddles (or lakes in '05...) lower in the site that never recover. A bit of bounce is fine (and the tent pegs go in easily) - the site will dry after a couple hours sun. If there's any squidge though... unhappy campers. PS Thanks once again for running these forecasts Jackone, and to the whole net-weather community that post on these threads. It's very much appreciated - and, not least after your early ace call of "scorchio" on last year's well before anyone else - is the only place I've trusted for the last few years

Yup, "bloody hot, but with a strong chance of T-storms" was the broad consensus I got from the 2005 net-weather thread, it was right on the money. Will be eagerly following the debate again this year...