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Devonian

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Devonian last won the day on August 14 2010

Devonian had the most liked content!

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    Near Newton Abbot or east Dartmoor, Devon
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    Weather, climate, geology, agriculture, education, politics, people, truth

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  1. I think I've asked something like this before... but if there is a mass of water to cool down (as there is in eg the East Siberian Sea) will it be cooled more if it's still and the ice forms as frazel or if it's turbulent and you get pancakes that freeze together (if that's how it will work)? Put another way, could a layer of ice trap more heat below depending on how it was formed? It looks to be well below freezing in the area (mins about -8 around the New Siberian Islands) might it almost flash freeze?
  2. First noticeable sea ice along the Siberian coast...And it's amazing to be posting such an observation in late October!
  3. 'Wonderful' isn't it... It's like being on ship accelerating towards a huge (ironically obviously) iceberg. You give warnings, you point out its getting closer and closer and that a change of direction is needed. People accuse you of lying, of wanting to spoil the party, of being a scaremonger - some even deny there is an iceberg. You resign yourself to the reality that the complacent and careless are going to take you down with them - indeed you'll probably be shouted at by said people for not doing anything to help them as you sink under the waves...
  4. If we, as a species, are to ignorant, to glib, to careless, to do so little that CO2 continues to rise and land ice melts then ocean circulation will stop, the seas will stratify and stagnate and god only knows what will happen to atmospheric circulation, rainfall and trees.
  5. It looks to be a lot more than .2C to me. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/
  6. I very much doubt it's all due to human caused climate change - otoh, if there have always been bush fires then it can't be the fault of bad farming practices either. I also can't ignore the reality that last year was the warmest and driest in the detailed climate record. You're not going to see record numbers of bush fires in a record wet summer - we'd all accept that? However, the test of how serious these fires were will be in a few years time. Then we'll see if the talk of hundreds of millions of animals lost and species made extinct is correct, the talk of how this sort of event will
  7. You're soft skinned. When you've also been called a liar, a fraud, and had death threats (all of which repeated for years) then I'll take your words as serious. Btw, no one is accusing you of cheery picking, its not an accusation it's a reality. You've pick one weather station and try to draw global (or at least meaningful) conclusions from that one station.. C'mon ?
  8. Is there some thing, some data, some evidence that makes you think that atmosphere physics is better understood by Roger than by people at Hadley Centre, or NOAA ,or GISS or indeed the IPCC? Or, put another way, what scientific something might Roger be onto?
  9. And all 'we' want is for him to take that next step - too explain the 'how'. We've seen umpteen, lengthy posts about his beliefs. Arm waving, assertion and little asides about conspiracies doesn't cut it for me.
  10. Lots of words, but not a word to back up your alternative theory of atmosphere physics...
  11. How about winters are more likely to be affected by the greater changes to the Arctic climate (caused by AGW plus Arctic amplification) than summers because atmospheric circulation is more vigorous in the winter and sluggish in the summer so the effect of changes to the Arctic on weather is greater in the former than the latter?
  12. 'hide'? You give your prejudices away there Roger... As to your study, well, unless you have studied other record nearby, let alone a bigger area, how do we know you're not (to use another word you have, so it's fair game) trying to 'mislead' by the use of carefully picked cherries? Why just Toronto v just the CET? Have you done those check, those comparisons? Have you seen how the CET compares with other cities in Canada? How does it compare with Montreal, or Halifax, or Vancover? indeed, how does Toronto compare with Halifax?
  13. Born, a couple of questions. 1, I should know what paper that graphic is from but I don't... 2, the dotted lines are the 99% confidence lines? 3, what effect would a big event (or how big an event?) would it need to be to show as sudden a cooling (I can't think of a natural sudden warming event) of the same magnitude as we see atm? Toba would be bigger, 1816 smaller? 4, would such an event show up in the kind of proxies that the graphic used to produce (I'm sure it would?)? 5, and are people still working on temperature reconstructions, or have they exhausted the proxi
  14. "wrt". Dad's Army? I laugh at it, its affection for it's cast and its in jokes. In the same way I rofl at Laurel and Hardy, or WC Fields or indeed some of Alexi Sayle's stuff. But, standing in front of a microphone hurling insults is easy. And I don't think panto needs to be preserved in aspic.
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